Transcript of Inside the Iran Negotiations & Britain’s Sudden Leadership Crisis | 6.23.26

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00:00:01

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00:00:34

As Vice President Vance returns from round one of Iran talks, Secretary of State Rubio heads to the Middle East to hammer out plans with several key Arab countries.

00:00:43

I think that they're doing a fantastic job. Our secretary is fantastic. I think he's maybe going to go down as the best ever. And I thought JD Vance this morning was fantastic. He's a very smart guy. He did a great job.

00:00:55

I'm Georgia Howe with Daily Wire Executive Editor John Bickley. It's Tuesday, June 23rd, and this is Morning Wire.

00:01:08

Every decision I've taken has been about putting the country I love first. That is why I will resign as leader of the Labor Party. After months of public feuds with President Trump, UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer resigns. What does this mean for his left-wing Labor Party?

00:01:26

And the Supreme Court is poised to hand down several size- cosmic rulings as early as today. We have a rundown of the cases to watch.

00:01:35

We fully expect the Supreme Court to embrace common sense and reality.

00:01:40

Thanks for waking up with Morning Wire. Stay tuned, we have the news you need to know.

00:01:46

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00:02:50

Vice President Vance returned to the U.S. yesterday after the first round of Iran talks amid the new 60-day ceasefire. And now Secretary of State Marco Rubio is heading to the Middle East to work with allies in the region on key priorities.

00:03:04

Joining us to discuss the complex diplomatic dance is our D.C. bureau chief, Tim Rice. Tim, thanks for coming back.

00:03:10

Thanks for having me, guys.

00:03:11

So let's start with the latest on the Iran talks. The vice president sounding pretty confident that they're making progress. Where do things stand now?

00:03:19

Yeah, I mean, that's pretty much most of what we know, Georgia, is the vice president and the White House are incredibly confident coming out of these negotiations. Things got off to a rough start over the weekend when the vice president landed in Switzerland. There were some reports that the Qataris had snubbed the American delegation, or maybe the Iranians were backing out, all sorts of nonsense about a photo op. Would they or won't they? In terms of the things that actually matter, the deal that they're hammering out, it seems like the best way to put it, I think, is that we seem to be negotiating with Tehran. So, the United States has relieved a lot of sanctions. One of the most notable ones that we heard about yesterday was that they not just lifted sanctions on Iranian oil exports, but they've authorized the sale of Iranian-origin petroleum and petrochemical products across the world, including in the United States. Now, the United States has not purchased Iranian-made oil and gas products since 1979. So this is a massive shift, a massive signal, I would say, from the United States that we are not just lifting the sanctions, we're not just trying to go back to the status quo from before this most recent engagement.

00:04:27

We are trying to deal with you as a country. Right. They're negotiating with, with the Iranians. They're making a deal. Now, of course, Iran is not any other country. There are still, you know, sticks to go with the carrots. There's still a whole different element of this. It's not just as simple as signing a trade deal with Iceland or something like that. So one of the main ones and probably the biggest sticking point and what will continue to be the biggest sticking point is international non-governmental organizations doing inspections. Right. The IAEA is the name of the group. So this is basically where this third-party international group comes in. Looks at Iran's nuclear facilities and other power plants and says, okay, we're reasonably confident that they're not enriching uranium, they're not building nuclear bombs. So under the Obama-Iran deal, these things happened until about 2018, which was when President Trump pulled out of the Obama deal, the JCPOA. Iran sort of complied with them for a little bit, and then they kind of just petered off. And we haven't really had inspections since late 2018. So this is a little bit of a wrinkle. Vance says that on day one of the negotiations, Iran agreed to these inspections.

00:05:30

The White House is running with that line. Various factions of the Iranian communications apparatus have said, we did not agree to these inspections. So still waiting for some clarity on that. No one's backing down. And curiously, neither side is outwardly correcting the other side. They just keep pushing each of their messages. So we're going to have to see. Only one of them could be right.

00:05:52

Now, Marco Rubio is also headed to the Middle East, and he is going for a series of sit-downs with some of our allies there. What is his focus going to be, and what should we have our eye on, uh, as he comes out of this?

00:06:04

Yeah, so he is going to the United Arab Emirates, Kuwait, and Bahrain, um, and maybe a couple of others. Uh, this is a very interesting thing because, as we've noted, Rubio has sort of been off the table for the early stages of this ceasefire. We didn't hear from him. We didn't see him. It was all Vance all the time, to say nothing, of course, of the president. The president sort of opining from the Oval Office and firing off posts on Truth Social. So what I'm going to be looking for is really just— I'm interested to see what message Rubio brings, right? Because as you said, Georgia, these are our allies. They are, if not directly engaged in negotiations, they have been, you know, appraised of them and are, you know, clearly supportive of us brokering this deal. So not that many. I don't expect to see too many surprises in terms of what the leaders that Rubio meets with has to have to say. But I'm interested in the message that Rubio brings out, because my suspicion is that keeping Rubio off the table allowed the White House and the Trump administration to keep him a little bit more flexible for this next stage of the negotiations.

