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Transcript of Starts of the Week + Week 14 Breakdown, Jason Takes a Lap - Fantasy Football Podcast for 12/5

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Transcription of Starts of the Week + Week 14 Breakdown, Jason Takes a Lap - Fantasy Football Podcast for 12/5 from Fantasy Footballers - Fantasy Football Podcast Podcast
00:00:00

The Fantasy Footballer Studio is brought to you by Amazon Prime. Welcome to the Fantasy Footballer's podcast with your hosts, Andy Holloway, Jason Moore, and Mike Wright.

00:00:27

Oh, welcome

00:00:28

in. It is football time. It is. It's the holiday. You gotta get all, what is that?

00:00:39

Dicken see.

00:00:42

Okay. Okay. I I I got where you esque. Yes.

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You have to deliver the Tiv's football time without laughing at your own joke in it, like in the middle of it.

00:00:52

I'm just being joyous, man.

00:00:54

No. It is. I mean, it's what? Sugar plums and, you know, decking the halls and Yeah. Getting all Dickens, you would

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say. Of

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all time.

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I do I am enjoying the Christmas season now that it is officially the Christmas season.

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I am not, and that is wildly upsetting.

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Is that because Santa left you Breeze Hall under

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your tree?

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Yeah. I mean, I I thought I've been a naughty boy. I I just don't I don't I don't know what it is.

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I I can tell you what it

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is. Okay.

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Please. It's 80 freaking degrees in Phoenix, Arizona.

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Yeah. That might be part of it. It just doesn't feel like it's here yet. And we're we're all weekend, man.

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Yeah. It's very difficult to dream of a white Christmas when you're out there in a tank top and flip flops.

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I know people that move here. That's the most people that move from the snow are very happy to be here all the time. Everybody that I've known from the Midwest much, much prefers here than than the snow and dealing with that stuff. But they all miss a white Christmas. They all miss the seasons changing.

00:01:58

I don't know what a season is. I just I just thought about it. I've read about it.

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I was just talking to my son about it. He's like, is this winter? I was like, yeah. It's winter. And he's like,

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I thought Actually, it's not winter.

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I know. And that's what I was saying. I was like, well, see see, here's the thing. Most of the country has 4 seasons. In Arizona, we don't.

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So maybe it's, what is it, fall right now? There's no such thing as fall here.

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December 21st is the official start of winter.

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That's when it hits 79. 79 degrees on December 21st. Alright. Welcome in 1 and all. Happy to be back with you today.

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The 2 best friends filled in yesterday for me. I And I don't know how it went because I didn't listen.

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You don't have to listen, but I got at least 6 DMs best show in the history of the footballers. Yeah.

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They were mostly from me. Yeah. But he he did get I gave him a lot of DMs. Yeah.

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Alright. Well

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We did, like, just during show.

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No. That's fine.

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Just 2 of this is going

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Dude, you were hilarious. You show it so well.

00:03:03

You have to do stand up. Starts to the week, the Fantasy forecast today, the NFL news to talk about, you know, we had the, the waivers, the big time week 14 waivers go through in all of our leagues yesterday. People fighting for Isaac Gurindo.

00:03:23

And that's, after what it would how many waiver shows? We're like, oh, it's the all the waiver shows kinda like sorry, everybody. This it's our fault.

00:03:34

It's, yeah. Yeah. It's gonna be a very interesting end of the Fantasy season heading into the NFL playoffs, and we're or the Fantasy playoffs, and we're here to help you out. So a reminder, the weekly rankings, the start set tool, and the ultimate dashboard all can be found at thefantasyfootballers.com. The community is join the foot.com.

00:03:54

You can follow us on x at theffballers. You can follow Jason at jasonffl. If you want Breeze Hall tweets, you can follow Mike at ffhitman. I'm at andyholloway, and you can follow us on Instagram, instagram.com/fantasyfootballers, and watch the show on YouTube. I told Jason briefly yesterday last year, I took the approach of a ballad.

00:04:19

I needed a ballad

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for my Fantasy. Michael Bolton.

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I went my Oh, right. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah.

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Yeah. Uh-huh. I needed a a kind of a rock ballad, you know,

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I You

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did you did Go to the Distance?

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Like, this year you need a rock ballad or Go the Distance is a rock ballad?

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I did not a rock ballad. Just a what do you call that? Like a

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A a bellad. Power ballad. But a power ballad is a rock ballad.

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What would you call that Michael Bolton singing?

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Maybe a pop ballad?

00:04:45

Okay. Whatever. Whatever. I needed that. I needed Michael Bolton last year.

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Just saying like

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And I told him this year I need you gotta send me some suggestions. Because right now, Josh Groban is taking like, he's the leader for my my back to back attempt.

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Wow. That's self flagellation. Making yourself listen to Grob's Yeah. Over and over?

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Yeah. What look. It it it You're

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groping yourself.

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A fantasy championship is all that I care about.

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Okay. So you're willing to punish yourself?

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Yes.

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Was it you you raised me up? That's what you're going through?

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I think that's the 1 that makes sense, but if you wanna suggest something on par with Michael Bolton

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I will

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let me know

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because I love for you to have to listen to you raise me up every day. That will bring me joy. That will raise me up.

00:05:35

Back to back title will bring me joy. Mike, you do what you gotta do.

00:05:41

News and notes from around the league presented by USAA Insurance.

00:05:49

For Thursday night football this evening, the game you guys previewed yesterday, I assume. Romeo Dobbs is out.

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Yep. That 1, yep. Got that 1 wrong. Whoops.

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Oh, wait. Goodness. Yesterday, you thought he'd play?

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Well, he was limited. I mean

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You guys are so dumb.

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It did seem like he was he was trending to pass concussion protocol. That was the latest information we had, but nope. What's he

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like now?

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I don't think he's gonna play, but Josh Jacobs is off the injury report. Will play. No worries there.

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Trevor Lawrence on IR with the concussion and the shoulder injury. The AC joint will get surgery. The Bucks practice report, Mike Evans, he didn't practice. Bucky Irving didn't practice. We'll follow-up on both of those.

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They were both Evans always got kind of a veteran's days, and then Bucky Irving literally was wrapped in mummy gauze going up the field. He says he felt better the day after. I think he'll be there, and Baker Mayfield is, he's not gonna miss the game. So he's a full practice. Ladd McConkey is limited.

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He's been playing through injury. They need him desperately. I imagine Super important game. He he was limited on Wednesday. I imagine he will play.

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I do too.

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Keenan Allen, DJ Moore, Deandre Swift, Roshan Johnson all didn't practice for the Bears, but I think we'll see What

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did what did the team do?

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Took a break. I think Keenan Moore, Swift, they'll play. I don't think Roshan will with the concussion. Kinkade Dalton Kinkade and Keon Coleman, both who we thought would come back last week. They did return to a limited practice on Wednesday, so they could be back out there.

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Kenneth Walker, limited, calf and ankle injury.

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Classic Kenneth Walker.

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Give way to the Charbonne zone. Jake Ferguson practicing on Wednesday. This is a Monday night football game for Cowboys tight end Jake Ferguson. The Scoone man had been active. Both guys are very, like whoever's the tight end is very necessary in this offense, although Brandon Cooks is back.

00:07:43

And then, Deontay Johnson, Mike, suspended for not going into the game when they wanted him to. So the Eagles game, the injury happens to Bateman. You have an opportunity to go play, and you don't go into the football game.

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Yeah. There, Deontay.

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I'm good. Thank thank you for the offer.

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I will Pass. We yeah. Just, next time. Next drive.

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So he's suspended now. I mean, you're not gonna see him out there.

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No. They obviously, we knew something was up with all the Harbaugh quotes of, like, there's moving pieces, and we gotta figure out what's going on with Deontay. And and now it it that's what it was. It came out that they told him to

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go in, and he didn't. Was this he's like, oh, now you want me to play? Well, I'm not gonna.

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Oh, I'll show you. Yeah.

00:08:31

Yeah. Good work, Deontay.

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I mean, this was something that you have been just repeating that the vibes are so negative around Deontay Johnson that there's something

00:08:40

Does he not know he's in a contract year? Like, you can go make yourself a bag of money that you need this offseason. Yeah.

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The first thing I thought of when I saw this was if you could directly correlate it to a loss of money, how much would that be? Yeah. A lot. Exactly what I thought about.

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Why Because if I'm another franchise

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$5,000,000 decision? Is that a $10,000,000 decision?

