Transcript of ELECTION NIGHT LIVE (Ep. 2630)

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Yeah. And look, I mean, the reality here is, like, President Trump was trying to figure out who he was going to endorse in this race. Lindsey Graham dies, and they got to figure out who's going to take this seat. The president's got a lot of heart for the Graham family. So he gives it to Darlene Graham. Like, a lot of conservatives were like, okay, let's see how this goes. You know, she's a newcomer to politics, as much as she's close to her brother. And but there were a lot of issues where she was kind of learning on the fly. You could tell this was, like, on-the-job training.

Right.

And we're like, okay, is this going to work? Will South Carolina deliver here? Especially for the president. We'll find out. Right now, we've got 17% of the vote in. And she's down a little bit right now. But 17%, that's nothing. Nobody's calling the race, so we've got more to go.

And you don't know where it's from.

Yeah.

I mean, that's the— that's the whole point about these early voting. That's why, you know, we have Seth Kestrel coming on later. Kestrel said, you know, about me, you, and Sean earlier when he— when he was on, that, you know, you really got to be careful with this— this 3 to 7 block in the middle of the day.

Yeah.

Where he calls it the witching hour. And then the EV dumps, because Democrats traditionally vote early, which creates, you know, kind of a, you know, an interesting dilemma. Because you get these 1% of the vote in things, you know, the Democrat in an R plus 20 district is up by 50 points and people start to freak out.

Yes. Yeah. And that's already happened, like, in Florida. There were some— I think people were watching the Florida numbers when they first came out and panicking. Like, what's going on? Why are Democrats up?

Right.

Everyone, just keep calm, carry on. Because what's going on here is, like, it's just the early vote. Florida is so efficient at counting the early votes and getting them out. Boom, they're out. Now the election day voting is call coming in. The panhandle hasn't even closed yet. And we're looking at big red victories in Florida right now. All the— all the predictions are headed directly in the Republicans' direction. So kind of what you told, you've been talking about this. This is going to be a regional election.

Yeah, this is.

There's going to be mixed results based on where you are in the country and whether or not those low propensity voters just show up to support the president's agenda.

Regional voters. Now, nobody knows better than you, Haley. You lived up in New York.

Yep.

That's how I met you. I've known you forever.

Yep.

You were the booker at Hannity. We were just talking in the green room in the back. I've known Haley forever. Lived in New York.

Yep.

Lived in Tennessee, right?

Yep.

Another red state.

And I'm Florida.

Now down in Florida. So down in Florida, like, this is your haven from the insanity. The numbers at least seem to look pretty decent down here. I mean, you can personally attest to the quality of life being different. Well, you got some.

We have a race call. DDHQ has called it for Ashley Moody and Florida.

Oh, thank God.

Okay.

Tight margin. Tight margin, but they.

Who cares?

Doesn't matter who wins the win.

We got our first win of the night.

So that's Decision Dust. That's the Senate race. There's no call in the governor race yet. But I think the rationale is panhandle just closed because it's 8:05. So it closes. They're in the Central Time Zone. And panhandle is red. There's no.

You never go to Miami?

Yes.

So is socialism a big selling point, Miami?

Well, we've got a lot of people in Miami that are liberal. This is, like, the thing where you go to these blue cities, right? And people are more Democratic there. But I think in terms of Florida, I'm not worried about Florida at all. But you asked me about where I've sort of had this trajectory where I was living in New York. Of course, you don't have to show a voter ID. You don't go in. I don't know. I go up to this thing in New York and they just check your name off. I could be anyone. And I remember being on long, long lines in New York, moving to Tennessee, efficient, moving to Florida, efficient.

The red state difference is huge.

Massive difference. I could speak to that experience too, yep.

Also, like, the difference in terms of Republicans who live in those states. So in New York, you're, like, kind of quiet about it. Especially in New York City. You're quiet about it. You kind of keep it to yourself. You're trying to maintain.

There's no exception to that rule.

You want to maintain? Yeah. This is why.

A lot of majority over here.

There's no exception to that rule.

That's the best part of it.

You left New York.

So, but the point is, like, in New York, you're quiet about it. But here, people are flying their Trump flags. I mean, you've experienced this. You can see the difference. The enthusiasm's here.

It's so funny because I feel like I grew up in such a red bubble in New York. I grew up on Long Island. My whole family's Republican. Everyone that I know is Republican. I grew up in this, I don't know, this conservative haven in this blue dot, right? In this blue state. And moving into the city, I was also in a conservative bubble because all of my friends were conservative. I worked at Fox News. I worked at Newsmax. Everyone that I was communicating with. I was in such a, like, this.

Almost an echo chamber.

Yes, totally an echo chamber.

What was that old line about Nixon? They said they asked the Manhattan lady. And she said, "I don't know how he won. I don't know anyone who voted for him." But she said, "Manhattan?"

Yes.

Like, that's what happened.

Right.

That's what happens, I think, to me too. That's why it's good to go and sometimes read the comments when you see, like, you know, liberal lunatics. You know, Sean, you're a Tennessee guy, but you obviously have a lot of experience up in New York too.

Yeah.

In, you know, liberal safe havens like New York. You know, I brought up the whole regional. I think this is going to be a regional more than a national race. For as much as the Democrats tried to nationalize it and make it about President Trump, you've got issues like the Oregon governor's race. Surprisingly close. That should be a blowout for the Democrat. But she sucks so bad that the Republican candidate actually was doing quite well, if you believe the polling. Blakeman, I mean, that's the chances of him winning the governor's race in New York are quite low. But again, New York's been run so poorly and so many blue-collar Democrats are really pissed off that if Blakeman overperforms and even, say, I hope he wins.

I, you know, it's a low, low probability of that. But even if he were to lose by, say, 5 to 10, he could pull a lot of congressional Democrats across the finish line.

That's what happened in '22 with Lee Zeldin. If you think about where the House majority came from that we're currently dealing with right now, it came from New York. Because you saw, unfortunately, George Santos. I mean, no one knew at the time. I worked on his campaign. Nobody knew. But he won. It was a flip. Anthony Diaz-Pozito, New York 4. That was a flip. There was a flip, Mark Molinaro, I believe, in that general election. That was a flip. And a lot of that was because of the top of the ballot, Lee Zeldin, energizing voters across the state, bringing people, you know, to the polls to win in those very local elections, right?

So even if Blakeman, let's say, Blakeman loses by, tonight, seven points, eight points, a little bit less, a little bit wider margin than what Zeldin lost by. But the energy behind Blakeman can bring people down the ballot. It's that whole, you know, it's the concept of trickle down. Trickle down economics may not be real, but trickle down politics is in races like this where you have a good candidate at the top of the ballot. Look at how Republicans perform when Trump is on the ballot versus when he's not on the ballot, right? So you could see something like that happen in New York. You also have to take into account in a place like New York, especially in New York's third congressional district, where Mike LePetrie is running, is a very big Jewish population in that district.

And we know how Jews feel about the Democrat Party. The question is, do they feel are they convicted enough? Do they have strong enough convictions about the Democrat Party to cross over and vote Republican? And we're going to be asking that question about New York, and we're going to be asking that question about Michigan tonight, big time.

Yeah. So earlier today, folks, I was just getting ready for the show, getting ready to come over to the studio. It was early. And I got a call. I got a call from President Trump, who was nice enough to give me a ring. He had heard me on Sean Hannity's show last night. And we chatted for a good bit. And I did an interview with him. You can check him. I did an interview with him. You can check with President Trump. You can check out on the Rumble channel. It's there. We put it up at about 11 o'clock, but it's still there if you want to go check it out and listen to it. It was kind of a last-minute interview.

But one of the things I'm kind of puzzled about, Vince, and have been for a long time, is how this isn't a runaway election for the Republican Party. Listen, I get it. Not everybody got every slice of the apple pie they wanted. I totally understand.

Yeah.

That never happens. Reagan said, "Take 80%, come back for the other 20 later." However, the record of documented, non-opinion-based successes for this administration, Biden did pretty well in his midterm. He had freaking 9% inflation, the disastrous withdrawal from Afghanistan. He wasn't even sane. The guy's brain was like spaghetti.

Yeah.

And he actually did quite well. We should be blowing these people out. The border, the crime numbers, the GDP numbers we had, it's really confusing to me. I spoke to him about it this morning a little bit on that exact topic.

Yeah. I think, I mean, the country is kind of in different categories, groupings of people. One of them, we call it, like, mass formation psychosis. I think, who came up with that? It was, like, an incredible way to describe what's happening.

Is that like Carl Jung?

It was, like, something like that. It was, like, Gad Sadr. So one of these guys came up with it. And but it's phenomenal because it kind of describes what's happening with the left. You know that, like, the New York Times did a survey, and we talk about the polls, but in this survey in particular, I want to bring it up. Half of the country, these are all Democrats, think that Donald Trump was going to rig these elections, these elections.

Yeah.

What in the world would lead them to that conclusion other than a massive mind control operation that's being waged by the American news media on low-information voters who are willing to believe it for social reasons, whatever it might be? But there's people who are, like, willing to believe the lies at scale. I mean, it goes back to the assassination culture with over half of American lefties being like, "Yeah, I could justify the assassination of Donald Trump." We have a crisis in this country. And so if you're ever looking at the numbers and you're like, "Why does it look like that? How could Americans even do " We have huge problems. A lot of it is egg on by the media.

And I just want to, if I can celebrate something today, here's what I want to celebrate. You know, no ICE agents shot anybody at the polls today.

No, that's right.

Despite the left told us the ICE agents were going to be shooting everybody.

NW said that was going to happen.

Dead at the polls. Hillary told us this week that was going to happen.

And Gavin Newsom's campaign has been tweeting that all day about ICE agents showing up to polling. You're making it up.

Which I don't understand why that's a problem.

They shouldn't be there in the first place.

Because they told us that illegals weren't voting in elections.

Yeah.

The only reason why ICE would present a problem at a polling place is if illegals are voting in elections.

If they're intimidating people, our people show up on election day.

Right.

What are they even talking about? But sorry, but to go back to your core question about.

Yeah. This, you got, I need to, I need to, like, some kind of an answer to this from Virginia, you know, Tennessee, former New York, me in Florida. Like, how is it that all this stuff.

There's no one giving.

Yeah. You would think they'd be like, "Gosh, I want two more years of this."

So then you have people who are, like, accelerationists, just burn it all down. You know, they're trying to, like, interfere, demoralize, just drive people crazy. And then there's, I feel like there's a category of Republican who likes Trump, but they've kind of bought into the dooming. They've bought into the black pill, which is they lead with the throat clearing. Like, well, it's true. We do have lots of problems, you know, but he has done some good things. And it's like, wait a second. I think you've disordered your assessment.

Yeah.

Because locking the border down airtight is not just doing something. It is doing the thing that voters wanted. Even in the exit polls today, they're saying immigration continues to be a concern. Like, making it so that households are more wealthy than they've ever been in American history. More Americans have a job than at any other time in American history. You look at this, you're like, that's record after record after record. Success, success, success. I think some of this was just, like, people trying to pretend, like, "Oh, I understand. I feel your pain." But leaning so heavily into that that they fell off the cliff and forgot how many successes we are responsible for.

It's not just Trump. Trump got there by virtue of our votes. Take a victory lap, dude, and then vote for backup. This is, it drives me crazy.

I think we got a lot of wins right out the gate. You know, President Trump is signing executive orders banning men from women's sports.

That's the point.

And then the Doge thing happened very early in this second term, this Trump 2.0. And I think people kind of forgot.

Sure.

You know, that we had all of these highs in the beginning, and then people have sort of soured or lost that momentum. And I think people have to remember too, Trump may not be on the ballot this time, but the last two years of his administration are. Because how is President Trump going to deliver on the promises that he's made for the American people if we lose the House and the Senate? We won't be able to. So I think, you know, hopefully everyone watching has voted so far. If you haven't, stay in line and vote. But I think anyone watching this show knows how important that is. They know what we're up against, and they know how important that is.

No, I agree with your assessment. I brought that up a bit. I gave a speech a while back in that Club 47 down here, which is fantastic. And in the speech, I was talking about, I think our biggest enemy right now is a bit of apathy that's, and it's not with the folks listening. I mean, that's why I think, I think a little bit of apathy is set in where there were so many Ringer successes. Like, he shut the border down quickly. That was fast. I mean, promise made, promise kept, right? I mean, the crime rates that had dropped, these are things that have been promised forever that I think, like, even marginal successes that Republican presidents or Democrat presidents would have run on in the past.

I don't mean marginal in that they're not important. I just mean, like, a regulatory reform that, say, helps out plumbers and it reforms, like, showerhead stuff.

Yeah. People who aren't plumbers don't feel it.

Yeah. They don't feel it. And it's like.

So they're like, "What does it matter?"

So and then it just gets gaffed off. Like, because we had so many big-ticket wins early on, even the little things kind of got washed out a little bit, you know?

Yeah. I think that's part of it. It's part of what Haley was saying too, kind of like it's a sugar high. You know, you head out of the gate, you get that 2024 win, you get that big, you know, that big victory. And then not that thing stopped, the winning stopped or anything like that, but the flash in the pan, those big, you know, executive orders, those big notable wins you could celebrate all over the place. Those slowed down, and that caused a bit of this tepid enthusiasm.