00:07:05

Right. You have Vance out in Switzerland. He's a little bit of the good cop. You have Trump in D.C., you know, telling Iran that they're going to regret whatever they kind of start mouthing off or put out these fiery statements. You're going to regret this. You won't have a country anymore if you reclose the Strait of Hormuz, the president said. So, you know, you get this good cop, bad cop thing. You get through the first stages of the, of the 60-day ceasefire and you get through the opening of the negotiations. And then look who's back, clean as a whistle, Secretary of State Marco Rubio. So I think that what we hear from Rubio is really going to signal where the administration wants to go with this next and really the president's vision for the future, not just of American relations with Iran, but his future for the vision of the entire Middle East.

00:07:46

Tim, thanks so much for reporting.

00:07:47

Thanks for having me, guys.

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00:08:52

After just 2 years in power, the Prime Minister of the UK stepped down this week amid growing backlash against his leadership and roiling tensions between him and President Trump.

00:09:03

Joining us to discuss is GB News Late Show Live host Bev Turner. Bev, thanks for coming on.

00:09:09

Thank you. It's actually a quite a good news story, guys. I'm normally talking about very depressing things, but this might be some hope for the UK. Maybe. So, amazing to see, right?

00:09:20

Well, you came on last week and you predicted that Starmer would resigned. Can you walk us through what led to the resignation and what comes next?

00:09:27

So the pressure on Starmer has been building at least for the last, well, 6 to 12 months. It kind of almost started where I am here in Washington, DC, because the appointment of Peter Mandelson— if you remember, Lord Mandelson— as the ambassador to the UK, and then he was embroiled in the Epstein scandal, that called Starmer's judgment into question. We've had the scandal around the rape gang inquiry which came out last week. And all sorts of issues— free speech, uh, protesters being arrested and weren't, uh, people from America not being allowed to fly to the UK for the Unite the Kingdom rally. All of this mood music around how detached Starmer was from the British public. There was a by-election last week, and in that stood a guy called Andy Burnham. Up until today, he was the mayor of Greater Manchester, so not a parliamentary role, a kind of regional political role, but still very significant. He won that by-election week. Today he got on a train, he's gone up to London from Manchester, gone down to London, and now he's an MP. That means he is in a position to challenge Keir Starmer to the leadership of the Labor Party.

00:10:39

Because of that, Starmer resigned. That will now basically tip into place a protocol system to make Andy Burnham Prime Minister. Now, he hasn't, of course, Georgia, been elected by the British people. So there are lots of other politicians, including Nigel Farage of Reform, calling for a snap general election. It is highly unlikely that Burnham will go with a snap general election. It would be enormous arrogance or hubris to think he could go to the polls at the moment because he might just get voted out. Now, Andy Burnham is very difficult to pin down on his politics. We don't know really what his ideology is because although he is a Labor politician. He's only been overseeing domestic, local, regional politics. We know that Andy Burnham likes state intervention, particularly when it comes to utilities— our water, our oil, our gas, etc. And we know that he is a big net zero fan and pro-EU. So we'll be looking for common ground between America and the UK with Andy Burnham in Number 10. At the moment, it's difficult to see where that might be.

00:11:48

Now, what can we infer about the direction of the country based on this latest shakeup? Do we, um, have a sense one way or the other, that it's trending in one direction?

00:11:57

It's really difficult to say, Georgia. We know that he's very pragmatic. Andy Burnham is a northerner, as am I, and we tend to come at these things less ideologically but more what's going to work in the real world, what will work for people. And Andy Burnham has had some success in Manchester. He put into place a fantastic new transport system of trams and bus network. The local people in Manchester have really liked him. He's very warm, he's a very approachable man. I've met on several occasions. I've known him on and off for 20 years. He seems like one of the people, not a rarefied politician. He didn't go to private school, he didn't go to Oxford or Cambridge. He's a kind of old-fashioned Labor man. They are the constituency actually that Labor have lost. Those people have found the Reform Party and Nigel Farage on the right. Andy Burnham's job will be to bring them back to his party. He's big jobs to deal with. He's got to deal with illegal migration. He's got to deal with legal migration as well. He's got to see if he can bring down the tax burden. The mood music is that in fact he will increase taxes.

00:13:05

He's a spender. He believes in a big state. He will want to get public services working better for the British people. He can't do that without the tax receipts. So there is a feeling that he will probably raise income tax across the board. He doesn't like the billionaires. We know that. He's probably not much of a globalist. And in some ways that will go down well with the British voter. He spent more time in Manchester than he has in Davos. Unlike Keir Starmer, he hasn't been glad-handing it around with all of the NGOs and the quangos and the World Economic Forum crowd. He's not part of that constituency. So let's see, it might be good news for the UK, or it might be even more socialism.

00:13:49

Now, assuming Burnham gets in, it'll be interesting to see how he relates with President Trump. That relationship, of course, is crucial. Bev, thanks so much for reporting.