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If Deontay Johnson goes to Baltimore and balls out and looks great and is a good team, and Baltimore makes a deep run of the playoffs, Deontay Johnson goes into the off season, and his agent goes and gets him a nice fat contract. Right now, it's like, if I'm a GM, I'm going, I don't wanna deal with Yeah. The head case of Deontay Johnson.

00:09:20

Unless there's something we're missing from the story, but I doubt it with an organization like Baltimore. Wild. And Pittsburgh. So now you've got 2 well run organizations that have said, no thanks.

00:09:31

That's the thing about Pittsburgh, which I'm not the first 1 to to bring it up, but it's like they have this superpower of really finding wide receivers in the draft. And somehow, like, Tom would can handle these guys for a like, gets production out of them for a few years, and then he's just like, I I can't even I cannot with you anymore.

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And then he's he's been willing to tolerate Antonio Brown, Claypool, Pickens The list is massive. These are all Right. Wide receivers

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that are Maybe that's their secret to drafting wide they look for the crazy ones. You You know what I mean? Like, you gotta have some diva in you. You do. And so in their scouting process, because we always give Pittsburgh a lot of credit.

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They just find these, like, 2nd round really good quality wide receivers, and they're just all they're doing is just looking up the dirt, and they're just trying to be like, what kinda trouble does this player

00:10:28

get into? It's my kinda guy. Like, hey, Deontay. Who are the top 5 wide receivers? And he's like, Deontay?

00:10:35

Deontay? Yeah. Deontay, you're my guy.

00:10:38

I mean, clearly, he's been upset about not being involved earlier. That's gotta be connected, but, that was today's news notes presented by USAA Insurance. Learn more at usaa.com/insurance.

00:10:53

Starts of the week.

00:10:56

If if Deontay can't find a home, we should sign him.

00:11:02

The football for

00:11:02

the for the show? I don't know.

00:11:04

Maybe we bring him in here.

00:11:06

What if he says no? Like and we're paying him.

00:11:09

Oh, and he doesn't go anywhere.

00:11:10

Like, nah. Fast.

00:11:11

He just walks out?

00:11:12

Then we got a guy who just may not do it. Then we have multiple guys who are like, I gotta go to the bathroom. Mhmm. Like, we're gonna have no 1 here. Oh, all 3 are there.

00:11:21

Alright. Hey.

00:11:22

The producers. Good for you.

00:11:25

Got the poop trophy.

00:11:26

Right now, it's Papa Josh. Matt started wearing diapers, man.

00:11:31

Hey. Good. Good. This guy's a team player.

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We don't care.

00:11:35

Putting his body on the line.

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We just want you here for 1 hour a day. 1 hour a day without pooping. Can you go 1 hour? That seems doable. Is is Josh answering me?

00:11:46

Actually, please stop making me think about it.

00:11:47

Okay. Alright. Starts of the week this week, I guess mine's theme this week is guys that have let you down recently that you can forgive

00:11:58

Oh, redemption tour.

00:11:59

And forget. So last last week was the titanium underpants tour, which worked out okay. This week, I'm going redemption from a from a tough week. I'm gonna go with, a player here at quarterback. I'm gonna start it off.

00:12:12

That will just make Jason further second guess his own decisions in league of record, but I'm going Baker Mayfield against the Las Vegas Raiders. It was a tough week for Baker last week. He has slowed down over the last month. I have correlated that to Bucky Irving's success, and Baker's been banged up. But he's only got 1 top 12 performance since week 9 despite being still the quarterback forum points per game, 35 passing touchdown pace.

00:12:39

This week is going to be very good for Baker, in my opinion. Michael? Bobby. Yeah. Laser.

00:12:45

Laser. The Raiders defense is bottom 10 in schedule adjusted Fantasy points allowed, completions allowed per game, expected points added per pass attempt. It's a really good matchup for Baker Mayfield. He has Mike Evans back who has been, delivering. And the Raiders are just kind of a wild card in production.

00:13:07

Brock Bowers is unguardable and Tampa struggles against the tight end, and Jacoby Meyers has been getting targeted like crazy. Aidan O'Connell and this offense, they got close, last week. So I think Baker is going to have to throw it, and I'm gonna go Baker this week.

00:13:22

Alright. I am going to play with some fire, and I'm doing this in our league of record. I'm I'm gonna gonna stay in the flames. I'm gonna try to eat a w. I am having Jameis Winston as my start of the week this week.

00:13:39

Playoffs have started for about 20% of everyone out there right now. Because you got the guys that are locked into the playoffs. You got the guys that are locked out of the playoffs. And this is the last week for most leagues where the other people are fighting for it. And oftentimes, you're in a win and get in.

00:13:58

You have to you're an underdog. That's the situation I'm in. Jameis Winston is volatile. He's holding a stick of dynamite, and you might need dynamite to overcome, you know, your your matchup. That's the situation I'm in.

00:14:13

Jameis games produce for fantasies. 70 offensive plays per game in Jamis games. That's number 1 in the NFL. That's absurd. That is an insane number.

00:14:23

336 passing yards per game. That is number 1 in the NFL. He is averaging over 21 fantasy points per game and 44 pass attempts per game and 1.4 interceptions per game. I am actually praying for these pick sixes to keep coming.

00:14:40

So you're

00:14:41

you're doing a count a counter prayer?

00:14:43

Counts canceling out Jameis' prayer. Keep these pick 6 sixes coming so that we can have you back on the field, keeping up. And the thing is is, like, this isn't an easy matchup against Pittsburgh. And now we saw Jameis beat Pittsburgh a couple weeks ago, but it wasn't a barn burner. This is I like that this is on the road.

00:15:02

I like that this game is in Pittsburgh because I don't think the defense is going to be quite as good there. And I that's what I want. I mean, we saw last week the the craziest shootout between the Cincinnati Bengals and the Pittsburgh Steelers where there was, like, a 100 points scored. And so if you're shooting for the moon, there's a guy available on waivers that can go out there and actually score 35 fantasy points. He can also absolutely destroy your week, but I need upside this week, so I am going with Jameis Winston as my start of the week.

00:15:34

Holy crap.

00:15:36

What's that?

00:15:36

I just saw mics.

00:15:38

Oh, it's look. I'm doubling up, baby.

00:15:42

Steel underpants.

00:15:43

It was the stream of the week, and this week is wild with the bye weeks. And it's Will Levis. Holy crap. I just heard mikes because I really do believe that Will Levis is a a guy that you can turn to this week.

00:15:59

Should you He only went steal? Yeah.

00:16:02

Because that's that's that's where my level of of conviction is with Will Levis against Jacksonville who are allowing 8 yards per pass attempt for context. Not only is that the highest in the NFL, but that will be tied for the 3rd highest of any team since 2004. The Jacksonville defense a stinks. And Will Levis has been chucking the ball. We got Westbrook Akina.

00:16:24

That's I mean, that's that's 1 touchdown. Right? Guarantee.

00:16:28

Yeah. So minimum minimum Probably only.

00:16:30

Minimum. 1 touchdown here for Will Levis, and the the titans team is in a really good situation. Jacksonville is just I feel They're stat after stat, you could say. They're terrible.

00:16:40

I feel a little scared because I was you a week ago with a better player.

00:16:44

Yeah. You had CJ Stroud.

00:16:45

I had CJ Stroud against Jacksonville, and that did not work out, so I feel a little gun shy there.

00:16:52

Okay. I

00:16:52

also know that Mac Jones is the starter, so I'm a little it it leads me into my running back start of the week, because my interpretation of the game is Tony Pollard against Jacksonville. It's not Will Levis. It's it's that Mac Jones can't move the ball enough, and we can we can stop Will Levis from throwing whenever we as soon as we get a little lead here, I think the lean on Pollard. I don't like saying that because I'm gonna be facing him this week, but they're a 3.5 home favorite. He's averaging 20 opportunities a game, and, look, you talked about Jacksonville's defense.

00:17:28

So I lean the Pollard's side, but I think anytime you can get a favorite like this against a bad defense, it makes some sense that look, Levis could be the beneficiary. I think it'll be Pollard, and I think it makes sense that they're gonna win the ball game.

00:17:42

Yeah. That I I agree with that. I think Pollard's a great play. Isaac Gurindo, the waiver wire sensation, the fab dump extraordinaire is my start of the week going up against Chicago. If you dumped all your fab, hopefully, he's not just chilling on your bench.

00:17:57

Put him in. Start him. He's going to be fine. He's not just a a random third and, actually, 4th string backup from nowhere, which he was the 4th string, you know, to start the year. This is a guy who we we talked about it.

00:18:12

He has a 100 percentile speed score. He his his weight and speed are outstanding, and you've seen it in the limited action he's got this year. He's averaging 5.9 yards per carry. Kyle Shanahan's system has a long and storied history of backups at the end of the year coming in and winning people championships. It's happened so many times.