You guys want to bring Brian in?

No, I kind of see, I will say one thing. It kind of reminds me of Elon Musk in a way. It's kind of like the Elon Musk problem. Once you catch rockets with chopsticks.

That's your next act.

Then, like, then your flying car comes out and people are like, "Not so good. Not so good. Not that impressive."

Why do you fly it long enough?

Yeah.

What are you talking about?

Like, is that a real car?

What would you even use that for?

They're like, "But it doesn't use gas. It uses air rocket technology." So technically, it's not a, so now you're complaining.

You're not wowing me enough anymore. Oh, this is a rough one. Congressman, good to see you. How are you? How's everything going?

How are you?

Thanks for coming in. We appreciate it.

Congressman, how are you?

Nice to see you.

Good to see you, Congressman. Thank you.

That's not a good one. Fox projects Pappas defeats Sununu. I thought we might get an upset there in New Hampshire, you know, with the name ID, that family. They got a legacy up there. So how are we feeling about Florida, our home state here?

I see the numbers going up for Byron. It was neck and neck, and they even had Jolly up for a little bit.

You know, Moody down for a little bit to Nixon, which would be the craziest thing because she's an absolute batcrazy person. But you see those numbers shifting. I heard it. It was actually, did I hear it right that it was called for Moody? If that's what I heard.

Yeah, it was called for Moody.

He just called for me a few minutes ago, and Byron's trending in the right way. So congratulations, Congressman Brian Mast. It's good to see you back. Congressman Mast is our congressman. He has been just great for the district. You know, it's something you've excelled at in this district over your multiple terms here. You know, we hear clichés in politics, Vince. You've heard it, Haley, you know, all politics are local. Yeah, yeah. People gaff it up. But in your case, it's true, and you know that. There are issues down here that candidly, voters in California probably don't care, but they don't care about Lake Okeechobee.

I mean, it's a nice thing to talk about, but it has nothing to do with them.

Probably never heard of it.

They probably never heard of it, right? They probably think it's in, like, Canada or something, some liberals in California. But it's a huge issue down here. And you've been great on that issue with the water and the water management. And, you know, I think that's why tonight I'm hoping we have some regional successes in what is a really tough midterm national environment.

No, whenever I talk to new kids, because they always call, "Hey, can I have some resources? Can you give me some advice? Can you give me an endorsement?" Whatever. You get all those conversations. And I always tell them, "Listen, here's the one thing I can tell you as a piece of advice. Go out there and figure out what matters most to everybody in your district, Republican, Independent, Democrat, non-Notice, whoever it is. What do they all care about? Because you're trying to be their representative." And that's what I did. I said, "Look, everybody here is affected by it. They want to eat at a restaurant on the water, or they have a house or a dock on the water, or they go boating on the water, they pull a fish out of the water.

Everybody around here coalesced around the water. I better get that crap cleaned up."

Yeah. I don't want to monopolize this. I just have one question.

Please.

And by the way, I'd be remiss if I didn't thank you for your service. I think it's fairly obvious you left it on the battlefield for this country. So I know my audience deeply appreciates it. But Congressman, say tonight, I don't want to, it's not over yet, but say we were to lose the House and you go from, say, a chairman of your committee to a ranking member. They pretty much run the show, the chair. I mean, explain to us the mechanics up on the hill, what that looks like as chairmanships change from one side to the other.

House of Representatives is majority run, right? You're in the minority. You're just, you got tickets to watch the decisions that are being made by others unless you can peel some people off, right? So the majority side is going to decide what's the policy that's moving forward, what's coming to the floor of the House, what's going through a committee. And there's going to be no quarter given to anybody that supported any piece of Trump policy, any Make America Great policy, the things that we put into law. If you, you know, worked on lowering taxes, on tips, on overtime, on Social Security, and all the rates, they're going to work to undo that.

They're probably not going to be successful on that front because that was a lawmaking exercise. But for anybody that was a part of doing policy, I'm sure they'll come after anybody that was Maha. They'll come after RFK. They'll work to impeach RFK. They'll come after Elon to say, you know, "Hey, listen, Elon killed, you know, half a billion people in Africa," or whatever it is that they want to say about him, and they'll work to put him behind bars. They'll come after for Doge and everything Doge. They'll come after, of course, President Trump, every one of his kids, probably come after his wife. And so it is all-out combat because they've already shown us what the play is going to be.

They are coming after everything related to this administration. They're not interested in saying, "You know what? Iran has been attacking the United States of America. If they could drive a boat into us, they will. If they can put us on our knees at gunpoint, they will. If they can fly a drone or a ballistic missile into us, they will." Not just now, but in the 50 years prior and in the 30 months prior, they've been doing that. And the Dems, they have no interest in whether that's the truth or not the truth. They'll just say, "You know what? As long as you're combating Iran, this enemy of the United States, we're not going to fund the Pentagon, Army, Navy, Marines, Air Force, Coast Guard, Space Force.

We don't want to pay our troops if you're over there doing the heavy lifting." That's the combat that we're going to be in.

Congressman, that seems like the biggest damage they can do is the funding battles. Because we saw earlier this year, they even in the minority position brought us to a government shutdown to try and defund immigration enforcement in the United States. What do you anticipate if they take over the House?

Exact same thing with Homeland Security, all things related to immigration, right? And that's one of the biggest successes in the world. What's the new border of the United States of America? It's not the Atlantic, the Pacific, Canada, or Mexico. It's if you don't go through a consul or embassy in your country of origin and step up to a window and be honest and tell everything about your past and why you want to come in, and then we check your social media and things like that, and you're being honest. If you don't do that, you're not coming in. They're going to want to change that. They don't like the enhanced vetting. They don't like us looking at people's social media.

They want anybody and everybody to come through. So they'll come after Homeland Security, and it's funny. They don't like anything about defending the United States of America with the Department of War against Iran or against what Venezuela was doing in the past or anything relating to Cuba, you name it. They will come after Department of War, everybody in there, and every dollar for that. Everything related to Health and Human Services, RFK, they will come after every dollar for that as long as he's going out there saying, "Hey, you should think about what's going in a needle and getting put in your body." As long as he's given that kind of message, they'll come after him, you name it, every single front.

They will work to cut that funding. Not cut that funding, hold it up. And they can do it in the House, right? You're going to have, you know, everybody knows the filibuster in the Senate, right? So the filibuster in the Senate, they don't have to go down there like Mr. Smith goes to Washington and actually read for 24 hours or 48 hours. They just say, "I filibuster," and you can't move anything through the Senate. In the House, you know, both sides have learned, you know what? You got this partisan exercise called the rule. And if a couple of people on one side say, "I'm not going to vote for this rule," then the legislation's held up. You're not going to move anything forward, funding or otherwise.

So I think you're going to see that with everybody that's a part of that squad, a part of the DSA, the socialists, the communists. You're going to see them look to hold up anything that, you know, if it were Jefferies that he tried to move, that might say, "Okay, maybe that's a little bit common sense." They'd hold it up.

I would imagine it's very difficult to work with people on the other side of the aisle. I know in the podcast space, we've seen this over the last year or so since Charlie Kirk was assassinated. It's much more difficult to have even conversations across the aisle. Do you find that as a lawmaker that it's harder to get people across the aisle on board to work with them?

Yeah, until they're kind of headed out of office, it's impossible because that's the dog and pony show. It's the theater that's a part of this, that, you know, somebody's like, "Oh, Brian Mast is the worst. He hates dogs and cats and women and children, and he hates everything." And then we step off the floor and we get in the elevator and like, "Hey, Brian, how's it going? How's your wife, Brianna? When are those cute little kids coming up? Can you get on my legislation?" You know, they're Jekyll and Hyde, two totally different people. So, you know, I'll bring in Haley Stevens, who made a lot of waves this week.

Haley and I, who represent, she represents downtown Detroit, right, as deep blue as it gets. Her and I were traveling to Morocco, India, and Portugal earlier in the year, and she would talk about just the Islamification of America and, you know, that we have to be worried about anywhere.

Wow.

And she'd be talking about that. And you'd think because we were maybe close to the Middle East, she was talking about Iran or something, and all of a sudden she'd be talking to a world leader. And she would be talking about Detroit and Michigan and what's going on in Dearborn. So even when we were traveling together, we're like, "Why are you not out there talking about this? And why are you not a Republican for these views and things like that?"

So you were not surprised by her move this past week?

Was I surprised that she actually took that leap? Absolutely.

You were.

Because that's a big leap.

It is a big leap.

For somebody to take. But knowing her, no, I was not surprised by the things that she was espousing because we had, you know, 24 hours of flights that we were on together where she was talking about the craziness of El Sahel and the things going on there. I traveled with another guy that also lost to him, Shri Thanadar. He lost in a different race to El Sahel.

He's hilarious.

Yeah.

He's got the funniest accent.

And eyebrows.

Sorry, I'm distracted by that. But one more on Haley Stevens. So I saw today she's requesting federal protection because the left is trying to kill her now, for real. And do you think she realized that that was a part of the deal? Like, by endorsing a Republican, do you get the sense that she's brave enough to be like, "I'm going to do it anyway," in light of those risks?

No, I absolutely have the sense that she made a conscious decision about these are her beliefs because there was this big tug-of-war you could see going on inside of her. Like I said, I spent a lot of time with her abroad where she does a pretty good job of politics stopping at the water's edge. But when it came to this Islamification of Michigan and dealing with El Sahel as an opponent and his radical beliefs, you know, she couldn't hold that back.

Wow.

And so I think she made a very conscious decision about, "I can't hold my nose and just, you know, toe the party line about this because this is so far beyond crazy." And we see the same thing with Angie Nixon in Florida. We see the same thing with Teller Rico in Texas and others. And she, I think she just said, "I can't hold my nose for that."

Congressman, I know you got to run, but last question before you go. And again, I really appreciate you coming in tonight. I can't deal with two years of government shutdowns. I mean, listen, I'm no fan of big government, but it does us no good if we're going to have a government to just sit there and jostle over and not pay employees at, you know, in our law enforcement, our military, and elsewhere. I mean, it's just, it's nonsense. But given the just, I don't know what it's called, but the BS shenanigans they did when we were in the majority and, you know, teaming up with some other folks who pretend to be on our side to shut it down, I don't anticipate any government budget getting passed in the last two years of the Trump administration with this crop of, you know, crazies in charge.

I don't think you're on a tough assessment to say, "Yeah, what you're saying makes sense. That seems like something we could assess to be true." Again, we saw it happen with immigration and Homeland Security. "Hey, we're just not going to fund anything." And how long did Secret Service, Coast Guard men and women, you know, TSA workers, everybody, how long did they go without pay? You know, ridiculously long time. They don't care. And even when President Trump said, "You know what? I'm going to dig in the couch cushions, see if I can find the money to pay these people. I'm going to get private people out there to go out there and put money into government and pay these people in the military."

Even when he did that, the Dems came after him and said, "You can't do that. No, we want them to not get paid. We want the pain of what's going on here. How dare you go out and do this?" So I think you're going to see all out from them saying they want pain. They want to inflict pain over common-sense policies that fight for America and securing our border and lowering taxes and not wasting your money. You know, we've talked about this. I chair the Foreign Affairs Committee. You know, here's my top six stupid things they spent your money on.

Queering maps. They wanted to make maps more gay.

70 grand, you know. I forgot about that. I pushed that out of my brain.

It was a real thing. Teaching gender inclusivity through Ultimate Frisbee, half a million dollars. Expanding atheism in every country that they could, half a million dollar grants apiece to expand atheism. They called it international religious freedom. $11 million in condoms for the Taliban. I mean, the list goes on and on of these crazy things. Transgender operas plays and musicals.

I may support that. I don't need the Taliban reproducing. I may throw it.

It was safer for goats. It wasn't a big deal. You know.

I may support that one. Congressman, I really appreciate you coming in. Thanks for your service to the country. And on this, and congratulations on another term.

Thanks for all your service to the United States of America on so many different levels. And thanks for letting me be your rep.

Thanks, friend.

See you, buddy.

Thank you so much.

Thank you, Congressman.

Oh, boy, folks.

Well, we had some good news and some bad news so far. So I guess the good news we'd say was that the Moody race looks like Ashley Moody, Florida Senator, looks like that race is, what do we got on that so far?

That's called. That race is called. But here's my concern about that race. Right now, she's up by, let's see, three points. Two, three points. That was the number. We're looking at the numbers come in right now.

I got to tell you, I'm really surprised by that.

Two-point advantage.

I'm surprised by that.

Yeah.

Because the socialism label is so toxic in South Florida with the Venezuelan and Cuban diaspora that it's, you know, I'm genuinely stunned that that race is not a five to ten-point race.

She's running. Well, she wasn't even trying to conceal it. She's running as this, "I'm a socialist and I'm running for office." And Florida is not into that. And so that's a concern. And I think that doesn't mean that the people who've experienced communism and socialism, I'm going to go in and guarantee they were voting against her. But what it does mean is that there are going to be people in Florida, even in Florida, who don't really get the message and supported her in this election.

One of her last campaign events, she had Puerto Rican flags behind her. Did she need a reminder that she's running for Florida Senate? I don't know why. There might be a Puerto Rican community in Florida that she's speaking to, but might I suggest that the American flag is good enough for everyone in Florida? Or the Floridian flag, for that matter.