00:13:57

Thank you.

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00:14:23

The Supreme Court is poised to rule in the coming days on several highly watched cases that could have massive implications, including cases about protecting women's sports, mail-in ballots, and birthright citizenship.

00:14:35

Joining us now to discuss the impending rulings is Alliance Defending Freedom Senior Counsel and VP of Legal Counsel Jonathan Scruggs. Jonathan, welcome to the show.

00:14:44

Oh, thanks for having me.

00:14:45

So we have some major cases that should be delivered in the next few days and weeks. In fact, we're expecting maybe a few today. Uh, let's start with the issue that The Daily Wire has been particularly covering closely. This is men in women's sports. You guys are involved in a big case here. Uh, what ruling should we be watching for on women's sports?

00:15:06

Absolutely. Well, I think this is a pretty important decision. The technical issue is just, can the states preserve women's sports for women. But the bigger issue is about the harms of gender ideology. And if you can't define what a woman is, you can't protect women's safety, women's privacy, women's equal opportunity. That's two cases combined really into one. It's, uh, Hecox versus Little and BPJ versus West Virginia. So we don't know if we're going to get two separate opinions or one big opinion together, uh, but I expect them to come on the same day. So we could expect a decision, in the next couple weeks. And we're hopeful, uh, we fully expect the Supreme Court to embrace common sense and reality.

00:15:45

There's also a handful of cases dealing with immigration issues, a major priority for Trump, of course. We've talked in the past about Trump versus Barbara. Uh, how do you see these immigration cases playing out?

00:15:58

Yeah, the one you mentioned is the big ticket one. That's the birthright citizenship one. Can President Trump, via an executive order, kind of change the the rule about who is eligible for birthright citizenship. Uh, I'd actually— this, during the oral argument, the justices seem pretty skeptical, uh, of the Trump administration. So I think they're going in as an underdog on that case. But I think you can flip that to the other cases that involve more statutory issues about whether who's eligible for asylum if they walk up to the border, uh, how much discretion does this Trump administration have to designate certain groups eligible to stay in the country. So I favor the Trump administration on those other two cases. So you could see a split, a split in the immigration decisions.

00:16:41

All right, so maybe some mixed results there. Uh, the court also has a pair of election integrity cases in the works here, including mail-in ballots. Uh, what should we know about those cases, and which way do you expect the court to go?

00:16:52

Yeah, two cases there. Um, Republican National Committee versus Watson, uh, that involves the issue of what is the meaning of Election Day and whether you can count ballots that were postmarked before Election Day, or did they have to be received on Election Day? After COVID, certain states started to allow people to send in ballots and started to count them even if they were received after Election Day. And so what I anticipate here is siding against the states in this situation and the court effectively saying, look, the meaning of Election Day means you have to receive the ballots on that day. You can't receive them after. So in favor of, I guess you could say, election integrity on that issue. On the other case, which is a First Amendment case, which is Republican National Committee versus FEC, that involves a federal law that puts a limit on how much political parties can coordinate and spend with a political candidate. Republican groups challenged that law. And interesting enough, because it's a federal law, the Trump administration said we can't defend this law because it's unconstitutional. So then the Democratic Party jumped in to try to defend the law, and I would anticipate a winner for the challengers in that case, the group of Republicans.

00:18:09

The Supreme Court has been pretty skeptical of limits of campaign finance that burden the First Amendment. And so I would anticipate a win for the First Amendment on that case in the challengers.

00:18:20

Well, lots going on, major rulings coming down. And as we said, some expected as soon as today. So I'm sure we'll be following up up soon with you guys. Jonathan, thank you so much for coming on.

00:18:28

Yeah, thanks for having me.

00:18:30

Thanks for waking up with us. The reporting that fuels this show is only possible because you tune in every day and because of our Daily Wire subscribers.

00:18:38

To enjoy the show ad-free and join our mission, become a member at dailywire.com. We'll be back this evening with more news you need to know.

Episode description

JD Vance returns from the first round of peace talks with Iran as Marco Rubio leaves for the Middle East, Keir Starmer steps down as Prime Minister of the UK, and the Supreme Court is poised to make several seismic rulings. Reporting from Tim Rice. Plus, we speak with Bev Turner and Jonathan Scruggs. Get the facts first with Morning Wire.- - -Ep. 2855- - -Wake up with new Morning Wire merch: https://bit.ly/4lIubt3- - -Today's Sponsors:Ethos - Take 10 minutes to get covered today, with life insurance through Ethos. Get your free quote at https://ETHOS.COM/WIRE. Application times may vary. Rates may vary.Quince - Elevate your summer wardrobe. Go to https://Quince.com/wire for free shipping on your order and 365-day returns. Now available in Canada too.- - -Privacy Policy: https://www.dailywire.com/privacymorning wire,morning wire podcast,the morning wire podcast,Georgia Howe,John Bickley,daily wire podcast,podcast,news podcast
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