00:18:35

Talked about it a lot on Monday.

00:18:36

I think it's Tuesday. And if you look at this specific matchup, the bears defense, they're good, but they're much better in the passing game than the running game. The running game is the running defense is not that good. They're 27th in EPA per rush temp, 25th in rushing yards per game, 31st in adjusted yards before contact. That 1 is the most exciting 1 for a guy like Garrindo.

00:18:57

If you're able to open up lanes for a guy with the 100th percentile speed score, see you. So that's my official take on Isaac Garindo this week.

00:19:07

And Sandefek. Oh, okay. Thank you so much.

00:19:10

Oh, that wasn't me. That was Gurindo.

00:19:11

Okay.

00:19:12

Just jeez. He was that That's so fast. Yeah. Broke the sound barrier. It had to travel here.

00:19:18

Sounded more cartoony to me. Yeah. The sound barrier is very loud. That was a bad color.

00:19:22

It was so far away. He's not here.

00:19:24

Yeah. Okay.

00:19:25

This was just, like, you know,

00:19:26

having a

00:19:27

shock. Oh, yeah. Yeah.

00:19:28

I'll dig it.

00:19:28

Sonic boom that is in California

00:19:30

or wherever. Yes. Exactly. Okay. I'll dig I'll dig this thing to China, man.

00:19:34

Just give me a shovel.

00:19:37

Sound like the road runner.

00:19:39

I'm going with Tyrone Tracy against the Saints. This is I'm not calling him to be a a top 12 guy or anything like like that this week, but he has been producing, and it like, it's been weird because the dude loves to fumble. However, he went right back to being the primary guy for the New York Giants, where you 2 weeks ago against Tampa, 41% of the snaps. He seemed like he was being punished right back to 73% of of the snaps. He was their their full time guy.

00:20:09

I don't think he was the starter, but he was he was the main guy for them. And then the Saints matchup, they're tied for dead last and yards per carry allowed, and they're 30th in scheduled just the points to the running back position. I think that Tracy should score this week.

00:20:23

I'll make it quick here. It is a, redemption opportunity for Darnell Mooney who has been bad the last 2 weeks because

00:20:30

Yeah. You gotta talk to Kirk.

00:20:31

Because Kirk Cousins has been horrendous, and the matchup is great. Minnesota is dead last and schedule adjusted fancy points given up to wide outs. They play too high safety. This is an area where Mooney has better numbers than London against too high safety, and they're gonna need to score points in this game. I'm gonna I I I think it'll get better for Atlanta's receivers in this game, and I think Mooney needs the confidence boost here on the air when you're freaked out to play them on a week full full of by weeks where Westbrook, Akene, and MBS, and these players are getting chucked into lineups.

00:21:05

No. Just go back to the guy that showed you we could deliver early in the year. I'm gonna go with Mooney.

00:21:09

I understand what you're saying. I I am I am 1 of those people. I'm scared. I I went back and watched every Kurt Cousins snap.

00:21:15

You can't be not scared. If you watch that, you have to be scared.

00:21:18

Type of passes that Mooney was succeeding at earlier in the year where you you, you know, you've got that zone that's he's sitting in 15, 20 yards down the field, and Kirk fires it in there. And, man, he was Floats it in. He he was floating those things in there for the defenders. So, hopefully, he gets his, his arm strength back this week. My wide receiver start of the week was a change up.

00:21:39

I had Jaden Reid in here. And yesterday on the forecast that Mike and I were recording, we realized every question was, can I play J'on Jennings? Can I J'on Jennings or this guy? It's like, hold up.

00:21:50

You're gonna answer that question?

00:21:51

J'on Jennings should be in your lineup. J'on Jennings is a great start. He is my start of the week. You know, the it's it's not common that I'm gonna take a running back and a wide receiver from the same team, but it was it was 1 of those situations where I don't think people remember what happened. Okay.

00:22:09

So just to give you the catch you up on the Jawaan Jennings story, he was great earlier in the year, got injured. Then after their buy, he came back, and Brandon Ayuk was gone, and he was 11 targets, 7 for 93. He was awesome. The next game, 11 targets caught 10 of them for 91, and a touchdown was awesome. Brock got injured.

00:22:32

So the next game, they bring in the backup. Okay. In that game, he stinks. He's got 6 and a half fantasy points. Well, sure.

00:22:38

He was playing with a backup quarterback. The next week, which was last week, was the crazy snowball game where the niners couldn't do anything in that and Brock was not good in the snow against Buffalo. I'm throwing those 2 out. This week against Chicago, it's not a prime matchup, but J'Juan Jennings is absolutely someone that he's not like a you know, if it to to bring up the guys you were talking about, like the Nick Westbrook or Kenny, the MBSs, the guys off the waiver wire. Those were all the questions we were getting, him or J'Juan Jennings.

00:23:09

I'm playing MBS in my league of record this week.

00:23:12

But you'd much rather play

00:23:13

I would just I would love to have Juwon Jennings. That would not be that that's where I'm I'm confident that Juwon Jennings has targets and volume and and opportunities, and that's enough on a week with this many bioweeks.

00:23:28

I'm going with Calvin Ridley to stack with my, I'll give him, you know, 1 1, 1 sleeve of the underpants here. It's

00:23:37

it's like a 2 legged race. Yeah. But they're in

00:23:40

iron. 33 legged race.

00:23:43

Woah. What's oh, that that is

00:23:45

that's what the race is

00:23:46

actually called.

00:23:48

Okay. Thank you. I got eyes from both of you guys. Like, what are you doing? Like, that's the name of the race, guys.

00:23:53

Okay.

00:23:53

I don't always know what type of joke you're trying to make, and I think we got Yeah.

00:23:58

We got we got turned around.

00:24:00

Chucked the joke under the table.

00:24:01

Yeah. Guys, I was in the backyard Olympics at the family picnic.

00:24:05

It was a weird It is a 3 legged race.

00:24:07

Where are you?

00:24:08

The 2

00:24:08

legged race

00:24:09

is just a race. Right?

00:24:11

That's just your standard race. We don't even specify the legs.

00:24:14

Wouldn't that be awesome in the Olympics if they just call it? And now with the 2 legged race.

00:24:18

2 legged race. Yes. Alright. So it's Calvin Ridley. I know Westbrook Akene is, like, he's making the news because he keeps scoring on 2 receptions every single week.

00:24:33

But since Hopkins has left, Calvin Ridley has a 29% target share. That is elite. And the matchup I like the matchup. I like Tony Pollard too.

00:24:44

Just like everybody, it's Jacksonville. The Tennessee offense. Yeah. But I'll

00:24:47

I'll take the passing attack here.

00:24:49

I'm going with Fergolicious at tight end, Jake Ferguson. If for some reason he was out, it would be the schoon man. Whoever it is, play him against Cincinnati. And guess what? I'm doubling up here because last week, I think I got the most side eye looks about Pat Fryermuth.

00:25:05

Oh, yeah. No. That was And

00:25:07

the muth got pot. Loose. Wait.

00:25:09

What? He's never how dare you I'm so close

00:25:13

to getting a new tooth, guys. I'm so close.

00:25:15

Days away.

00:25:16

The reason I wasn't here yesterday is because I'm I'm so close and needed to get some more tooth work done, but soon I'll say everything right. The Muth got it done last week against Cincy. Cincy cannot defend tight ends. It's just not something they do. They actually just lost another defensive player, which seems like an impossibility that their defense could get worse, but their 31st against tight ends Dallas tight ends are seeing 23% of targets with Cooper Rush.

00:25:43

Fergalicious and or Scoone Man will get it done.

00:25:46

That game is gonna be great for Fantasy. Okay.

00:25:52

I'm gonna, throw a guy out there that I think people are really upset with. If you've had them, if you've been starting them, you feel like you cannot you can no longer start It's

00:26:02

been rotten.

00:26:02

Cade Otten. It's been Cade rotten. And don't go away from him this week. Cade.

00:26:08

I won't. I don't have a choice.

00:26:09

Yeah. I mean, you might not have a choice, but Cade Rotten's matchup against the Las Vegas Raiders is so desirable. And and if you look at Kate Auden, watch the film last week, a lot of it was on him. It was his fault. Like, he had some drops.

00:26:25

Shoulda

00:26:25

had a touchdown.

00:26:25

But he still had 7 targets. He's very involved in this offense. He had 8 targets a couple weeks before on kind of a little bit more of a dud game. Baker is fully healthy right now. He's, you know, he's practicing in full.