All right, quick break. We'll get right back to coverage. As the election story unfolds, one of the tools I've been keeping an eye on is Calshi's midterms hub. Calshi's a prediction market platform where people can track and trade on election outcomes in real time. You can follow Senate races, House control, governor races, and other key contests all in one place. As new results, developments, and headlines come in throughout the day, the markets adjust to changing expectations. You can check it out. I've been watching it all day. I'm pretty good with the predictions there. Every new headline can shift the conversation, and that's what makes Calshi so interesting.

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Please carefully consider if it is appropriate. The bad news part I didn't get to. I said the good news, Moody. Good news, bad news. I got to give everyone the bad news.

Called it for Donald, too.

Oh, good. Well, that's some more great news. Thank you.

Called it for Donald's, but he's only going to win by a point or two.

I know. We were just talking about the three race as well.

Yeah, yeah.

What do you think?

Can see it here.

Way too close for comfort.

If this was a much more enthusiastic night, I'd be doing a full-blown Harry Enton impression. But I don't want to do the Harry Enton impression yet. Maybe when Teller Frico gets this ass-handed to him, we can do that. But right now, guys, this is the numbers. These are the Associated Press numbers. And we've got 95% of the race in right now, 95% in Florida. Right now, Byron Donald's is up by 0.7%. That race was called by DDHQ. It hasn't been called by Associated Press yet. The AP will likely call it for Byron Donald's, very much expected.

And obviously, these late votes are panhandle votes. These are going to be red votes, almost all of which are in, by the way. Most of those are coming in. Again, we're at 95%. And the spread here, I mean, they're at 3.87 million for the Democrat, David Jolly, 3.93 million for Byron Donald's. It's not that great. I mean, it's like we're looking at like 50,000 vote advantage here.

Four years ago, Ron DeSantis won this by 19 points.

Yes. So you're looking at, I mean, you go back and like, and you look at these races, these Republicans should be winning by double-digit percentages. So in so far, honestly, I just, I told you, we've all said this, good, bad, or indifferent. The way we're going to assess this tonight is just by looking at the data and telling you exactly what the truth is. If this is a bellwether for what we're about to see as the rest of the polls close across the country, Democrats are in for an unfortunately good night if Florida is this close. But we will see.

I will say, though, as the senior Florida, well, maybe other than Justin, the senior Florida resident here, you know, prior to the Trump-DeSantis era, this was considered a blowout in Florida.

Yeah, it was always an outlier state, but you had so much, you have such a big voter registration advantage in this state.

No, it's true. Listen, I don't mean to downplay. No, it shouldn't be this close. I mean, you know, you and I have lived down here. Haley, you've been down here for a while. I think we just, we have to, we are clearly not doing a good enough job of combating this socialism cancer. I mean, listen, for as much as I can't stand the AOCs and the Angie Nixons of the world, they actually run, and Angie Nixon for a socialist running in Florida with really no national name ID and not a whole lot of funds either, they're incredibly effective on social media, something you know very well.

Yeah, I think Republicans, especially in midterm elections, we sort of tend to rest on our laurels a little bit. And we do need to get more motivated when President Trump is not on the ballot. But you're right. I think in this social media age that we live in, we also have to be careful of the algorithms. Sometimes, you know, during 2024, that election, I was, you know, I was getting fed Kamala Harris, this, that, the other thing. And I was thinking, is this going to be close? And of course, it was a blowout. So the same way that we don't listen to the polls very closely and we take them with a grain of salt, I think we have to take social media with a grain of salt as well.

But social media as a tool is very, very effective. And Democrats are way better at it. I think the Republicans have a messaging issue to our conversation before. Republicans have done so much good. And why don't voters feel that way?

Yeah, yeah. How are we looking with South Carolina?

We're going to take a look at South Carolina here for you and give you an answer on that in just a moment.

The AP numbers in South Carolina here. Annie Andrews is at 52.8%, Darlene Graham at 45.6% with 48% of the vote in.

Yeah, so less than half of the vote is in right now.

I wonder where that went. Yeah. What's the, what is the Calshi market? Oh, my gosh. Oh. Darlene's odds on Calshi and the prediction markets have tanked.

Yeah.

They have.

Yeah. Annie Andrews 95.3%.

Annie Andrews is favored to win on the prediction markets right now.

Frannie Annie is currently destined.

That's the South Carolina Senate.

I mean, listen, I told you on the show, everyone, like last week, the House, losing the House is big. You don't want to lose any chance.

Right. You don't want to lose anything. Right.

But the House is, the whole House is up every two years. The House switches often. But with these senators, if we were to lose in red states, you're stuck for six years. And don't think like it's an automatic the next time that they'll get out.

Let's look at Georgia.

Yeah, Georgia. I mean, we're stuck with these two. I mean, you've had people, you've had Republicans win. Remember, we had Mark Kirk in Illinois? I mean, he was a Republican. The power of incumbency is strong. I mean, you could be stuck with, you know, Trani Annie Andrews for like 12 years if she wins another term.

So, you know, going back to your prior question about like why can't Republicans appreciate the victories that we have and use them for enthusiasm right now in the election? You know, President Trump used to talk about this on the campaign trail in the intervening years when he was running for 2024. He goes, after we fix the border, I would say, I want to talk about the border. And he said he had advisors being like, sir, nobody cares about the border anymore. Since you closed it up, nobody cares about it as fundamentally as much as an issue. It's not an animating issue that forces people out. Because once you achieve something, voters are kind of moving on to the next thing that's burdening them. And so there's two big elements, I think, that we have to reflect on tonight.

President Trump and Iran. He said earlier this year that he doesn't, he didn't care about the political consequences because he felt that sincerely about the mission of denuclearizing Iran. He said it repeatedly. He kept on saying, and by the way, in American politics, you're not supposed to say things like this. You're not supposed to go out in front of a microphone and be like, I'm not contemplating the political impact here. But there is zero question that this has played a role in the minds of American voters.

Zero question.

They're thinking very clearly about it. They're like, I don't like it. I want to be out of there. The political consequences are real. The other piece of this is gas prices. Now, the media has wrongly ascribed the cost of diesel to the Iran conflict. In fact, that has such a low impact on it. It's actually Russia and Ukraine blowing up each other's refineries. It's actually Gavin Newsom shutting down refineries in California. But there's no complexity about this in the media. People always vote based on the thing that hits them directly. You go after my kids, I'm going after you. You go after my gas prices, I'm going after you.

You going after my bills, I'm going after you. So when I'm hit directly, if I'm experiencing Bidenflation or I'm watching somebody get murdered down the street because of an illegal alien, that's when I'm animated. That's where I'm activated. And so today, if this comes out to be the Democrats do pick up both of these houses, a lot of this is just going to be that Republicans didn't, did they show up or not? And that would be the case that they didn't show up at the numbers necessary.

It is frustrating, though, because the gas prices were higher under Obama and Biden. Definitely in the start of the Russia-Ukraine war, there were places in California where a gallon of gas was $6, $7, $8, $9. Eggs were $8 in my grocery store when I was living in Nashville. We definitely saw worse prices and worse inflation under Biden than we do now. And again, people are still upset at the current administration. And it's just, again, I think it comes down to a messaging issue.

Yeah, I mean, that's what's frustrating. I mean, it looks like North Carolina may result in a flip, too. I mean, that was, no one really expected us. They were running Cooper against Wadley. You know, I know Wadley, decent guy, but the campaign was kind of flailing for a while. So that's not a huge surprise there. But again, now having, you know, a bunch of southern states, North Carolina and Georgia, southern states which should be, you know, good, strong, solid red areas with now six-year, you know, Dem senators, that's going to be an issue.

That's going to be a problem. And like when you said, you know, you mentioned in six years, there's no guarantee you're going to get it back. You know, you look at a place like South Carolina, not traditionally a swing state. Georgia, on the national level, presidential level, is considered one of the seven swing states: Georgia, North Carolina, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Nevada, Arizona, right? South Carolina is not. So maybe in six years, you wind up, you know, saying, all right, Annie Andrews one term, one term. But that's not guaranteed. And you still have to wait out that term. You know, you have to get there. What happens between now and then is the question.

And when you talk about Republicans not showing up, I wonder with the Florida numbers, you know, you look at Jolly and you look at how closely he ran to Donald's. That suggests that it's not just an increase in Democrat turnout, but that there was, for whatever reason, a lot of Republican crossover. I'm curious as to how many Republicans voted for him, split the ticket. You know what? I don't think this is a matter of Republicans not showing up. I don't know what they're doing unless the Democrats really swamped us in turnout. But I feel like there's a lot of crossover here coming from right to left, you know, Republican voters voting Democrat that made that race so close.

It's the only way to describe, the only way to talk about it and think about it, because nationally, presidential level, you saw President Trump run away with Florida. DeSantis won this race by 20 points. Byron Donald's is going to barely win it by a point. And he's not like he's a bad candidate.

I think we're going to test the power of the executive in these next two years.

Oh, yeah.

I spoke to President Trump earlier today. He was pretty crystal clear, like the veto power is, you know, he's not going to be afraid to use it.

Yes.

Because they're, you know, if they get a majority in both houses, they're going to pump a whole lot of bullshit into the White House and expect him to sign. He ain't going to sign any of this.

I got one of our listeners today suggested this. So it's his, I have to credit him, although I don't remember his name off the top of my head, Donny DeVito. That's who he's going to be. He's going to turn into.

That's Irish guy?

He's going to turn into Donny DeVito because he's going to have to veto the nonsense again. But again, if they take over both of these houses, that is far from where we are at this moment.

Yeah, we don't know what's going to happen.

That could be one of the conclusions here. And on that issue, you know, I talked about on my radio show today, I was talking about your question constantly, is it bad enough yet? Which I think is a perfect summation of whether or not voters are really feeling the pain and really understand what the stakes are. And I think that one of the realities of tonight, if Democrats pick up one or both houses, is they're going to have a real study in contrast. We're going into a 2028 presidential election.

And if Democrats have real power in one of these houses, American voters are going to get a very clear case study in who's on their side and who's against them.

This is true.

And whoever this 2028 Republican nominee is, may in the end benefit from that comparison in the way that Trump benefited from the comparison to the awful Biden years as he came back in 2024. So some of this could be scene setters for what comes next. Now, is this a tough pill to swallow? Yeah, Biden sucked. That wasn't my plan, but God's plan was better. So we'll see what happens. But this could be very interesting going into the presidential.

Yeah, I saw that analysis you were just talking about all over Twitter today. And I hesitate to even bring it up because it always sounds like, you know, you're trying to make a dub out of an elf.

Yeah, sure. Yeah, yeah.

And the analysis was, well, listen, if we get smoked really bad, the Democrats will overreach. They're going to do the stupid shit they always do. There's going to be, you know, two or three impeachments, you know, Hegseth, probably President Trump for the 47th time, whatever it may be.

Barren.

Actually, hope they do. I don't agree with Barren. Three impeach him so he can never run in the future.

I hope they do impeach him.

Because the last time they did, it was about to blow up in their face and then COVID happened. Right? So if they try, I don't want Trump to be impeached. I don't want to waste time on it. But if they do, it's going to be a dog and pony show. And this can be the third time that they've done this.

And it doesn't do it. It's ceremonial. They get to make memes and make videos and photo ops out of it. And it really doesn't have any impact on what President Trump can do in his power. So if they want to go ahead and impeach him, fine, but it doesn't do anything. And I think it'll light a fire under the Republicans' asses anyway.

It'll help them politically. Impeachments always help presidents, actually. Bill Clinton was helped by his impeachment.

He lost like 60% approval.

Yeah.

He got out of office.

Yes. Every one of these guys, every time, but every time Trump's impeached, he goes up. So yeah, I mean, they can do that. It's a fool's errand. That's why stupid people like Al Green support it.

What we're going to have to watch is how many senators, let's say this night doesn't go the way we want it to go and the Democrats wind up with 55 senators, right? I mean, you got to watch and see if there are 11 flaky Republicans in the Senate that will move to convict.

Here's my.

I don't think that will happen, though.

Here's my biggest concern I'd like to get all your thoughts on. Listen, we all lived through this, but I took, I was one of the first releases in the Twitter files. I was banned by YouTube. I was banned from Google Ads. You know, you can love or hate my show, but there's no disputing like we were on the receiving end of a cancel culture ass kicking. I mean, they came after us like nobody else. You know, it was horrible. And we fought the fight. We did what we could do. That's how I wound up on Rumble. But that's what really does frighten me because you've got this, you've got this group of just insanely radical, now potential Democrat senators from Trani Annie, if that happens, we hope it doesn't, to maybe Al Syed.

Combine that with a bunch of folks out there who really believe tyrannical socialism, a bunch of like young kids and stuff out there who believe socialism's the way forward. I got to tell you, if this may look that prior, make that prior about a cancel culture, you know, look like a kid's McDonald's birthday party with the orange drink. I mean, this could get really ugly.

Yeah. Well, I'm happy to be living in Tennessee. I'll say that much because that's a refuge from the crazy.

On social media, you know, you have, we all have a voice, right? I think we're all influencers in a way. People watching right now, even if you have 200 followers on social media, you can have a video go viral. And I think there's something really special about that, that we all do have a voice. Unfortunately, some people who are really stupid also have that voice.

Also true.