00:26:38

He had been struggling with ankle and toe and all sorts of different injuries. But despite the the the fact that he has not been good for 3 games in a row, the targets are there. That's what you want. He's not he he's 3rd in all tight ends in the league, in routes run, number 1 in total offensive snaps. This is a player on the field.

00:26:59

And so now if you look at the matchup against the the raiders, over the last 6 weeks, the raiders are dead last last in schedule adjusted fantasy points against. And I wanna tell you just how extreme it is. It's it usually when a team is like they're 32nd, it's because they're 4 or 5 points over the average of what they usually what their opponent usually scores. That's how much more they're giving up. Right now over the last 6 weeks, the Raiders are giving up 11.1 fantasy points more than the player's usual average.

00:27:34

That's an insane number. So keep rolling Kate Auden. He should be fine this week.

00:27:38

Redemption.

00:27:39

And if you need a nasty boy off of the waiver wire, Will Dizzley, Big Montana, the Dizzler, all of those things, it was a goose last week, but he had been averaging over 4 receptions in the previous 7 games. And the Chiefs, the 1 place they need to they can beat them is with the tight end position. And Ladd McConkie,

00:27:58

they can't beat them. So alright. We'll take a break. We'll hit the forecast. Alright.

00:28:09

Time to preview our matchups for week 14.

00:28:15

It's time for Fantasy Forecast presented by DraftKings Sportsbook.

00:28:23

Well, we know the story. You know the story out there. If you are competing, if you're listening, if you're in it for the Fantasy playoffs, you know you don't have any Broncos. Bye bye, Cortland Sutton. You don't got the Colts and Richardson and Taylor.

00:28:35

You don't have the Commanders and your delightful Jaden Daniels and Terry McLaurin. You don't have the Patriots, the Ravens or the Texans either. So it's going to be a week where you gotta piece it together, and here's what you can hope for, an equal dis disadvantage for your opponent. You, you know, you are probably making decisions on players you don't wanna have to play, but your opponent probably is too. So we're gonna try to help you out, get you going.

00:29:01

We'll start with the game that surprisingly had 3 players in the previous starts of the week segment. Jacksonville, who was 2 and 10, fighting hard for that number 1 spot, which I believe they have right now, facing the Tennessee titans who would love to lose this game and get there. Well, maybe not. Love to. But they're 3 and 9 in the DraftKings sports book line here.

00:29:19

Tennessee at home, minus 3a half. The over under, 39a half. That gives Tennessee 21, Jacksonville 18. We've talked a lot about this game already. What are your thoughts beyond the names in the starts of the week?

00:29:33

I think that what you brought up during starts of the week is accurate. I worry that Mac Jones is not going to be able to do enough on the road against the titans to really force a a higher scoring game and a lot more fantasy greatness here. The I think the real questions are on the ancillary receivers for the Jacksonville Jaguars, the Parker Washingtons, Evan Ingram. Are these guys because you're gonna start Brian Thomas.

00:29:59

Yeah. I think you mostly in this situation, the prescription is to what? Avoid ancillary options. Right? Go with the primary guys.

00:30:05

I believe despite Brian Thomas having a great Fantasy week last week, he was still near the top in terms of, like, air yards not caught. Right? Like Yeah.

00:30:15

He caught 4 of his 10 targets.

00:30:17

Yeah. I mean, so, like, Brian Thomas is in. I thought you were actually going to bring up the running back room in Jacksonville and if you can do anything there.

00:30:25

Oh, man. That that's a tough 1. I mean, if I have to start 1, it would be Travis ETN. He's getting more volume. I'm not confident in either, but you might need that this week.

00:30:34

I would shy away from Tank Bigsby, personally. I think there's better options out there. But, no, I I just bring up Parker Washington because he was so involved last week. 12 targets

00:30:43

Well, how long

00:30:44

over a 100 yards.

00:30:44

MBS. Or I think I would

00:30:47

go MBS there. I I in this game with Nick Westbrook, Okeney, you I I mean, we've we've, we've been saying this. I have said over and over you can't start him. He scored a touchdown every time.

00:30:57

He's got the 3 best odds to score a touchdown in this game.

00:31:00

Now, honestly, I think you can start him, and I think people will. And he's gonna get you. He's gonna get you. Andy, you you are doing this. You're starting him in league of record Yeah.

00:31:10

After and you've been pounding the table for the last month before it was cool.

00:31:13

Yeah. The hyphen. The hyphen.

00:31:15

You're saying

00:31:15

I'm putting him in.

00:31:16

He's on the field every snap. His opportunities are there, and he's, you know, he's been scoring touchdowns. And so now you're actually starting them. Enjoy your goose, your your Christmas goose.

00:31:30

What happens, though? Like, what is the apology tour gonna be like if he gets back into the end zone this week? Because, Jay, you've been calling for the his demise. Like, if if he keeps what if he's 3

00:31:39

touchdowns this week? If he's if he scores a touchdown this week, I will make a donation in his name. Okay. Because it and I will I will recommend him as my start of the week every week from here on out for forever.

00:31:54

Outrageous. He's plus 185 on an anytime touchdown on on DraftKings. And, Mike, you talked about Ridley and Pollard. Yep. Both can be played, and then Levis if you are wild, crazy, and wearing titanium underpants.

00:32:06

It's the same, man. It's like you read off all those quarterbacks that we are missing, and there are leagues out there that backup quarterbacks have been stashed.

00:32:15

He has a wider or a quarterback 9 finish this year, which was against the Chargers on the road. So it's, you know, he can he could get there. The Jets are 3 and 9, the Dolphins are 5 and 7. The Jets are going to Miami. The DraftKings sports mip line is Miami minus 6, the over under is 45.

00:32:37

I mean, to say the vibes are not good for the Jets is an understatement. They're as bad as they've ever been. I don't want this conversation today to just be about how much we dislike how it's gone, Because that's the conversation with the Jets every week. Let's just focus on real essential questions here about Bruce Hall, Garrett Wilson, and Davante Adams because

00:33:02

You start all 3. I re I mean, that's just

00:33:05

the truth. I agree.

00:33:06

The truth is you start all 3. Garrett Wilson, last 3 games have been dud, dud, dud. But he's he's had the target still. He had 10 targets this last week, Dave, and the so many of

00:33:16

them were uncatchable. Look, it it Rodgers is not playing well. But if you watch the Jets game, he did actually have a couple really nice throws to Davante Adams. And it Rodgers, for for everything where he is in his career right now, the the missed pass to Garrett Wilson that should have been touchdown, he's not gonna miss that every single time. So Garrett Wilson, the player is still playing well.

00:33:42

We just need Rodgers to be a little bit better, which is not impossible.

00:33:46

Yeah. The the target volume is there. The so I I can't imagine benching either 1 of Garrett Wilson or Davante Adams. The expectation shouldn't be that you've got a wide receiver 1, but the volume is there and you hope 1 of them gets touched on. The real question is, Breese Hall, his health, you know, is I I don't know if the practice reports are out yet for

00:34:07

We're looking Yeah. To see if we get a Thursday report on Breese Hall. If he doesn't practice Thursday, I'll be concerned. Yep. He If he doesn't practice Wednesday, it's like, okay.

00:34:17

We're managing this injury that we've been managing.

00:34:19

The the the scarier part is I mean, several times you could see him during the game last week where when he played, like, he didn't have these practices. He ends up playing, but you could see him on the side, and he is Not right? He's not doing well.

00:34:34

That's terrifying. That's terrifying. We'll let you know if we get a report by the end of the show on Breeze Hall today. On the other side, Tua Tungavailoa has 3 consecutive top 10 finishes at the quarterback position.

00:34:46

He's, like, reverse Tua ing right now.

00:34:49

Oh, where he normally fails off in the back half of the year?

00:34:51

Yeah. Normally

00:34:52

because he skipped the first half, Mike.

00:34:54

This is his first half.

00:34:55

You know what I mean? This is

00:34:56

his first half.

00:34:57

He's leading the NFL in completion percentage. He's got a superstar hall of fame tight end in Johnny Smith.

00:35:03

That's he's leading the NFL in completion percentage because he's throwing the ball mostly to Devonne Chan and Johnny Smith and won't push the ball down the field.

00:35:12

Well, did you see the, did you guys talk about Tyreek Hill's kinda cryptic tweet? No. No. Or Instagram post? He he's kind of he puts something out there that I think shows him walking into the locker room and says kind of alludes to the possible a a possible retirement.

00:35:31

Oh, man. Oh, man.

00:35:33

It kinda seems like they're retiring him right there on the field on certain weeks.