But, you know, in terms of censorship, I mean, I think when we, you know, on our shows, we talk so much about going to the polls and getting people out to vote, but everyone watching is also an influencer. You have the, you know, the opportunity to speak to your family, your friends, and get them out to vote. And I hope that Republicans do that tonight. I know, you know, we're cautiously optimistic here, but I think that Republicans know what's at stake. And, you know, in terms of censorship and what can happen this time, we saw what happened in 2020 with censorship, the Hunter Biden laptop story, the media effectively buried it.

Polls came out later saying if the Americans knew the truth about that story, the outcome of the election would have changed.

Absolutely.

That's damning, right? That was the mainstream media that we know. And the Democrats are still in bed with them. And social media had a huge part in that. Again, that was Twitter, Twitter 1.0. Thankfully, Elon Musk has taken over Twitter and now we have X and it's much better. But again, they came out, the Democrat establishment came out and they found 51 phony intelligence officers to say that this was Russian disinformation. Again, when there is a misinformation campaign, people see that on their social media feeds, they believe it. And we're going to have to come out against that and have the facts.

And I know the facts are always on our side.

Yeah, 100% right, too. And one thing I'll say, you can say I'm only an account with 200 followers, but think about what a room full of 200 people looks like. It's a big room, right?

It's a lot.

So use your platform. Absolutely. 100%. The numbers are coming in in Texas, 30% in. I'm sure this is early, a lot of these early votes, but James Talarico does have a 400,000 vote lead in Texas. So it's early. It's not time to panic there yet, but we're just watching that as the polls have closed in Texas.

So wait, give me the right side.

So polls have closed in Texas. James Talarico with a 400,000 vote lead, 30% in. He's up by 15 percentage points, but it's early in Texas. I mean, you could still.

Yeah, but I'll take the good news. It doesn't matter. Like, give me some.

James Talarico, the good news is that Talarico is leading, but it's early, right? So that's, it's not the best news, but it's not over yet.

Well, the early vote.

The early vote.

Yeah, the early vote.

How are you? How are you? Good to see you. How's everything?

Good to see you.

Sorry, Haley, I just walked you onto the sad news.

Oh, good to see you.

So we do it all casual here in election. You guys know Catalina Lauf, she was with us. She ran for Congress over on the West Coast in a district I know pretty well, Florida 19. Thank you for doing that, by the way. It's a great district over there.

It is. It's paradise.

Yeah. Well, Florida numbers. Yeah. It was, listen, that was a run, you know, knocking on doors in the 95-degree Florida sun. It's like, you get a tan real quick.

And a shower.

Every day at three o'clock. So the Florida numbers, you know, that you ran in this cycle, you know, Florida pretty well. It seemed to be decent, not terrible. Looks like the race has been called for Byron Donald's and Ashley Moody. Some congressional races, though, we could really use, we could tighten up. Your general thoughts on election night?

Yeah, I'm actually, I'm grateful that it's not this big doomsday that everybody's been predicting. I'm so excited. My friend, Congresswoman Ana Paulina Luna, is going to take that, her seat. She's going to remain there. Some of these other races are kind of a surprise. You have that Darren Sato and Dan Green race. And I was actually, I'm pretty surprised at those results. I think I thought the Republican would actually compete pretty well. Also, you're looking at Florida 22, Casey Asghar against a woman, I think her name was Priya or something like that.

And, you know, he's also not doing great. So, but overall, we're actually doing pretty well, I think, compared to the overall social media and craziness that everybody's been talking about. But I think most importantly, though, we need to, you know, we need to figure out, especially here in Florida, how are we going to recruit the best candidates for those seats moving forward? I think nobody really predicted how these redistricting, this redistricting was going to go. I think they used the numbers from Trump's big red wave, which was fantastic.

But I think we also need to focus on what are we doing from a state party perspective. I'm power has been great, but we need to kind of, you know, re-energize the next generation and get really great candidates and hopefully flip those seats if they don't go our way this time. I was fascinated to talk to you about young candidates because you were a very young candidate. And if Michael Alfonso wins in Wisconsin, he'll be the youngest candidate in Congress, the youngest congresswoman. He'll also be the first Gen Z congresswoman ever, which I think is really amazing.

He'll be unseating, not unseating, but in terms of Brandon Gill being the youngest, he will now be the youngest, which is great. I think having younger candidates is wonderful. But I think a lot of young people are falling into this Democratic socialist trap. And I think that's probably because of affordability. So how do you think we can get to those younger voters and tell them that Democratic socialism, it's a bill of goods, it's a lie, and Republicans actually have the answer to these problems?

I think first and foremost, it starts with having great messengers. You know, you have people, I'll reference Florida, but also, you know, across the country too. You've got some of this new generation, the millennials that are coming in, and they're having a good time peer-to-peer messaging with these younger generation. But we have to hone down the fact that affordability, the reason why people can't afford homes that are young or can't find jobs and all that is government's fault. And free enterprise, free market, Republican-backed solutions actually help all of that in a way that it allows somebody to define their own destiny.

It allows somebody to keep more of their paycheck. Look at what happened in the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act. I was honored to work for President Trump in the 45th administration when we were talking about things like the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act that brought back more to businesses, more pro-growth of people of all walks of life and all ages. And so we need to, though, message that correctly, but do it in a way that is relatable. And that's bringing back policies and principles of the past. You know, we talk about people like Frederick Hayek, we talk about people like Ludwig von Mises, people that Charlie Kirk admired.

And, but we do it in a way that resonates with the younger generation. And right now, I think from a congressional standpoint, we're sometimes missing that bill. But I think the solution to that is recruiting a next generation. You know, sometimes you have these people, you know, they run a bunch of times and they're older and things like that. That's great. But it's now the next generation's turn to carry the torch. And we need to meet them at where they are too. So it's government's fault that they can't afford homes. It's not Republicans' fault. Republicans actually are saving them from that.

Well, one of the things that I always say, and then one way to make the cost of something go up is for government to start paying for it, right?

Exactly.

Like the cost of TVs has plummeted. You look at a TV in Walmart right now, it's 100 inches. You could buy it for $2,000. $2,000, 10 years ago, bought you a 50-inch TV, right? You know, an OLED that's hanging on the wall and it's curved and everyone's making a big deal. Well, government's not involved in the production of televisions, but they are involved in healthcare, housing, education, and all the things you're seeing jacked up because it sets an artificial floor, right? So think about it. Like if you're going to school, you're a student and you need money, you're going to get federal tax dollars to subsidize your tuition. Well, now the colleges know, okay, $10,000 is available to this student.

So why don't we just jack it up a little bit more and see what we can get? How much juice can we squeeze out of the lemon? The same thing happens with housing. And so, and I've had this conversation with young folks before. Granted, it was years ago, but I was asking him about healthcare. He said, I want free healthcare. And I said, how is it going to be free? And he said, the government's going to pay for it. I said, that's amazing. He goes, yeah, I know. I said, well, where's the government get the money from? And he said, taxes. And I went, who pays those? And he says, we do. And then I said, so if someone told you, pay me $20,000 for a car, but the car is free, would you buy it? No, because you have to pay money.

If you're paying for something, it's not free. And so I think people need to understand that government money, when they pay for stuff for you to have, it's still your money that they're using to pay for it. You're still paying for it. It's just going through an intermediary. It's hard to explain that, though. And it's hard for younger folks to understand that, I think. They hear free and that's all they need to hear, especially in this 90-second attention span culture.

Yes. We have a serious, like education deficit with younger voters, but not to be macabre about it, but the loss of Charlie.

Oh, 100%.

Is really destructive. I mean, Charlie, losing Charlie as a friend was bad enough. But Charlie, you knew Charlie, I knew Charlie. Charlie had a very unique ability to just, you know, even in his events, people would always, it's like Pyro at his events and all this stuff. Like, what are you complaining about? All these kids, you know, they want to be, they like, they like, they were entertained a little bit. It's fun or everything. Who says like politics can't be somewhat enjoyable? Like, Charlie had a really unique ability. And I think with this education deficit we have with younger voters, that's going to sting a lot.

Oh, absolutely. And that's the thing too. We need to talk to parents about how they're educating kids and the next generation. You know, how do millennials not understand the horrors of socialism and communism? And it's, that's not the route we want to go down. And the fact that the school system is failing and of the realities of that is devastating. But it, you know, parents have to also get involved too and tell their kids their stories, tell the ancestors' stories, tell the immigrant stories and the positive stories about what the American dream means as opposed to third world countries that people who live in the horrors of socialism and communism too.

So it starts with the young kids.

I agree. And we really, the education, socialism is an education problem. That's all it is. That's what you tell people what it is.

Well, that's what happens in the schools. They teach them that it's a good thing. I was taught that it was a bad thing. You know, and that's the way, that's the way it should be taught. It should be taught that it's dangerous, right?

Yeah. Where did you go to school?

I actually went to school in New York on Long Island.

Whoa.

It was several decades ago. At this point, I'm 35.

Long Island.

Long Island. That's right. That's right.

You mentioned earlier redistricting and redistricting can be a sticky wicket.

Yeah.

Because in a state like Florida, and I think it was a good idea that we did it. I want to be clear with the audience. However, what you do with a redistrict in a state like Florida that's growing redder over time or has been, right, is you take, say, a 60-40 Republican, Democrat seat, a red seat, 60 obviously red, 40 blue, and you say, listen, let's take 5% of that Republican vote away and stick it in another district that's kind of swingy and make it more advantageous for a Republican and make that other district maybe 51-49.

The issue with that is in what potentially could be a blue wave year, which I hope tonight isn't, but could be, you wind up losing both of those seats. You wind up losing the seat that was once solidly Republican, and you wind up losing the swingy seat as well. That's kind of the, I mean, the good news being it can all reverse and then you can get another, but you get this back and forth. It's almost like whiplash.

Oh, absolutely. And I'm confident that hopefully we learn from this. Say it's not the best cycle that we learn from this when the next redistricting happens. And so we can sort of kind of look at those things. But you're absolutely right. I mean, this is just, you don't want to say that we got too greedy. We don't want to say that yet, because I don't think it's true. I think it's great that we're adding awesome seats, especially when you look at places like Texas and California, not Texas, sorry, California and all these other, Illinois, for example, all these places that are completely, you know, they would be red at heart, but they've completely gerrymandered it.

I don't think we did that here. I think we were as fair as we could be.

There's some arguments that we were too fair.

Exactly. And so, you know, I think it's a learning, whatever happens.

Right.

You know?

I agree. How's Michigan Senate? What are we looking at?

So Michigan, we have the early vote coming in, 11% in, El Sayed up 15 points, still early. We don't need to panic on Michigan yet. Texas, same deal. I'm specifically tracking Collin County, which is a bellwether. Talarico, early vote, leading by 13 percentage points in Collin. That could change because it is the early vote. So what we want to watch, if he wins, if Talarico wins Collin, you could probably say Texas is going to go blue.

Along the lines of what we were just talking about, if you run a slate of candidates like this, so unsuited towards where I really think the country is, I do not think the country really understands right now the damage of electing a liberal like Talarico or El Sayed.

I agree.

This could be very damaging for the Democrat brand going forward.

Could be.

I mean, listen, a loss, if we lose, and we haven't lost anything yet on that front, but I'm saying if we lose, a loss is a loss. And again, there's no lipstick on that pig electorally. But having said that, do you really want like 10 or 15 AOC type candidates? AOC looks moderate compared to El Sayed. And then here's what happens, because I, you know, I've run for office in a state where we had a couple of candidates who were not doing a particularly good job. El Sayed's going to say something if he were to pull this out or Talarico's going to say something ridiculous about, you know, God being 67 genders or whatever it is.

Right.

And every single Democrat running for president and up on Capitol Hill is going to get asked the question, do you agree with El Sayed? Just like El Sayed was asked about Hassan Piker. So, you know, they got to be careful here too, because they're not going to be able to get a leash on these radicals. They're freaking nuts. Like they're legitimately crazy.

Well, that's the problem. Is the, you know, Frankenstein gets out of the lab and now he's terrorizing the city, right? That's the whole thing. Jurassic Park. You created dinosaurs. Great. But now the dinosaurs are eating the people. Not great, right? So it's like, you know, you're going to deal with, you're going to have to lay in the bed that you made here. You know, part of the problem too, I think you mentioned was that this could be damaging to the Democrat brand, but it also needs to be a wake-up call for Republicans if this doesn't go our way that, you know, we can't react emotionally in the voting booth, in the ballot, at the ballot box, when we don't get 100% of what we want.

I made an analogy. You know, let's say you're on an airplane and it's full of 100 passengers and you get to vote and say what happens on that plane. Well, 48% of the passengers vote to crash it. 47% of the passengers vote to keep the plane up and land it safely. And 5% don't vote. Well, guess what's going on in the plane? It's going down because you sat on your hands because you weren't happy with something the pilot said or the peanuts didn't taste good or the seat didn't recline or there was too much turbulence and you got emotional about it and said, well, what's the point of this anyway? Let's just crash the whole thing. Well, now you're dead, right?

So we don't want that.

Give us an update, Vince. What you're looking at? I'm going to do a quick, Gee, you ready to take a quick break here? We'll get to some races with Vince. Yeah.

Yeah.

We're good?

We're looking at some of the Cauchy numbers right now because these are just really going to be like what people think is very likely to happen. So this isn't just based on the results that are coming in. This is based on the results that have already come in and people are putting their real money down on what they think is about to happen, what comes next. At this moment, the Michigan race that you guys were just talking about, Abdel El Sayed, 95%. Again, this is a Cauchy prediction. This is not the actual result and it's not even what the vote tallies look like right now. But people are looking at some of these early results and going, okay, well, there may be a case for these Democrats.

Maybe what you were just talking about, that message about socialism not resonating at the level that it should with the public. And it's interesting, I look at these numbers and I think, and see, they bumped to 96%. This is a live board that we're looking at. As you look at this, one of the things that stood out to me today was the CNN exit poll said 56% of Americans say their economic situation is better right now than it was two years ago. 56% of Americans. And yet.

What do they think did that? The freaking Democrats?

Very apparently.

That's right. And yet. They shut down the government. They didn't do anything.

Yet you have people flirting with some of these socialist candidates. And it must be, if you're one of the people saying, I'm better off economically, you must be convinced a bit by the psyop that other people are suffering and that socialism's the answer. So you see, there are problems right now. And a lot of that, as always, emanates back to who controls the flow of information? Where do people get this stuff from? And certainly, I think the media deserves its massive share of the blame for the disinformation operation.

Vince, you know, and Sean, you know as well, that if Joe Biden had won and run a second term, right, and the median household income was the highest it's ever been, which it is right now under Donald Trump, the unemployment rates, the lowest it's been in something like four or five decades, right? You had GDP numbers hit 3.4, which is exceptional levels of great. Anything over three is very, very good. You had crime rates at all time lows. You had the border effectively closed. You had the federal workforce being leaned out, the DOGE numbers.

Biden would be on, I mean, they'd have a...

They'd have him on Mount Rushmore already.

They'd paint it. They would do the, they would actually paint him, like paint a face on Mount, you know, which they never do. It wouldn't be granite color. He'd be right there. Like they would actually shave off the face of T.R. or somebody.

Yeah, they take one off and they put him on encased in gold.

So I think Vince's point is a good one that this is a, you know, people throw around, they throw around the term psyop, but the media has become one never-ending ongoing psyop where it's like if they just would have told the truth, I think tonight we would have run away with it. I mean, some of this stuff is like, you just said it. You're voting on the economy. So you're voting in for the people that brought you the doom and gloom. It's crazy.

And you looked at the surveys as we went in, Americans are saying they side with President Trump on immigration. He had an 11-point advantage coming into Election Day on immigration, which makes a lot of sense given all of his successes. And yet we're seeing some of these results. Another Cauchy result for you. Again, these are what the prediction markets are holding right now. Cauchy finding that a belief in a place like Maine, Troy Jackson, who the guy barely can string a sentence together. He was the replacement candidate for the Nazi tattoo guy. Democrats forced him.

Married his cousin.

On the entire party. He married his cousin. 90% is what people suspect is likely to happen. Susan Collins, who's had such a long historic run, such Republicans have had to kind of basically swallow their concern about her not always voting with us all the time is because we got a Republican in Maine.

Worth noting she's leading right now.

And she's leading.

Worth noting she's leading. So she is leading by 2,000 votes right now. It says 6% is in. So again, those were Cauchy odds.

Those were Cauchy odds.

The vote right now, Susan Collins is leading. She does tend to overperform that.

And again, these are early, the early states that are informing, I think, a lot of the people who are making these judgments on Cauchy. And then, of course, you also see what's happening, Alaska Senate. Alaska Senate, we're not going to know for hours, hours. That's coming overnight for those of us on the East Coast. And yet the belief here is that the Democrats may prevail in the rigging operation that Mary Peltola, Chuck Schumer, Mark Elias, the ballot manipulation specialists, that all these guys were responsible for. Is this what's going to happen? We'll see. People believe it on Cauchy.

What do you believe? We'll see what happens tonight.

Yeah, quick break. And my good friend Brandon Dilley said, good to see you there, Brandon. Sharp-looking, sharp-looking jacket you got there. Today's show is brought to you by Brickhouse Nutrition. Go to brickhousenutrition.com/dan. Use code Dan for 20% off your order. Check out all the products. They've been great for us. Check out Lean. Today's show also brought to you by Birch Gold. Buy gold and get free silver. Do I have your attention now? When you open a precious metals IRA with Birch Gold before Veterans Day, you'll get a free one-ounce commemorative silver coin for every $10,000 purchase.

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What's up, bro?

Good to see you, Miguel Fournas.

How you doing?

How you doing, buddy? Good to see you guys. You listen, you guys are the meme lords, meme specialists out there. You guys know Brandon Dilley has a Brandon Dilley show and the famous Miguel Fournas from Twitter. You guys are fantastic out there. Listen, the messaging tonight, it doesn't look like we really broke through. And I think with socialist candidates around the country performing exceptionally well, man, we got a messaging issue going on.

Well, I think it's a convergence of issues. I think the comms and messaging is always going to be a critical one. There's another thing that I'm looking at, man, I'm just going to be, I'll be blunt. We got a problem with these predictive markets because human beings are moved by fear of missing out. And when you are allowing predictive markets to be publicly displayed the way that you do, and then you combine it with the mainstream media fake news, you're literally psyoping right out the gate because people are going to vote based on, no one wants to be a loser.

So you're using a gambling method, a predictive market. People are conditioned to bet on winners. So when you come out the gate and you're like, 80% chance of XYZ winning, if I'm a Democrat mega donor, then I know I can just spam the predictive markets with my money instead of actually putting it into a campaign. And I can right out the gate. I already know psychologically I can inflict a huge change in how people are viewing a particular race. We got a bigger problem, man.

I'm telling you right now, when you look at this and you look at how people make decisions, forget politics, but when they make decisions, the fear of missing out is a massive, massive impact on how people make those choices.

But this Angie Nixon race, even though the race has been called for Ashley Moody, the Senate race in Florida, I think that's the one that has me really disturbed. You know, we live in Florida. You know Florida pretty well. I mean, there's a huge Venezuelan and Cuban community. Some of them have family members that are in Cuban political prisons. The fact that this woman ran as an open socialist, and I mean, she's going to lose the race, but performed very well. I mean, she should have lost by 10.

That says to me, again, like we have a huge messaging issue. I don't know if we've got to do better on TikTok or better with the, I don't know what. If I had the answer, I, you know, I'd be out there pushing it and it would have been different. But we got to get the message out to these young kids.

Well, and that's what I'm, it kind of gets back to what I'm saying. I think people have largely tuned out on politics. So we already know they're not watching the television anymore. And I think when you look across the political podcast sphere, numbers overall are down right now. Like I think everybody is kind of like, I'm burnt out.

Fatigue.

Fatigue.

Sure.

So then what are you left? You're left with drive-by. If the drive-by is predictive markets.

Demographic. True. Good point.

Then people are like, I'm betting on the winner. I don't even, I don't even think like a lot of these voters, I don't even necessarily know that they're going to the polls being aware of what they're voting for. What they know is that I'm voting for the guy that has a 70% chance of winning. I'm voting for the woman that has an 82% chance of victory. I swear, I think this is going to end up being one of those things that's going to come back and bite people in the butt because it is such a massive part of how human beings make decisions.

It's true.

Is not wanting to be on the losing side of an issue.

Or keeping up with the Joneses. It's called the Jones effect. You know, when you sell, I used to sell DirecTV and I used to see this all the time. I would sell the service to a person on a block. The satellite would go up on that person's roof and then three of their neighbors would come find me afterwards because they want what the neighbor had, right? And so it's about joining into something or being a part of something. It's that dance party thing you talk about. We got one guy dancing, two guys, four, 16, 32, whatever the case may be. It grows exponentially. And so there is that part of it. You know, they tried to do this in the Massey primary, if you remember. And it didn't work because people saw through that in Kentucky 4, but the entire country is in Kentucky 4 and it's been a little bit different.

But you're right about the Jones effect.

I want to address that though, too. And you could feel free to chime in there. Miguel Fournas, the doomerism on our side did not help. And I say on our side loosely because I think now we're starting to see that a lot of these people were never on our side to begin with. And I have a note here. This is for tomorrow's show. But if the results tonight do not turn out as expected or not great, we would lose the House and the Senate or both. Watch who's celebrating tomorrow and then tell me again if they were ever on your side to begin with.

Very good point.

100%. Yeah, it's deceptive and it's sad, but I think I'm just surprised that the discernment levels are not better because it seems like people are getting it and seeing through it. But then people are celebrating that. I don't know. Like Brandon said, it's kind of sad, but I love President Trump and all that he's doing. And people are just like, well, you know, it's pretty depressing in some sense. Do you think, say they come out of this tonight and they get a Senate majority, I don't know, 53, 54 Democrats in the House, say they, you know, pull 10, 15, 20 seats in the House, they are going to overreach.

I mean, you know the Democrats have zero self-control. I mean, even they're not their agenda. The Wall Street Journal, which is not a huge friend to President Trump, Homan Jenkins has this ongoing piece he's been writing forever. It's a really good piece. But he talks about how like the Democrats basically probably gave through their repeated impeachments and attacks and weaponization on President Trump, probably one to 2% of the popular vote was just disaffected. People wouldn't have voted if they just would have slowed down and shut up. In other words, they have no self-control at all. I think if they come out of tonight with a pretty good Democrat night, the next two years may not be all they bargain for with these lunatics in charge.

No, of course, not. And not only that, they're going to try to like blunt his agenda, which is working. And that's the really sad part for the American public is when you see a 3.4% GDP growth in the third quarter and you look and you go, we are trending so hard in the correct direction that like next year, especially if we have a strong fourth quarter with the holiday season, a lot of what I think could have been like a massive win for the American people, the Democrats are going to go into the, especially if they end up with both chambers.

I don't even want to go there, but like the House specifically, they're going to be able to kneecap a lot of the agenda and they're going to try to.

Fox just called it too. So Byron's actually pulling it. Fox just called Florida, folks. So in addition to other outlets. So I think we can comfortably say Byron Donald's going to be, and now he's starting to pull away a little bit. Up by, it looks like close to one and a half points.

Almost one and a half, yeah.

It'd been called earlier, I think it was a DDHQ.

They're usually premature, but they're pretty good. And the numbers were, you know, Panhandle coming in, he wasn't going to lose. But yeah, you know, Fox has to do the due diligence. They're on TV. DDHQ is an internet store.

I mean, you're a Florida resident, unexpectedly close, but we'll take a dub in a midterm year. And he's actually pulling away a little bit right now.

Yeah, a lot of relocations.

Some good news, folks. Thankfully, it's not all bad news tonight. We have Florida, seems to be a refuge from the insanity, as it always is.

For Tennessee here.

It is.

We got to check out Ohio too. I wanted to see what's going on.

I'm going to pull that up. That's more important.

With Ohio.

Let's see.

Yeah, yeah. So this is what winds up happening too during these midterms also is you get a lot of parochial interest. In other words, I know when I was up in Maryland, after we had the two Obama terms, there was a lot of apathy. And so that's why I never, I don't, anyone wants to talk about like ducking out of politics. I'm like, you're talking to the wrong guy. I'm never giving up. I'm never giving up on my country. Any of that, forget about it. But after Obama won the second term and people were convinced, like there's no way this guy's going to win. Obamacare was a disaster. Remember they couldn't even get the website to work?

Right.

Do you know how many people, me included, moved and decamped to Florida? So I think they're going to go so crazy in these next two years and just embarrass themselves so much. You may see an actual hardening of these red states and these Midwestern and Southern firewalls for the presidential election.

We're going to proceed forward, man. We got two more years to President Trump. We're going to go pedal down.

How do you think, forget doomerist stand for a minute. How do you think President Trump, you know, the boss out there, how do you think he responds?

To this?

Yeah.

He's going to be pissed.

Yeah.

I think he's going to be heated. I think that there's going to be.

He worked his ass off. I mean, there's no doubt. You can't take that away from the guy. 30 rallies in 28 days. I mean, at 80 years old.

Come on.

I couldn't do that. The other question you have to ask yourself is how bad would it have been?

Had he not done that?

Good point. 30 rallies in 30 days.

Yeah, good point.

And I think that there's a bunch of people right now that he knows who's responsible for what's happening. And they're people that I think he put his faith and trust in. And whether that's at the GOP level, the RNC level, whoever that is, I think that there are people right now that this is a face plant moment for them. And you had two years to prepare for this. You have, in my opinion, we had quality candidates. I don't think we had any, I mean, there was a few that were like a little squishy, but for the most part, like especially in this state, like we had strong candidates.

I think Byron's a great candidate. I thought Ashley Moody was a solid candidate. The fact that those races are not probably a bigger margin of victory definitely speaks to the organizational effort in this state. I think it also, you know, there's, I think you had a sitting governor that also was at times counter-messaging with what was going on. And I think you're starting to almost forcing voters to have this choice of like these loyalty tests where it's like, if I'm loyal to the existing governor, then, you know, I don't want to back the president's pick.

I think there was a lot of that crap going on. And I think people, it's gotten very tribalistic and it's gotten tribalistic inside of the Republican Party. I don't think this is a unified party right now.

No, it's definitely not.

Yeah, it's definitely not.

We've been through this before though. Brendan, thank you, man. I really appreciate you coming on. Miguel.