00:35:37

Oh, man. Yeah. Tyreke has

00:35:40

He had a cryptic post, and, he said love what you do because it will soon end.

00:35:48

Oh my god. And I've got I've got

00:35:51

I'm I've I'll share it with you guys. I'll repost it on

00:35:55

my See.

00:35:55

Twitter right now.

00:35:56

This is

00:35:57

But it's not like, I'm hanging around.

00:36:00

This is absurd, because he we had the reports, whatever it was, 2 years ago of, I'm gonna finish out my contract with the Dolphins, and that's it. And that circulated like hot fire. He walked that back pretty quick, but it was I mean, it was out there enough to do hit a news cycle, and then it and then he just got money. Right?

00:36:22

Am I remembering? They they re they moved money around. They kinda gave him an extension, but it was more like that Amari Cooper style thing where they gave him 1 money up.

00:36:30

Sure. But you had that, and it was like, well, no. I'm gonna keep playing. And now we're back to I'm not getting the ball slow. Practice.

00:36:38

Oh, man. Arresting him like they do every week. Tyreek Hill or Juwon Jennings? Genuine question this week.

00:36:44

Oh my gosh.

00:36:46

The Jets are still 4th against wide receivers. You know, it it I'm gonna make it even worse. Tyreek Hill or Jaylen Waddle and Tyreek Hill or Juwon Jennings. Both of those questions.

00:36:56

I will take And

00:36:56

I'll leave the studio.

00:36:57

I'll take Tyreek Hill over Jaylen Waddle. He's still got a touchdown in 3 of the last 4 games. He's, you know, he's not been special or elite especially yardage wise. You know, he's averaging 52 yards per game over that span. But Jalen Waddle, while it's nice to see him kind of be remembered, I I still think the pecking order is Tyreke first.

00:37:19

So I would play Tyreke over Waddle. I think Juwon Jennings versus Tyreke is a legitimate question that needs to be asked.

00:37:28

I don't think I'd have those stones to play.

00:37:30

I don't think I would either. I've got the fears that Stevenson, from Chicago yeah. I'm hoping he's focused on Deebo or at least splitting, but if he were to be isolated Is that on Jalen Johnson? Or on yes. Yes.

00:37:41

Yeah. Jalen Johnson. Yeah. Tyreke, I think I'd still play him over. Johnny Smith, you play him?

00:37:48

He's been

00:37:49

Every week.

00:37:49

Amazing since week 6. He leads all NFL pass catchers and first downs per route run. I had an interesting question. You're playing Devon HN. Right?

00:37:58

But I had somebody send in this question. They said, who's the true backup, insurance back for HN? Because we've been talking on the show. Yeah. Go out and get the guy and insure the guy.

00:38:07

My answer to that No 1? Was no 1. Yeah. It was because it's Raheem Most or it's Jalen Wright. And the answer to me is no 1.

00:38:15

However, if if you wanted to pick 1, I'd pick Wright because you'd be looking at catastrophe. Like Which

00:38:21

1 would you pick then if you're gonna get it correct? Unlimited diarrhea. Oh, you didn't like that 1? Unlimited.

00:38:28

I was about to say swish.

00:38:29

Oh, because I said right? Yeah. Oh, okay.

00:38:31

It's really good.

00:38:32

Yeah. Take a lap.

00:38:34

Alright.

00:38:35

Raheem Mostert, Jalen Wright.

00:38:37

Oh, he's really

00:38:38

taking a lap. Taking a lap.

00:38:39

Around the table. Okay. Please don't kick the cameras.

00:38:43

I know. I know. Very good. Very good. Is this new?

00:38:45

I hope not. Mostert's just so uninvolved.

00:38:49

Oh, yeah. That's new. I'm a make you take a lap someday.

00:38:51

Chan's every

00:38:53

okay. What's weird is the because A Chan is not playing, you know, normal running back stuff here of, what, 7 carries the past week despite being, like, the the primary guy. The offense would have to change so drastically if of what they're running right now to if if Achan's not on the field. But if Achan's gone, then Tyreek Hill actually Do

00:39:16

you know what his rushing attempts per game is on the year?

00:39:19

I would imagine around 11 a game.

00:39:22

Yes. You you're the best guesser I've ever met in my life. Every every time that I ask you to guess, you're right on.

00:39:28

From the former, carnival job.

00:39:31

Yeah. He was he was I can look at you.

00:39:33

I knew your height weight guy.

00:39:34

I know your weight. I can tell when your pockets are stuffed.

00:39:39

Big Wait. Is that how you beat

00:39:41

the system? Well, of course, that's how you beat the system. You get a skinny person, and you put a little, weight in the pocket. Well, no. I mean, you'd like a weight test.

00:39:50

And some lead?

00:39:50

Yeah. I mean, it's Not the shoes? No. I mean, you you usually pockets, but But

00:39:57

you can't get them to, like you can't get your weight lower on the scale.

00:40:00

No. That's Yeah. That's not what I'm saying. Been trying for a long time.

00:40:03

He's he's holding a bunch of helium balloons. Guess my weight. Alright. Atlanta's 6

00:40:10

and 6. £60?

00:40:14

The Falcons are 6 and 6. They take on the 10 and 2 Minnesota Vikings, Mike was pointing out. You know, everyone makes so much of the Detroit season, and here's Minnesota 1 game behind.

00:40:23

10 and 2, man.

00:40:24

Still in contention for the for the buy. The DraftKings sports book line here, Minnesota minus 5a half. The over under is 46. If you don't remember, there is only 1 buy in each of the conferences. So it is, it will come down to the wire.

00:40:38

I I was on record. Now you guys previewed the game for tonight. I think it's what's the line? Because I didn't get to participate in that. What was the line on the Detroit Green Bay game?

00:40:51

What is it right now?

00:40:52

To look it up.

00:40:53

Because I told Mike in the studio 2, 3 days ago.

00:40:56

You did. I will I will verify it.

00:40:58

Detroit minus 3. Yeah. So just

00:41:05

Andy's almost upset of the week.

00:41:09

This is the 1. Yeah. I think Detroit loses this week. I think they lose tonight. Minnesota plays Atlanta at home.

00:41:14

They can easily win that game. They're favored by 5a half. The over under's 46, and all of a sudden, you are

00:41:20

We could be set up for a week 18.

00:41:24

Do they face each other? Yeah.

00:41:25

No. They They face each other in week 18.

00:41:28

They do. So here's the the Minnesota

00:41:30

were so close in the 1st match.

00:41:31

The Minnesota schedule is Atlanta this week. Maybe. But, yeah, I I would pick Minnesota. Chicago next week, I'll pick Minnesota. Seattle on the road, I'll pick Minnesota.

00:41:44

At home against Green Bay, and then Detroit the final week. That's gonna be that's gonna be fun.

00:41:51

The point being that Minnesota is just right in the thick of it. They the games haven't been decisive of late. They've been very close

00:41:57

with They're Chiefs esque at the moment.

00:41:59

Yeah. They did not beat they were not leading against Arizona until the final score with under a minute to go. They what did they win by? 3 points against was it Jacksonville? I

00:42:08

mean Chicago.

00:42:09

Chicago. Okay. Yep. They've had some close games.

00:42:11

Couple weeks ago, though, like, a month ago against Jacksonville, that was that game where they shoulda lost. They tried everything they could to lose, but Jacksonville wasn't good enough to beat them. I think it was, like, 12 they they scored 12 points and won.

00:42:23

So in this game at home, I really like Sam Darnold. I really like Aaron Jones. I really like Justin Jefferson. I really like Jordan Addison. I think Jordan Addison's gonna get it done this 1.

00:42:33

Okay.

00:42:34

Hawkinson? I'm feeling squeamish about TJ Hawkinson. Not that I wouldn't play him, but because there are these other like KDOT and you brought up. Mhmm. Right?

00:42:44

And then there's players that are emerging maybe at the tight end position that you would think twice about, whether it's Juwan Johnson getting going, whether it's Fergalicious. TJ Hawkinson has been weird. He's had 2 really good games and 3 really bad games.

00:42:57

Yeah. But they've gone back and forth.

00:42:59

Mhmm. Red light green light. Yeah.

00:43:00

So now it's a green light.

00:43:02

So you're all in there. But you'd play Kittle over him. Right? Yeah.

00:43:05

I would play Kittle for sure.

00:43:06

So the Minnesota side, they're set up against an Atlanta team that is 30th against the wide receiver position, 31st for core against quarterbacks. Sam Darnold is was my streaming quarterback of choice losing Lamar this week. I picked him up 2 weeks ago, 4 this week. It's I'm playing Darnold. I'm trusting those explosive wide receivers, and I'm hoping Atlanta's functional enough to make it a game.