Brother.

Pleasure. Thanks for having us.

Thanks, guys. Yeah, really appreciate it. So listen, tonight, you know, obviously it doesn't look like it's going to be a fantastic result, but I've been through this before. You know, I've seen this with the whole, with the Obama era when people were ready to give up. And then out of that came the Tea Party and our first big successes for a long time. I mean, we had the Budget Control Act, the BCA that happened after a while. I tell you, you're going to see it tomorrow. There's going to be a lot of doom and gloom. I'm ready to forfeit the country.

They're going to try to say Maggie's dad, right? That's what they're going to put on.

Well, that'll be probably like the thousandth time we've heard that.

Right. Exactly.

You know, but it just keeps coming back. And listen, the Democrats dust off, they get up and they come out and they do their thing.

Well, what do Russia want to say?

Never give up, right?

So that's it.

That's definitely coming up tomorrow. I'm doing it again. So.

Thanks, guys.

Oh, yeah. Thanks, guys. We appreciate it.

So let's take a look at South Carolina.

South Carolina.

We got Texas up.

I got Texas up right now. DDHQ giving Talarico a 93% chance of winning. So it sounds like, it looks as if with 60% of the vote in that James Talarico is going to be the next senator out of Texas. We'll see what happens when all the votes are counted. Ohio, 62% chance that Sherrod Brown wins. That's not necessarily surprising. Much closer margin there, only about 200 or so thousand votes. South Carolina, let's take a look at South Carolina. That didn't look good the last time I was over here. Darlene Graham down six percentage points.

In deep red South Carolina, you could ask the question about candidate quality there. Was this the right choice? You're honoring Lindsey Graham's legacy. I mean, hindsight is 20/20, right? But she's down 90%, 90,000 votes in South Carolina with how much of the vote in here? 77%. So it's getting a little late in South Carolina. In Ohio, we talked about that. In Texas, we talked about that. In Maine, Susan Collins continues to lead in Maine. Susan Collins.

Susan Collins may be.

I mean, it's only 11% of the vote.

Same most resilient United States politician I have ever seen.

But it's only 11%. So there's a chance she doesn't survive either, but.

The fact, given that the numbers, you know, EV and otherwise have not been great, you know, the entire night.

Right.

She just continues to win. It's bizarre. But right now with Texas not looking great, with South Carolina not looking great, with Ohio not looking great, we do have to start to wonder, what is Kansas going to look like? What is Iowa going to look like? What is Alaska going to look like? Like if we lose those states, 55, 56 Senate seats could go to the Democrats. That's kind of scary.

Yeah. Well, Florida.

You know, we got to dust off and come back. You know, that's it.

They got to, Fox is running Florida. Like everybody in Florida seems to be content that we did all right. But we also got to keep in mind, there's a national environment here too. Florida seems to buck the trend tonight. So congratulations to Floridians. But to the Texans in the chat, I got to tell you, man, I'm really confused how this guy who was so poorly suited, and it's not over, nothing's over there yet, but how this guy, I mean, Jim, you're a Texan. What the hell?

I'm shocked because I've been following this.

You know what we're doing, Jim, right folks? Everybody just walks in and off the set here. So we try to do the opposite of cable news where everything's like structured.

Jackson now leading in Maine slightly. So just so we know. That's it.

I'm shocked because I've been following this all night and I got worried right away when I started to look at the counties. And the counties, you had Dallas up 47 with 81% of the vote in. That's not a surprise. Harris just reported that was a big dump for Talarico because that's all of Houston. Then you have Tarrant County at plus 21. That's a big red flag.

Huge problem.

Then you had Collin County at 13.3.

Yep. Another big problem.

With 85% of the vote in.

That's a bellwether.

The shocking one to me, my own county, Denton County, down 8.8. And we were a solidly red county. So I think this has a lot to do with a lot of tech people moving in. There's a big Indian community in Frisco, a big Asian community elsewhere throughout because it's a big tech sector. And a lot of people are going to vote Democrat. And it's bluing our very red counties.

And it's unfortunate.

How much of this is the Cornin factor? You said you had mentioned today, we talked privately, you know, off air, that John Cornin and the subversion essentially in this race plays a role as well.

I think a big part of this is the Cornin factor because it's not only did he not endorse or tell his supporters to go over and vote, even Republican.

Right.

Ken Paxton's own wife, who had the messy divorce.

She even said, right?

Yes. She goes, I'm voting straight Republican ticket. John Cornin couldn't see his way to do that. Instead, he went on Twitter and just cried and cried and whined and whined.

Correct.

About losing. And he was going to teach Texans. I don't know if you remember those audio tapes that came out that they were trying to make an October surprise that wasn't an October surprise.

Right.

And Paxton was on there saying that a friend had approached him and was, or had approached John Cornin at a dinner. And Cornin, the man went up to John and he said, I appreciate your service to Texas. Thank you for everything you did. I hope you can see it in your heart to support Ken Paxton.

Right.

And Cornin got angry and got in his face and said, he's going to lose. And I'm going to show all these Republicans in Texas that they made a mistake and they better not do this again.

What's so scary about that too is that the border issue invasion that happened under the Biden administration was one of the cornerstone foundational reasons why, you know, President Trump was thankfully reelected. And now all of that, I believe in Texas, I mean, you know better than anybody down there, I mean, that's all going to go sideways if Talarico wins. And in such a position like that, you need to have strong leadership. And so I'm really concerned about that particular issue, especially.

Well, and Catalina, the point you make with the border too is the border went red in 2024 pretty much, I think, except for one county. This time it's going back to blue because they've demonized Trump's deportation policies so bad, which he said he was going to do in 2024.

Right. He voted for it.

Exactly.

But they lie about it.

Right.

And it's just.

Numbers out of Kansas are not looking very good. 42% of the vote in Hamilton leading 62 to 35 over Roger Marshall.

That's unbelievable.

That's in Kansas.

How's Minnesota looking?

I'm going to check. We can check right now.

Minnesota.

I'm going to look at Minnesota.

So Catalina, as we look at the Minnesota numbers, what do you think voters had on their minds as they go to the polls today? Because for those of us who've been engaged in conservative politics, you follow this closely, I could, I could literally, you wake me up in the dead of night and be like, list Trump's victories. And I'll be like, I got them. I'm like, I'm ready to go. Yeah. But apparently voters are not of the same mind. I mentioned earlier that sometimes when you solve problems, voters don't spend much time dwelling on the things you solve. They're just kind of moving on to the next thing. What do you think voters were thinking about today? Well, I first want to remind everybody that, you know, President Trump, things like the Save America Act.

Yeah.

That's not, the fact that that's not passed is not President Trump's fault. That's Congress's fault.

Right.

And I think Republicans especially are so disenchanted with Congress as a whole.

True.

And I think we need to focus if this is this, you know, red wedding type thing that we're seeing on our side. We need to focus on not looking at just short-term elections, election cycles. What is the long-term, what does our party stand for from the long-term perspective? And how are we recruiting the next generation, not only of candidates, but also expanding the base? You know, we can't run away from the fact that President Trump had a historic win and brought people of all walks of life.

So I really don't think that this is just, I think this is actually the fact that people are so upset with Congress as a whole and it being ineffective. And, you know, I wrote a book about this, Time to Choose, because we really need to remind ourselves that we have the power of what we want in an elected official, from your representative to your senator. And when people are so disenchanted with the way that they're not essentially doing their job.

Yes.

Getting taxpayer money, and we're all working very hard, but not solving our, you know, basic foundational issues. Like how is the Save America Act something so controversial?

Yep.

How is the Lincoln-Reilly Act something that people should vote against? You know, so I think people are just frustrated in general with Congress. It has one of the lowest approval ratings in history.

So smart. You're so smart. Because people feel powerless. And then when they feel powerless and they feel like the election is rigged, that they have no chance to overwhelm it, they tap out of the system. Like why would I even exert the calories or the money to participate in it if they think the election is entirely rigged against them? I'm glad you mentioned that people have agency. They do still for now, and they should employ it. So the Save America Act, I mean, we talk a lot about what the president's record is tonight.

Correct.

But it is really important. Catalina is really bringing it back into focus. This is not a race about President Trump as much as President Trump wanted it to be about him.

Right.

The president goes out on a camp, on the rallies all across the country, says, make it about me because I'm more popular than any of you are. He's more popular than the entire Democrat Party. And yet these guys who can't even get the Save America Act, but they can't get a voter ID bill passed. How big of an impact do you think that has, Sean?

I think it has a big, and it's not just that bill. It's the fact that once you say that's going to require an act of Congress, people start rolling their eyes.

Right.

Right?

Well, that's not going to happen.

Oh, well, all right. If it's Congress, then what's not? And you're seeing a lot of people trying to change hands of who holds Congress. The issue is now you're going to have Donny DeVito, right? President DeVito, who's going to veto everything that the Democrat Congress wants to do, thankfully, right? Because we don't need socialism and all this incredible insane spending and their wild agenda. But are Democrats going to use that and say, well, he's standing in the way. Now you have to vote for one of our people in 2028.

Are they going to use that as a way to campaign for their candidate? Say, oh, give us everything we want. We'll make it better. And that's going to be on us to say, well, last time you had everything you wanted, you killed us with the Inflation Reduction Act, Obamacare, the infrastructure bill, all this crazy stuff through the border wido.

Right.

Right? So we're going to have to be ready for the Democrats to call Trump an obstructionist in this case.

Catalina, you know, President Trump has negotiated with Vladimir Putin. He's negotiated with Kim Jong-un, Xi Jinping. He's negotiated with all of them. He's with all of them. The Gay de Form Diatola has negotiated with the president of the United States. Will he be able to negotiate with Hakeem Jeffries?

Oh my goodness. I, you know, when I think he actually, he will be able to, because I think President Trump has that ability and I think he has that charm. And I do believe, I hope so.

Yeah.

But I will also say, back to the point about all these great wins, is that why don't we have enough people in Congress who are lions, not only for their districts, but also for the administration and the agenda? You know, it's rare. President Trump can't do everything by himself. You know, he needs people to, in Congress, and you have, you know, a few congresswomen, Ana Paulina Luna, Brandon Gill, you know, you have these kind of young, great powerhouses. But like, what are 90% of the rest of them, you know, doing?

And I think people are just frustrated. I think Republicans in general are just, they're like, look, and I don't believe in a third party at all. But, you know, something's got to give. And we need to think about the long term.

I think the Save Act was really like super destructive that that did not get passed.

Agreed.

And that is, I mean, you can in no way put that on President Trump.

No, you can't.

I mean, even if you are the most die-hard anti-MAGA.

The only way you could put that on Trump.

The only way you could put that on Trump is if he didn't sign it after it was passed.

Right, right.

He wanted it passed. It didn't even get to his desk.

I mean, he told them basically with the filibuster.

Yeah.

That, listen, you at least have to do this talking filibuster thing. We're going to have to make some modifications. And by the way, now that it looks like they're going to pick up some Senate seats, the Democrats, you watch, one of my predictions was that once they get to Senate and they can change the rules, they will in fact move towards a talking filibuster and the exact same reforms. We just should have beat them to the punch and we didn't do it. And we could have got the Save Act through and at least secured up our elections. But that was, you know, I tried to warn him. I told so many members.

Yeah.

Who would call me, members of Congress.

Yeah.

I said, what do you think? And I said, listen, this Save Act thing, you guys heard me during the show. I brought it up so many times. I said, this Save Act thing, if we don't get this passed, you know, we're going to be in, we're going to be in real trouble. And, you know, they just didn't listen. I mean, you and I shouted about it all the time.

Yeah. I mean, the filibuster, the whole idea was that the Democrats have talked about ending the filibuster would have already been gone had it not been for Mansion and Sinema. Right?

Yeah.

So the whole point of us saying, well, why don't we just end it? Well, if they're going to end it anyway, we might as well do it on our terms and get what we can get before they get what they can get. Right? Instead, we decided to sit on our hands and, oh, well, if we don't do it and we stand on principle, then they'll do the same thing. The Democrats don't stand on principle. Their principle is power. Their principle is obtaining power by any means possible. And so, yes, I believe your prediction, unfortunately, is going to be right about that.

Let's just go through some races. So what do we got in Texas? Give us an update here.

All right. Over on Texas, we're looking at Talarico leading by about a million votes. 62% of the vote is in that equates to about 15 percentage points, which if that holds would just be, I don't even know how to describe that. Over in Maine, you've got Collins somehow running a competitive race in Maine.

I swear, like Susan Collins, I swear to you, is like the.

Only 13 percentage points.

She's like made of rubber, like whatever.

I don't know.

Just bounces off.

Michigan is a 12-point race.

Susan Collins, like, is this even explainable? Like this woman can survive. It's unbelievable.

Tell me what's happening right now.

Susan Collins is leading in Maine.

Yeah, give us some, give us some.

Yeah, give us some.

Tell me, tell me first of all, what's happening with Susan Collins.

Susan Collins is leading in Maine by about a thousand votes.

That's great. How many votes are in?

Only 13%.

Okay.

But that's where we're at with Susan Collins.

But the early votes for every other candidate are apocalyptic. The fact that she's even up is.

Now you asked about Minnesota.

Yeah.

Okay. Minnesota with 0% of the vote in, but there's votes on the board.

Yeah.

Michelle Defoya leading 2,350 votes to Flanagan 741.

Scrap that. That's probably.

That's not, that's so early.

Ohio, the vate?

Ohio, I got the Senate up here and Houston is up by five points. So that's closer than normal. Not Houston, I'm sorry. That's a Brown is up by five points, the Democrats. Houston is within five points. I didn't mean to mislead anybody.

That's a big screw up.

That's a, yeah. I didn't mean to mislead anyone. Well, look at the governor. I didn't look at the governor race.

Nebraska Senate?

Yeah. So let's look at this. So here's a look where you're seeing a Republican who is winning in the predictive markets on Calshier right now. You got Pete Rickards up with 84% support here from people who are like, I'm going to put my money on the line for this guy. Dan Osborne, you'll remember, this is a guy who is really the Democrat candidate from the race. He's running as an independent. He's kind of pretending he's independent. He ain't an independent. He's got all the endorsements of the Democrats. And he hates the people of his state. He straight up said on the campaign trail that his game plan was to get elected.

And then as soon as he did, he would trans the kits. That was, but I can't say that. He says, I can't say I support illegal aliens. Well, voters apparently hearing this in Nebraska, people watching Nebraska going, this guy's a stinker. He's destined for a loss, they think. So Pete Rickards looking good here, which is a very good sign for Pete. And, you know, Pete wants to hold on to power there and good for the Republicans. So we'll keep watching these races, but this is one of those signs where you're saying, okay, there's something here. There's something here tonight.

So Vick Romaswamy down eight points currently in Ohio.

Okay, before we get to some more results, I want to show you something I've been watching tonight. Calshier, we just checked it out up on the screen. Calshier is a prediction market platform where people can trade on real-world events, including elections. Their midterm hub brings together markets for Senate races, House-controlled governor races, and other key contests across the country. One reason I keep coming back to Calshier's midterm hub is that I like seeing more than just the latest results. It's one thing to watch votes come in. It's another to see how expectations shift with every new projection headline and vote drop throughout the night. So whether you're following a key Senate race or watching the battle for Congress, Calshier gives you a real-time look at what traders are predicting as the story unfolds.

Election night moves fast. Don't miss what the markets are saying. Go to calshier.com/bongino or check out Calshier through the link in the description. New users can trade $25 and get $55 in bonus credit. calshier.com/bongino. 18 or over. Only restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Calshier products are not available in all jurisdictions.

Bonus credits do not expire. See calshier.com/regulatory for more information. Thanks, Calshier. We appreciate it. So Ohio, Vivek down eight. What percentage of the vote is in Ohio?

Ohio, Vivek Ramaswamy down eight points with 56% of the vote in.

That's not a good result either. I mean, that Amy Acton was one, she was genuinely one of the worst candidates. She didn't even look sober throughout the campaign.

No, and not at all.

I don't know if that's a factor of, you know, I don't know if she's on medication or I have no idea why she's like that, but it's bizarre. I wouldn't think you could win a race like that.

And then running as the, you know, the COVID czar in the state of Ohio, when all they did was basically screw up that entire thing. I mean, there was no body of work there either. But again, it speaks to just this frustrated group of voters that I think the media just did a job on. I really do. I mean, I'm telling you tonight, if we had a midterm, you know, Joe Biden presidency, God forbid his second term, and he had the numbers Donald Trump had now on whether it was the border, whether it was crime, whether it was manufacturing, whether it was the economy, I mean, it would have been, they performed pretty well.

I mean, the Democrats showed up for Biden in the midterms. And as I said tonight, you know, if we show up, we win. We had the numbers. If we don't show up, we didn't. And a lot of people just, you know, didn't show up tonight.

That's what it comes down to is the numbers aren't there. And it's turnout, turnout, turnout. And I wonder, I do wonder how many crossovers there were to make a state like Florida that close. It wasn't just a lack of showing up. There had to have been a number of Republican voters that went into the voting booth and split their ticket. And that just can't happen in this day and age.

Do you guys want me to move down a little bit or do you?

I want to get up. Yeah.

Oh, okay. Sorry, guys. All right. Let's get some other updates here. Give me a main, Susan Collins, who seems to be the one bright spot here with some of the election results coming in. Susan Collins seems extremely, move down a little bit.

Yeah, the one, the one shining beacon of hope, I guess, is Susan Collins in Maine, who currently leads by almost 2,000 votes with 15% of the vote in. So Susan Collins may survive. She may not survive. It's still very early in that race.

What about Alaska, the famous?

I don't think we're getting results there yet. They're too far away.

The polls closed 12 Eastern.

Yeah, they're in another time zone.

But quickly on Susan Collins, I just want to make a mention that last night her office was attacked. There was a bunch of red paint outside of her office and it said blood on her hands. So again, this is just another example of the intolerant left and this rise to violence and incitement to political violence that, you know, we don't subscribe to on the right, but it seems like these intimidation tactics are a fixture of the left right now.

That's got me a bit concerned too, because listen, we have, you know, good solid conservatives and MAGA voters, absolutely abhor violence, like political violence. It's not even an option.

No.

It's not in their portfolio of tactical political weapons.

No shade.

No. And it never will be. However, that is not the case with the left and the receipts back that up. I mean, their love affair with Antifa, you know, you saw during the George Floyd riots, that's actually one of their preferred political tools, is hitting the streets. You know, I'm concerned that this socialism streak on the left and these radical candidates they have, they're just going to empower these people. And, you know, with two years of President Trump's term left, I can't really give you an honest prediction about how crazy they're going to get, given that they still, I mean, they're not going to be able to get rid of him.

They're not going to have enough numbers to win. They may impeach him again.

Yeah.

But they're not going to have enough numbers to win a Senate trial.

No. But the violence is certainly something that we have to watch out for, because that's what the left does. I mean, even just Haley Stevens just requested, and she's on CNN and on these mainstream, I'm a proud Democrat, and they're coming for her. She's requesting U.S. Marshals security. You know, she's requesting, you know, all that type of help to keep her safe. You know, she's in danger now because she spoke out, which is crazy.

Right now, early vote is being tallied. 34% of the vote is in. Kathy Hochul with around 69% of the vote. Bruce Blakeman with about 30%. But that's early. That's probably going to tighten up.

That came from.

I was just looking to see.

I mean, that race would have been a one in a million anyway, but the margins in the New York governor's race obviously would be interesting.

Yeah.

I mean, if Blakeman finishes, you know, anything other than like a 10, you'd consider that a massive success. I mean, you and I remember the Lee Zeldin race where he almost pulled that off.

6%.

But, you know, I had the t-shirt I had for a while that was a very popular one. You know, is it bad enough yet? And I guess, you know, some folks want the bad days back.

Well, apparently what voters are telling you now is that they think it is bad enough to vote for Democrats, which is mind-blowing because it's better than it was. I cannot believe people would vote for the party of out-of-control violent crime. When you have murder rates, violent crime rates down at historic lows, which means when you leave your house to go to work, when your kid leaves your home to go to school, they're leaving into a safer environment. That is a plus for everybody, regardless of party. James Carville says it's the economy, stupid.

I like to say it's your community, stupid. Do you know anybody who intentionally moves into a dangerous community because it's dangerous? No, because you don't get dead, right? You don't want to die. So I don't know anyone, for example, in the state of Tennessee who moves to Memphis because they want to dodge bullets.

Right, of course.

They may move there for work. They may move there because it's a cheaper place to live because it's more dangerous. But nobody moves to Memphis because they say, I want to experience the dangers of Memphis. Nobody moves to a dangerous community because it's dangerous. And yet you got people in this country voting for the party of the dangerous community.

Well, I think it's because the left is violent. So when they see violence, I think it's something that they're used to or something that they're almost accepting it with open arms, which is very scary. I talk about this on my show all the time, but on TikTok and on social media, there is this trend that's called hope core. And people on the left particularly are so excited. They're waiting on bated breath for President Trump to die. They were waiting on bated breath for Lindsey Graham to die. I can't picture that. I can't picture it being that hateful.

That's crazy.

I don't know what is wrong with these people inside that they can be that hateful and wish death on another person. But again, we've seen multiple assassination attempts against President Trump. We saw Charlie Kirk unfortunately get assassinated. This is the new left.

Good point.

This is the new left and this is what we're up against.

Haley, you and I and Sean have dealt with this often. And I'm not going to accept ever the whataboutism from the left on this. Like we have called that stuff out from people pretending to be in our party.

Absolutely.

And those fights are not pretty. You know that. You'll go on X and the bot army of lunatics comes out. So I'm not going to accept this whataboutism. Oh, you guys do it too. No, we don't do it too. Matter of fact, we've been crystal clear. Like if that ever became our party, like I'm out. I want nothing to do with it. And it's not our party. It's not. Like I'm out there in the real world for every, you know, one person that says something dumb, a thousand people say something really nice.

For example, Chris Murphy just had a stroke out of Connecticut. I did not see an army of conservatives on X going, I hope he dies. I hope he, you know, rubbing their hands together. This could be an open Senate.

No, it wouldn't be.

I put a post up and said, wow, hate to see this. Don't want to see this happen to anybody. I hope he's okay. I wish him the best.

I was just going to say, I saw the exact opposite.

If that were Donald Trump, you would see streets celebrate. They wouldn't even be embarrassed.

They did it last year on Labor Day in 2025 when he went, what? He went golfing and didn't take a picture and they said, is he dead? Right? They were doing this. They fantasize about this stuff. It's sick.

I've seen videos of people saying that they have champagne chilling in their fridge and they're waiting for this moment. I can't imagine that as a Republican. I've never considered voting Democrat in my life and I never will. If I do, it's because I died. But I will say that I have never wished any harm on a Democrat. I would never do that. I would never want ill will. I would never wish ill will on President Biden. I hope that he is healthy. When he came out with his cancer diagnosis, I wished him well. And I think about him as a human being and as a person, as an American who has served this country, not well, in my opinion.

I'm not a fan of him or his policies, but I would never wish harm on him. And unfortunately, we are up against something on the left that is very evil and very demonic.

Correct.

Keep an eye on Kansas for me. Is that Miles? Miles, come on over. Sit down.

This is Miles.

Hey, look at this guy. Good to see you, buddy.

Good to see you, Dan.

Hey. For those of you who don't know, this is my good friend Miles. Talk about him all the time. You were my original sponsor for the show, by the way. Man, that was like 10 years ago. I get a call. They said, hey, this guy, Miles, has this company called Break House Nutrition. I'm like, yeah, but like, yeah, look at his sponsor your show. I'm like, we can get this sponsors.

I'm happy that happened because I'll tell you what, because you started doing ads for Foundation, the creatine.

Yes, my favorite.

I cannot exist without it. I can't run without it. I told them, if you ever get rid of it, you have to send me the overstock.

I actually text you direct all the time. Send me more Foundation.

Send me more Foundation.

He doesn't need to sit coming in.

But I appreciate everything you've done for the show. I know the audience loves you. We appreciate Break House. You know, Lean's been good to me. I had some problems with my knees. They were banged out and I wasn't doing those shots, you know? That wasn't my bag of donuts. So I really appreciate it. Yeah. Thank you. And then Foundation, I always tell people do the mirror test with that stuff. Start taking it, give it a few days, look in the mirror, you're going to be pretty impressed. How's the company doing by the way?

It's doing amazing. It's growing fast and a lot thanks to you. Yeah, we started with him and as he grew, it just like rocket fuel.

Well, and it helps if you make good stuff, you know? It helps if you make a quality product.

You were with us on election night too when President Trump won at Oak and Ember just a couple of years ago. Remember that?

That was awesome. That was a fun night.

Yeah, I wish we had better results.

This is rough. I mean.

The topic away from this and on to supplements.

Yeah.

No, man, listen, you're a businessman. You've been doing your thing. That's what kind of concerns me too is that the Democrats getting in there now have already said, like not that it would be a problem with you per se, but people, anyone who's done business with anyone in the Republican Party, they're going to go after them too. I mean, that's deeply disturbing stuff. I mean, that is just not, that's not any of what the constitutional republic represents. But Miles, thanks a lot for everything you do, man. I really appreciate it. Thanks for coming in tonight too. Really appreciate it.

Thank you so much for partnership.

We're good, man.

Yeah, man.

It's fun to partner with you too.

Want Gino Army, say hi to Miles, man. I always mention him in the, and he looks, you know, one of the worst, Sean, one of the worst things you can do is if you own a nutrition company and you're like not jacked. Like people are like, this guy sucks. Like the products don't work, right? Like, look, the guy's made of steel. I know. Seriously. So, you know, he comes in, he represents, you know, the kids say, represent good. I thought he was security at first. I was kidding. And I was like, oh, wait, I just interviewed this guy.

No, I saw him sitting over there, so I wanted to convince. Hey, thanks, buddy.

Thanks again.

You're stopping on the side. You got to check out Break House Nutrition, folks. Say hello to Miles in the chat.

Thanks again, everybody.

Thanks, Miles.

Appreciate it.

Thank you.

Kansas Senate, how we looking?

Not great. About 60% of the vote in and the Democrat Hamilton, the creepy guy, up by about 70,000 votes, which is about 19 percentage points.

This one puzzles me too.

Yeah.

In addition to Tallafreca. So the Hamilton-Kansas race, Hamilton-Marshall race in Kansas, I should say. I get it. Marshall did not run the most energetic campaign.