00:43:33

Yeah. That makes sense. You know, on on the running backs here on both sides of the ball, you've got Aaron Jones playing well, Bijan playing exceptional. The DK receptions line for both of these guys is a I I really like both. 3

00:43:49

and a half for Bijon, 2 and a half for Erin Jones.

00:43:51

Yes. Bijon has just been getting it done. And when I watched that Kirk Cousins film, as as hesitant as I was for the Darnell Mooney play, I was even more bullish on Beason. I'm like, they need they need to use him the way that they're using him right now in the receiving game. Obviously, you're gonna be playing him, but it it's gonna continue working in the in the in the passing game.

00:44:15

Yeah.

00:44:15

That's what you're gonna have to count on.

00:44:16

Yeah. I mean, that's where

00:44:18

Minnesota's number 1 against the run.

00:44:20

Yeah. That

00:44:20

If you're just, you know, handing the ball off.

00:44:22

Yeah. The passing game is where Bijan has been doing great work and is so needed for Kirk Cousins right now.

00:44:30

So you you you can kind of prescribe it the same way you did James Conner last week where you said, hey. We're gonna play Conner because he's gonna get The Rock, and he's gonna get the passing work. Kyle Pitts, Oh, man. Have the ceremony right now. He's retired for Fantasy for this year.

00:44:45

Colossal NFL draft bust, colossal Fantasy Football, rookie draft pick.

00:44:52

Yes.

00:44:52

Bust.

00:44:52

Yes. That is a 100% true. He will be a cautionary tale for the future prediction of all generational talents. Some end up like Brock Bowers. Some end up

00:45:06

1 ends up like Brock Bowers.

00:45:08

You you you draft a tight end. Will say this. If you draft a tight end in the top 5, I'll do it again. You'll do it again? Yeah.

00:45:15

Like, I'll be in on that guy.

00:45:16

Oh, yeah. Oh, yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Because

00:45:18

for the cautionary tale, but it's like if you give me the same circumstances, I'm gonna pick him every time.

00:45:24

Well, and he had a significant injury that he doesn't seem to have really made it back from.

00:45:29

Guys. Guys. He's 24 years old. We got a lot of Kyle Pitts talking left to do over the next 6, 7 years. To be 27.

00:45:37

I I And break out.

00:45:40

Man, I hope we never

00:45:41

It could happen.

00:45:42

I hope we don't have to keep talking. New Orleans, the Saints, 48, taking on the 2 and 10 New York Giants. Wow.

00:45:48

Gross. That's

00:45:48

a fart fest. Yeah. My favorite player in this is the New Orleans Saints defense.

00:45:53

Yeah. The DraftKings sportsbook line New Orleans minus 4a half on the road over under a 41. Drew Lock has been announced as the starter for the Giants. It is a slight upgrade over, you know, what they had in Tommy DeVito. What they could really use is somebody like Daniel Jones to come in and take over as the starter, but they're not gonna be able to do that.

00:46:14

No. Both rushing defenses are terrible. So Tyrone Tracy and then Alvin Kamara who, you know, we can speculate on Kendrick Miller and Juwon Johnson and Foster Miro and and Jamal Williams. It's Alvin Kamara. Alvin Kamara will be the consolidation of opportunity, most valuable in the running game.

00:46:36

His rushing and receiving line, DK line is 124.5 yards. If you ask me how I overcome Mike's juggernaut team in our dynasty playoffs, I'm going to answer Alvin Kamara down the stretch. That's what I'm gonna do, because he has the potential to really finish the season strong. Go, Kendra Miller. So, yeah, the fact that your hopes for that to stop or Kendra Miller makes me even more comfortable with it.

00:47:02

Malik Nabors has not been, listen to this, a top 24 wide receiver since week 4. That dude is up against it. It don't matter. Like, he is the Man. He is the case of let me let me give you his last 4 games.

00:47:18

Okay? So you can understand what's going on at quarterback. His last 4 games, he is on pace for 182.8 targets in a season.

00:47:26

Oh, that is awesome.

00:47:29

Okay. He's on pace for 123.3 receptions.

00:47:32

Oh. That's Yeah.

00:47:34

Actually exceptional. I'm I'm not sure.

00:47:36

He's on pace for 1,000 yards.

00:47:39

Pretty darn good.

00:47:40

That's That's

00:47:40

Not on that. At a receptionist.

00:47:42

That's awful on that and then 0 touchdowns. So the numbers for him are design screens, pretty terrible opportunities, and and else. Right? They've they've lost a lot of ball games. I I feel like Malik Nabors is has to be in, sort of, the discussions for people.

00:48:01

He I mean, he For all of that, he has been over 10 Fantasy points in, what, 3 of the past 6?

00:48:07

Yeah. The the numbers that you are saying there, obviously, efficiency wise, awful, and scoring opportunities, rare.

00:48:16

Not finished inside the top 25 in that stretch either.

00:48:19

But when you have that many targets and you have that much talent, it's gonna be very difficult. I mean, you're not wrong. You've gotta take a look at who you have. But I can't imagine

00:48:27

your favorite player in the game was?

00:48:29

The defense for the Saints?

00:48:31

Yeah.

00:48:31

So it's

00:48:32

just yeah. I mean, I I'm not saying you can't play him or shouldn't play him. I'm saying that your upside when you talked about Jameson Baker and you making the decision you're making, your Malik Neiber's upside, to me, it doesn't exist right now.

00:48:45

Man, it's it's it's hard. I mean, it's been true. It's a 100% been true. I I do feel like he's the type of player that can get schemed for a breakaway touchdown and, therefore, always has the upside just because of explosive explosive athleticism. But it it hasn't been happening.

00:49:02

Let me ask you this, Jason.

00:49:04

I'm gonna give you some names. Okay? Okay. Malik Nabors or Jameson Williams tonight against Green Bay at home.

00:49:12

Oh, man. That I would probably play Malik Nabors, and I feel like that might be wrong. I think Jameson Williams has a really good game tonight. And Jaden Reid as well.

00:49:23

Malik Neighbors or Juwan Jennings against Chicago?

00:49:27

I don't wanna play this game.

00:49:29

You signed up. I I would I would go Malik Neighbors. Davontae Adams? Neighbors. Cee Dee Lamb?

00:49:39

Oh, I I think I'd go Neighbors.

00:49:44

The numb 1 of the top the number 1 Malik Neighbors, sorry, say a question on the website is cross positional. It's Malik Neighbors in the Flex or Chuba Hubbard?

00:49:52

I'd go Neighbors there.

00:49:54

Okay. Other other names just to mention real quick before we mercifully move on from this game, because you're not considering quarterbacks here. It's just the MBS, lottery ticket. MBS had 3 targets last week, 4 the week before, and 3 the week before. He has scored in all 3 of those weeks.

00:50:14

The truth of MBS is 100% if he doesn't score, you will be disappointed. Yeah. He's There is there's no real opportunity, I think, for sure.

00:50:24

Easy. Like, it it it's a fine play by the process, and I think

00:50:29

I'm not saying I wouldn't play. Probability. Yeah.

00:50:30

It's yeah. It's just really understanding what you're getting yourself into.

00:50:35

And the to for what it's worth, like, the Giants defense is not a plus match up for wide receivers on the season. Because this was 1 of the things I was looking at when I was trying to put MBS in my order. That 1 stuck out to me. Now if he scores, you're happy. If he doesn't, you're probably getting 2 catches.

00:50:50

Yeah. The the offense of the Giants won't do enough, which is why the running game of the opposing teams do well, which is also why I think and I I know we we've lost over it a little bit, and and you're a 100% right that that Alba Camaro is the the stud of studs always start him. He's gonna be fantastic. But I think that there are teams out there that need a starter at running back that could actually start this week.

00:51:17

That's out that's outrageous to me.

00:51:19

I I don't think it is that outrageous. He is very healthy. He was running full full speed sprints his 1st week on the IR. And and and the Rizzler has been asked questions about, like, Kendra Miller. This is a this is a quote from, Nick Underhill talking about Kendra Miller being out of the doghouse and on good terms with Darren Rizzi.

00:51:39

Nick Underhill, great Yep. Beat reporter for the saints. Quote, we're gonna let that dog off the leash. I'm ready to get out there and bark a little bit.

00:51:46

Oh. So Dog analysis.

00:51:48

Think he's a good player who is in a good matchup. They need him without Taysom Hill. I mean, I I get it. I get it. He's the he's a backup.