Sure.

I mean, that's really.

Kind of took it for granted.

Kind of maybe took it for granted.

Feels like it anyway.

But, you know, we have the, you know, I hate cliches, but the cut your nose off to spite your face thing applies. You have this guy Hamilton running who's out there giving this sermon about in Kansas.

Yes.

Freaking Kansas.

Yes.

About like, maybe we should get away from like farting cows or some shit like that.

We don't need to be weird.

You don't need to be mean in Kansas. If you ever met a person from Kansas, like what are you talking about?

This Kansas race, I think, has a lot to do with right now, not gasoline, the cost of diesel, which has nothing to do with the Iran war, has everything to do with the war that started under Biden, which is the Russia-Ukraine war, because they're bombing each other's refineries right now. Vince mentioned that earlier. And like when you were talking with Brendan, right, Dilly, the media kind of glom, oh, gas prices, diesel prices, Trump's fault, right? And so people said, oh, you know.

But listen, but then like the getting back to the nose face thing, I totally understand. I am in no way attempting to even remotely downplay people's concerns about gas and food prices.

Sure, sure, sure.

But you realize the party, the Democrats.

That's a great point.

All they want to do is wipe out refineries. Their motto is keep it in the ground. They won't even engage in what was bipartisan, was supposed to be bipartisan permitting reform. It's a long story, but there was a bipartisan permitting reform act where the Republicans and Dems would have both got some. The journal covered it today. The Democrats got their wind farms and the Republicans got pipelines. It was a deal where the Democrats, the Democrat liberal groups are going crazy saying, we don't even want that. We wanted no cooperation with the Republicans at all. My point in that is saying is even when they get their wind farms and their solar farms, if one single pipeline is built, they're done.

They don't care. Like you think they're going to lower your diesel or gas price? That is insane. That's crazy.

Well, this is the problem because they messaged on the price of gas and they say that's Trump's fault, that's the Republicans' fault, right? And then when you ask them, aren't you the party that wants to declare war on fossil fuels? They don't address that. They just pivot away from a mainstream media interview and they say, well, I'm just focused on lowering the cost of gas for families.

And the media hasn't built a refinery.

That's it.

We haven't built a refinery, a modern refinery in French. You think that's because of Republicans?

Of course not.

That's Democrats.

Well, where does the most expensive gas in the country? You're all blue states.

What are you looking at?

So here's something I want to assess. You know, coming into election day, we had a lot of conversation about Republicans are underappreciated in the polls, that Republicans always overperform the polls. Remember all that?

Yeah.

That's not happening tonight.

No, it's not.

Well, you're seeing tonight is Democrats overperforming the polls.

That's correct.

Ashley Moody was supposed to win this thing by six points. She wins it by fewer than two. So what you're watching is right now the results are coming back even stronger for the Democrats than anticipated. Even in the final New York Times poll, I looked at the numbers and I was like, that looks cartoonish, the support for Democrats. And yet here we are seeing the results. Now, we're not done yet. There's plenty of states that are not as good as Florida. We're going to find out what the actual margins are on all of it. But I want to emphasize a point that you've all been talking about that Katalin and I thought brought up very well tonight, which is weak-ass Republicans deserve the punishment that was just meted out to them.

President Trump is one guy with a historic run. But if you're a Republican in Congress and you can't even deliver a voter ID bill, I can tell Americans, I do every day, that we should send President Trump back up. But people are going to take you behind the woodshed and beat your ass. And that's what they just did today. You watch what happens with like the blue slip in the United States Senate. You know this, Dan?

Yeah.

Law enforcement.

Yeah.

We don't have a functioning criminal justice system at all the levels we need to secure accountability everywhere. Select jurisdictions, we do. Not everywhere. We got radical U.S. attorneys. We got radical federal judges. We have out-of-control decisions. Judges throwing out cases. 20,000 non-citizens on the voting rolls in California. We can't even get a legitimate federal hearing on that subject. And people are freaking ticked about this.

Yes.

And you know who's going to get punished for this? Republicans who sit on their asses in the United States Senate pretend like none of these things even matter to the average American voter, that we're full of crap. We have no idea what we're talking about. This is just a distraction. Well, you know what happened? You just got your asses whipped tonight. You got punished, deservedly so. And so, yes, we can reflect on the big picture stuff. Why don't people realize President Trump succeeded in all these ways? That's true. He did. But we got to really focus on these are congressional elections and a bunch of members of Congress just got beat.

And on that, while I don't think that that's the right course of action, right?

True.

Let's teach the Republicans a lesson because that's the nose in the face.

Yes, it's not.

Right? Because you're not teaching the Republicans a lesson. These people are going to leave public office. They're going to do what they do and you're going to be the one stuck with Democrat rule. So while I don't believe that's the right course of action, we have to be realistic. That is the course of action that the country chose to take tonight, right? And so that has to be a message and a lesson to future Republicans who are running to say, if you campaign on doing stuff, Congress, the president can only do so much. If you campaign on doing stuff, if you're sent to DC in the 2024 election with a mandate, you better enforce that mandate.

You better follow through congressionally. The president has done everything he could do. If he could wave a magic wand and pass the Save America Act, it would be passed. But this is not Harry Potter, right? So if you're sent to Congress to be a supplement to the president, to be, and I said this in January of 2025 after inauguration when the Trump agenda was still extremely popular, Mike Johnson, John Duden, strike while the iron's hot, pass the agenda now. You have the support of the American people. Wasted, right? So what you're saying, what you've said, what you've said, cutting off the nose to spite your face, it's exactly what we've seen from voters tonight, okay?

They've made their choice. They've chosen to punish the Republican Party. I don't think that's a logical course of action, but that's the course of action that was taken. And that's the way it has to be interpreted from the Republican side is, okay, they spoke. Now we better listen and not dismiss this as some sort of distraction like they've done in the past.

And I think this was definitely, you know, these were Republican candidates that were weak to your point, and I agree with that. At the same time, I think a lot of this had to do with 2024 where Democrats thought that they had this in the bag. I don't know if you remember, but Democrats really thought that Kamala Harris was going to win. Thankfully, that didn't happen. Thankfully, we have President Trump in there right now. But I think Democrats learned their lesson in 2024. They got out the vote harder this time than we got out the vote harder last time.

Correct.

So unfortunately, we're seeing that tonight.

Let's go around with some closing thoughts. I'll wrap it up in the end, but Vince, obviously not a great night, not what we wanted. However, you know, I don't say this to put that lipstick on that ugly ass pig.

Yeah.

But this is how American politics work. People get to choose and sometimes you get the results good and hard. And now you're going to get it. Your thoughts on that.

That's totally right. That's totally right. There's two elements to this. One, and I think the most important one is you have to deliver for your voters. And if you fail to deliver for them, they're not going to be interested in delivering for you. That's a huge piece of this.

Yeah.

Okay? The other piece of this that cannot be ignored is the role that election integrity needs to play going forward. This is a litmus test for every single Republican candidate forever. You have to support election integrity at every level. If you don't, we will not support you. Because part of the result tonight, we don't know how much of it. Part of the result tonight will be non-citizens who participate in our elections. How do I know that? The Justice Department keeps prosecuting these jackasses.

That's right.

Who are interfering in our elections. And Democrats are refusing to let us know the true scale of that interference. Does that mean it's responsible for everything I'm seeing up on the board tonight? No, it doesn't. But the fact that it plays a role at all, it has a depressing effect on the average American's ability to see themselves as having agency over their government, power over their government. Do people make unwise decisions? Sure. The founders anticipated this. The whole idea behind preventing direct democracy was because sometimes the majority is going to make an idiotic decision. Maybe that's what happened tonight. But the other wisdom that the founders gave us, the balance of power.

President Trump is still in office.

Yep.

And even if voters made a catastrophic decision about this one branch of government tonight, we have another branch that's still on our side. And that is the wisdom of the founders that we get to witness.

That's true. That's very true. And on that point, you know, we're Donnie DeVito. That's the name that you're going to give him. And I'm excited about that, right? He's going to veto, you know, these insane bills that are going to wind up on his desk because it does look like Democrats are going to have control of both chambers. That's just the way it looks like it's going to play out. You know, I think when he does veto those bills, there needs to be a fireside chat. There needs to be messaging about why he's vetoing it. Give us the study. Give us the information. Give us the, whatever the CBO says, the Congressional Budget Office.

Remember all the complaints about the big beautiful bill and oh, it's going to add this much to the deficit. It's going to add that. It's going to be a catastrophe. Well, hey, here's what the Democrats presented me with. And this is how this spending is going to impact the cost of whatever services. Tell us why you're vetoing it. Show the American people that you are the one standing in the way of this disaster. Point to history of when similar bills like this and legislation like this, whether it's in states or in other countries around the world, have caused problems, right? If a budget makes its way to President Trump's desk and it's completely and totally defunding ICE, which is part of their agenda, let Americans know, hey, we deported a million illegal aliens or so however many of them, and 75% of them have violent crime convictions.

And that stops if I sign this bill. And make it clear to people why he's vetoing the bill instead of just vetoing it, looking like he's standing in the way because the Democrats will paint him as an enemy.

Yeah.

Right? An enemy of the affordability agenda. And that's going to hurt us in 2028. But you are right. The founders are right. It's hard to argue with anything the founders really came up with. When you think about how great this country is, the balance of power is one of the foundational principles of our country. Three separate but coequal branches of government. And the president has the power of the veto. And I'm looking forward to him using that power to preserve what we have here to keep us alive going into 2028.

Definitely going to try to end on a positive note here. Like you've all said, President Trump is our president. America's been through a lot worse. We've been through dark times. We went through the Biden administration. We went through COVID and all these draconian lockdown measures. If we can get through that, this will certainly, you know, it'll get better. I know that that's not really what people want to hear, but I always think of this quote, the hard times create strong men. Strong men create good times. Good times create weak men. Weak men create hard times. These are weak men creating hard times right now. We will have good times again.

Agreed.

Folks, I just want to speak directly to you. Listen, I've been a candidate. I've been in the administration, been in public service, been on the TV show, the podcast, been here with you for over 10 years. I've been through this before. We've had rough nights before. Whatever emotion you're going to have to garner and gather tomorrow to dust off and get back up and get back in the fight for the election coming up in just two years, we got to use it.

The Democrats were clearly pissed off. But they took that anger, they bottled it up, and that bottle exploded tonight. They used it. They went out and they used that tool. But we've been here before. We've been here before. One of the reasons I decided to leave the Secret Service early when I ran for office and against the advice of just about everyone in my life at the time, I thought it was the craziest idea ever, is because Barack Obama won that first term and I knew we were in a lot of trouble. And then we always said, oh, it'll get better in the midterms and it got a little better.

And then Obama won again. And I thought, you know, are the clouds ever going to part here? And then when they were this close to getting a filibuster-proof Senate to pass all the apocalyptic nonsense they wanted to under Obama, and the world, the political world for us conservatives could not have gotten any darker. We're not there tonight. Donald Trump's still the president for two more years.

Right.

We've still got at least a semi-functioning Supreme Court. You know, we still have the veto pen. So it's not the apocalypse. But getting back to my point, they were just about to close in on a filibuster-proof majority in the United States Senate. And what happened? A guy named Scott Brown came out of nowhere and stopped it. And it was like, it was just that one piece of good news. And look what happened. After that, we got essentially two terms of Donald Trump broken up by crazy Joe Biden, but you get the point.

Listen, man, I'm not here to tell you to wake up tomorrow smiling like this was a good night. It wasn't. We're not going to do a Kang Googer. Do you remember Kang?

I was just thinking of I swear to you, I was going to tell you after the show, but I'll just tell you here.

Sweet Kylie Van Jones.

There's not going to be a supercut of this program, which starts with us throwing confetti at the beginning.

And then crying at the end.

Eating the shit out of each other. We're not doing that. It was a bad night. I think a lot of Americans were deceived by, you know, the mainstream media that, you know, flushed underneath the rug a lot of the good news that came out. That's why a lot of people thought nothing happened despite the receipts of all the things happening. I'm just telling you, tomorrow, it's not going to be a great day, but we're going to get up, we're going to dust off, we're going to get back in the ring, and we're going to kick some fucking ass in the next election because there is no other option. What's your other option?

Forfeit away the greatest country on earth handed down to you by the bravest, greatest generation. People like our grandparents had stormed the beaches of Normandy to save the world from fascism. We're just going to give it up because we had a rough night to a bunch of leftist goons like Elsa and others. I'm sorry. We're not doing it. So I really appreciate you all tuning in tonight. You know, you mean the world to me. I know I speak for the whole crew. You've been so generous to us, our families. Thank you so much from the Bongino Army out there, from the Bongino crew in here, Silver Lock Productions.

Thanks to my production team. I'm sorry about some of the audio issues earlier in the night. Listen, it happens once in a while. We had a live show for two straight hours. So my apologies for that. But we will see you back here tomorrow at 8:00 with Vince's show, rumble.com/vince. Me at 10:00, rumble.com/bongino. Haley, of course, at noon, rumble.com/haley. Two Y's, H-A-Y-L-E-Y.

Because she's great.

Thank you all.

And at 1:00 p.m., rumble.com/sean, Sean with an H. Thanks so much for tuning in, folks. We'll see you all tomorrow.