00:51:57

Terrifying. It's terrifying.

00:51:59

I wouldn't do it this week. I mean, Jamal Williams also is back last week. And Jamal Williams is is burnt toast. Burnt toast or not? If he's the 1 on the field and Kendrick Miller isn't, you won't get any points from Kendrick Miller.

00:52:10

Yeah. That is, didn't didn't Jamal Williams get, like, 1 touch last week? Yeah. He did. Yeah.

00:52:15

He was on the field for 6% of snaps.

00:52:17

Yeah. 1 target.

00:52:18

Yeah. I mean, dude, Kendrick was on the field for 0.

00:52:21

I think Kendrick Miller is a great speculation ad. I don't have the courage to play him this week. Dude, I'm but This

00:52:28

will be a victory lap, dude.

00:52:29

Pick him up as starterman league of record. I'm a make the playoffs back, Kendrick Miller.

00:52:32

But having said that, like, I do

00:52:35

Go do that. I'm

00:52:36

Go do

00:52:36

it. I'm on it.

00:52:37

Go do

00:52:38

it. The world like, the I think there is a very decent chance that the number 1 pickup of next week's waiver wire is gonna be Kendrick Miller. So just stash him right

00:52:48

now. Prepared to be wrong about this. Yeah. I I would be so outrageously nervous to start him on the back of just the head coach saying he's not in the doghouse, but who knows?

00:53:00

I'll be the leash.

00:53:01

Maybe you're right. Yeah. He's he's still we're still waiting for his first bark in the NFL.

00:53:07

That's true.

00:53:08

Still waiting for the first 1 in 2 2, 3 years. Alright. We'll take a break, come back with some more matchups, and, see what you think about Bryce Young this week. Alright. The Panthers are 3 and 9, taking on the 10 and 2 Philadelphia Eagles who are on a roll.

00:53:28

The DK Sportsbook line, Philly, minus 12a half. The overunder is 46. They have won 8 in a row. Their defense is dominant, and that is the problem with this game. The problem with this game for fantasy purposes, for the Panthers is how good the Philadelphia defense is.

00:53:47

This is, you know, it was fun to watch Bryce Young last week. Should've won the ball game. Let me be clear. Tampa sucks. Their defense sucks.

00:53:59

This is the opposite of that. Philadelphia at home in this game, I just don't have the confidence here that Bryce Young can do enough. It's 1 of the reasons why Hubbard is getting sit sat down by a lot of people in Fantasy. It's 1 of the reasons that look, I I'm not I'm not fighting to play Thielen and Leggett this week. I if you need a PPR start, I'm okay with Thielen.

00:54:23

So you're not Chuba's d k rushing yard line at 58a half. You're not feeling good on that 1?

00:54:27

No. I'm actually not. I'm actually not I'm actually not feeling good, and and you talk about Jonathan Brooks getting on the field more last week and getting 3rd down opportunities. Chuba had the big fumble.

00:54:36

That feels like a good under.

00:54:38

Yeah. And it feels like Jonathan Brooks in the second half will get some play.

00:54:41

And it's not not even just 3rd down. Like, there was a sequence where it like, they were on the board. They were

00:54:50

inside the 10 And Brooks got multiple looks. In in both the rushing and receiving game. So it it didn't end up in a touchdown, but it was high value, real important plays that that Brooks got.

00:55:02

Chub Chubba's a great player. I'm just scared about this matchup because I don't think you're gonna be there's not gonna be a lot of that game clock where you're in the circumstance that you would want to try to run Chubba and not give Brooks opportunities. And on the other side, holy crap, Saquon Barkley. His rushing line, guys.

00:55:19

Oh, I don't know it. I I can't see it right now. Scott, your eyes are closed. I'm gonna I'm gonna guess. 92.

00:55:27

You're a coward. Is it over a 100? Yeah. No. Keep going.

00:55:31

110. More. What? His rushing line? 114.5.

00:55:36

Oh my gosh.

00:55:38

You guys

00:55:38

playing against him this week. Well Well

00:55:41

So he'll oh, he will.

00:55:43

Yeah. He will.

00:55:44

Berkeley will handle it.

00:55:45

It's okay. I'm gonna have Kendra Miller to the rest

00:55:48

of the year. For records and stuff. I mean Yeah. Carolina's defense is dead last. They're giving up a 166 yards a game against running backs.

00:55:55

They teams run the ball 51% of time, of the time against them, which is the highest in the NFL in the last 12 years. So the recipe works and everyone's doing it. It's like you pick the the favorite on the menu. Like, what's the chef's special? It's hand the ball off against Carolina and win.

00:56:15

Yeah. By the way, Saquon's averaging 124.9 a game.

00:56:19

Yeah. And the and the the matchup is perfect, so unbelievable.

00:56:23

So yeah. I mean, Devante Smith probably, you know, that's the 1 that you're terrified of. If he's active, do you play him? Because it's the it's not that the Panthers' passing defense has amazing personnel and they're dominant. It's that you don't throw against them, and so they're 6th in the league against wide receivers, and then he's coming off an injury.

00:56:42

Like, to me, I'm trying to find another

00:56:43

I would agree. I, I'm hoping DeVonta Smith is kind of not even there just so you're not tempted to to play him. It allows the the work to be funneled to AJ Brown. I feel like AJ Brown and Saquon Barkley alone by themselves can just beat the Panthers with with the best defense in football. I mean, their their defense like, they had a couple holes last year, and somehow they turned them all into massive strengths.

00:57:08

You just can't do much. They just shut down Lamar Jackson and the Baltimore Ravens who only scored 19 points against them last week. And the 19 points includes the of garbagey end of game touchdown with 7 seconds left that was meaningless and worthless. So, yeah, I mean, I I'm not excited about any panther. I I will say the the and David Moores and those they're in a PPR world, they're they're gonna have to be thrown at a lot in this game.

00:57:44

Then, I wanna throw out the name. Look, Dallas Goedert is not expected to play. Oh, yes. Yes. Yes.

00:57:49

Grant Calcaterra, you've that name has been mentioned, earlier in this season, but it's, you know, in those games where he was getting actual real snaps, he was seeing, like, 16 or 70% of the targets. So in in desperate times, I think that he

00:58:06

What were those numbers you just said? He was getting what?

00:58:08

16 to 17% target share. Yeah.

00:58:11

I heard 70. No. That seems high.

00:58:13

No. And Dallas got her

00:58:14

He had 1 game this year where he was 4 for 67, and he and he looked pretty good.

00:58:18

Yeah. And and this is a perfect matchup. Schedule adjusted, their 30th, the the Panthers are against tight end. If Devante Smith is out and Dallas Goedert is out, Grant Calcutta is a very nice, you know, cheap option.

00:58:33

And I mentioned them will mention it really quick. If it was stealing or Leggett, if you have to put 1 in, the name for you is Who? What?

00:58:40

This week, specifically, it would be the PPR upside of Adam Thielen.

00:58:44

The Browns are 3 and 9, taking on the 9 and 3 Steelers. We've talked a little bit about this game already earlier with Jayson's start of the week of Jameis Winston. The DraftKings sports book line here, Pittsburgh minus 6a half. The over under is 43a half. Cleveland beat them in week 12.

00:58:59

That was the fun game where, you know, Jameis finished it, in the snow, bumbling and tumbling and flipping into the end zone. Nick Chubb scored twice in that game. The Steelers, listen to this stat. If you want a shocking stat, they have won 20 consecutive home games against the Browns. Wow.

00:59:20

20 straight games at home against the Browns. You know, you said you were praying for more pick sixes. I do think that there's a balancing act there. Right? Like, you've got to be I think 2 I think 1 to 2 is the right number.

00:59:33

Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. And beyond that, you're not gonna give them the chance to throw.

00:59:36

You still get negative points for interceptions. So they've gotta be, I want them early, and let's cap it at 2.

00:59:41

He is, I think, and you'd admit this, he is a risk to some degree in this specific matchup.

00:59:48

Yes.

00:59:48

It's But the upside potential is there where other quarterbacks don't have it.

00:59:52

He's not for everyone. He is a he is a situational

00:59:56

that. He is a situational need when you are James is not for everyone. Up against it.

00:59:56

And then But if you need when you are

00:59:59

Jamis is not for everyone.

01:00:00

Up against it. And

01:00:01

then But

01:00:01

if you wanna have a good time.

01:00:02

Yeah. I mean, you you can have a really bad time.

01:00:05

I'm better than this. I'm better than this.

01:00:07

Yeah. This is a a 5050 lottery ticket.

01:00:11

Russ is my stream of the week at home, playing great football. You know, you wanna just another feather in the cap for Mike Tomlin. Like, nobody. Nobody believed in the move. Nobody in the media.

01:00:24

Probably half the players in the locker room secretly who would never admit to Mike Tomlin.

01:00:27

The players actually came out and really the way that they supported Fields when the change was made, it was they weren't coming out and saying I disagree with it, but they were they were saying that.

01:00:37

They're now 5 and 1. They are scoring a 1000000 points. Russ is having I don't know if you realize this. Russ is throwing for more yards per game for the Steelers than he's ever done in his entire career. This is his record.

01:00:50

More yards per game for Russell Wilson. Wild. So if it's me, and I'm looking at this game, and it's Russ versus Jameis, Russ is safer to me. Jameis could have the wheels completely fall off, but I think, you know, both guys can score a bunch of points. I mean, Russ Russ put up a lot last week.

01:01:08

You need the game to be what we want it to be. Now the over under is 43a half. That says it's not gonna be.

01:01:15

Yeah. No. It it's not expected to be. There's also a chance of a little bit of rain in this. So if weather becomes an issue, pay attention closer, you know, to to kickoff, and that could hurt the upside.

01:01:27

But, you know, I I think that there are a lot of pieces in this game on both sides that that I want. I Najee Harris has been outstanding as far as opportunities, 20 plus opportunities per game. He has the best odds, in this game at an anytime touchdown on DraftKings. Russ, you know, your your stream of the week is fine. George Pickens with the Moon Balls has been great.

01:01:51

So, you know feel about Nick Chubb? Not as good. I would. I don't

01:01:55

He had his best game against these Steelers, but last week looked bad.

01:01:59

Yeah. And, you saw Ford. Yep. Jerome Ford was on the field, a ton, and especially I know they won last time, but I but I I don't think that's what I'm gonna project. So I would be afraid of Joe.

01:02:13

Would you play Jerry Rice in this 1?

01:02:15

Yeah. Jerry Rice, Judge Judy.

01:02:17

Let's go, baby. I'll I

01:02:19

Did you just do a double up?

01:02:20

A double up. Jerry Rice, Judge Judy is I mean, you have to you have to start Yes.

01:02:26

You have to start. Start. And the Do you know he went

01:02:28

from 30th in yards to 5th in yards?

01:02:30

I did see that. 2235 will will

01:02:33

do that. The Cedric Tillman didn't practice again on Wednesday. That 1 is yeah. Jayson's face is that that was

01:02:41

that was the reaction to?

01:02:42

It wasn't. But Oh. But,

01:02:44

oh, well, no. Okay. Well, what reaction there, James?

01:02:46

I just looked I looked at the 5 games played with Jameis to see what the yardage pace is.

01:02:51

He's averaging a 112 yards a game.

01:02:53

He's on pace for 2,087 yards.

01:02:56

That's But Tillman not practicing this long after the concussion, that's very troublesome. But then the the the window opening would be Elijah Moore, who's averaging almost 10 targets a game. And if especially, like, if Tillman is active, Elijah Moore is still, I I think, a flex consideration. But if Tillman is out, then you should feel very confident playing more.

01:03:19

Njoku, yep. Get him in there for sure. He is a great play down the stretch. Let's turn to the parlay parte.

01:03:28

Oh. I couldn't remember.

01:03:31

I couldn't remember what I was this week, but apparently

01:03:34

What? Oh, a crown again?

01:03:36

I'm putting a crown on this week. All 3 of us have got the oh, wait a minute.

01:03:40

Oh, there's a clown in the room.

01:03:42

Oh, dead center. Dead center.

01:03:45

Yeah.

01:03:45

So last week, I had took Tua with 225 plus. He had 365. Mike took Rico Dowdle, his hero, his champion.

01:03:55

Thank you, Rico.

01:03:55

He's prince, if you wanna keep the, the courtroom.

01:03:59

Wait. Where is Rico on the is he into the top 20 yet?

01:04:02

He No.

01:04:03

He's He's not. No? But we're gonna get there, baby.

01:04:05

I had Gibbs drop, the, he he he had towards the end of the game. He had an easy pass

01:04:12

that he dropped. I'm gonna tell you, the way you put your wig on, there's no there was no heart.

01:04:18

There's in the way

01:04:19

that you put your wig on.

01:04:20

I can't It looks good on camera.

01:04:21

See your entire hat over on

01:04:23

the It's the front side.

01:04:24

But they can't.

01:04:27

Oh. 0,

01:04:27

it's just 1 1 slight breeze, and the wig goes flying. Thank you.

01:04:33

So, mister Moore took Jamere Gibbs over 2 and a half receptions. He had 2. He dropped 1 with 7 minutes in the 4th and ended up a clown, but, 2 out of 3 ain't bad. We'll we'll jump into the week 14 parlay. I'm gonna take Trey McBride, the machine, the PPR monster, the touchdown.

01:04:50

It don't matter because I'm taking 60 plus receiving yards

01:04:53

Yep.

01:04:53

Against Seattle. He's averaging 71 per game. He's got 12 catches in 2 straight weeks. I like the 60 plus.

01:05:00

I'm gonna take Aaron Jones over 2 and a half receptions against Atlanta. Atlanta is 1 of the teams I try to target for running back reception overs. They allow the 4th most per game at 5.8. Aaron Jones is averaging 3 receptions in wins and 3 and a half receptions at home. He's hitting the over in 5 of his 6 home games.

01:05:19

So, I think this is a good, I I said it in the matchup, but I like both running backs overs on their receptions this week.

01:05:26

I'm going Mike Evans, 60 plus receiving yards. Normally, like, great. Mike Evans against Las Vegas, but I'm also legitimately factoring this in. Mike Evans can still get to his 1,000 yards and keep that streak alive, and I know deep down in in my heart that that matters to Mike Evans. And For sure.

01:05:50

And it matters it will matter in so facto. It will matter to Baker Mayfield who is gonna try his best to get him there.

01:05:58

Alright. That was Fantasy Forecast presented by DraftKings Pick 6. Download the new DraftKings Pick 6 app now and use the code ballers. That is the code ballers for new customers to play. $5 and get $50 of pick 6 credits.

01:06:12

1 quick aside since I missed yesterday's preview

01:06:15

of the

01:06:15

game and with the news this morning of Dobbs that we're reporting. Yeah. I will be riding on Super Bye week with a Dontavian Wicks Yeah. In tonight's game. There's nothing wrong with that.

01:06:28

With a high over under trying to catch some lightning in a bottle.

01:06:30

Him in over, Westbrook Acchini?

01:06:34

I have them both in my lineup.

01:06:36

Oh, okay. I'm sorry.

01:06:37

That's how bad Overall. That's how bad my week is going. But but above, like, I I was looking at Josh Palmer. I was looking at some of these you know, with Ladd McConkie maybe missing, but then he's gonna play.

01:06:46

Wicks was in on 89% of the snaps.

01:06:48

It was his highest of the year last year. So if you want a little dart throw for tonight's game, you talk about a game where you can't run the football well, Jacobs banged up, Detroit's good against the run. Look to Wicks, Watson, and Reed to be the weapons, and we'll close it out on that. More matchups tomorrow, the delicious and wonderful fantasy face off. Gotta figure out which 1 of you guys is getting shamed.

01:07:14

I think it's I think it's Mike.

01:07:15

It is me. Goodbye.

01:07:20

Gambling problem called 1800 gambler. Must be 18 and over. Agent eligibility restrictions vary by jurisdiction. Void were prohibited. 1 per new customer.

01:07:28

Non withdrawal pick 6 credits expire in 6 months. Limited time offer. See terms at pic6.draftkings.com/promos.

AI Transcription provided by HappyScribe
Episode description

Week 14 is here! Matchup previews and Starts of the Week on today’s fantasy football podcast, Plus, injury news, and Week 14 start/sit advice for your fantasy football lineups! Manage your redraft, keeper, and dynasty fantasy football teams with the #1 fantasy football podcast. -- Fantasy Football Podcast for December 5th, 2024.

(00:00) - Intro

(05:40) - NFL News

(10:50) - Starts of the Week

(12:10) - Quarterback Starts of the Week

(17:00) - Running Back Starts of the Week

(20:50) - Wide Receiver Starts of the Week

(24:50) - Tight End Starts of the Week

(28:05) - Fantasy Forecast

(29:05) - Jaguars at Titans

(32:25) - Jets at Dolphins

(40:10) - Falcons at Vikings

(45:45) - Saints at Giants

(53:25) - Panthers at Eagles

(58:45) - Browns at Steelers

(01:03:25) - Parlay Partay

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