Transcript of Democrats' Midterm Blowout, Trump Blames Candidates For Losses, Democratic Agenda

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This Up First episode from NPR looks at the Democratic sweep of the midterm elections, in which the party took control of both chambers of Congress and won several key governor races. NPR correspondents Mara Eliasson and Franco Ordóñez analyze how President Trump's handpicked candidates fared, with Eliasson arguing that his heavy involvement made the races a referendum on him.

Barbara Sfun explains what a Democratic Congress could do, including blocking nominees and launching investigations, and how Republicans may reckon with life after Trump. Listeners will hear competing views on whether Democrats gained a mandate or simply benefited from voter openness.

In this episode Michelle Martin, Steve Inskeep, Barbara Sfun, Franco Ordóñez, Mara Eliasson

The transcript of this Up First episode on Democrats' midterm Senate wins and Trump's role in the losses was made with the technology behind HappyScribe's AI notetaker.

Steve Inskeep00:00:02

Democrats expected a big election night and went beyond even those expectations.

Michelle Martin00:00:07

Texas, South Carolina, and Kansas are among the 7 states Democrats flipped in the Senate so far. How did Republicans lose so badly?

Steve Inskeep00:00:13

I'm Steve Inskeep with Michelle Martin, and this is Up First from NPR News. President Trump's handpicked candidate, Ken Paxton, summed up the midterms like this.

Speaker 300:00:25

We've had a difficult night tonight across the country, but it's not over.

Steve Inskeep00:00:29

True, in that a few undecided races will determine how badly Republicans lost. Texas elected Democrats for Senate, governor, and other offices. What does that mean for Trump's hold on his party?

Michelle Martin00:00:41

Hakeem Jarvis is poised to become the first Black speaker of the House. What does he see as a Democrat's mandate? Stay with us. We'll give you news you need to start your day.

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Michelle Martin00:02:05

When the new Congress is seated on January 3, it will be controlled by the Democrats.

Steve Inskeep00:02:09

Yeah, that party flipped control of both the House of Representatives and the Senate from Republicans, with wins in deep red states.

Speaker 700:02:18

North Carolinians, I accept your job offer.

Speaker 800:02:21

You have shown the nation that we can come together to defend South Carolina.

Speaker 900:02:27

We just took back Texas.

Steve Inskeep00:02:31

North Carolina, South Carolina, Texas. Victorious Democratic Senate candidates Roy Cooper, Annie Andrews, and James Talarico.

Michelle Martin00:02:39

NPR's senior national political correspondent, Mara Eliasson, has been watching the midterm results come in, and she's here with me in our studio now. Good morning, Mara.

Mara Eliasson00:02:47

Good morning.

Michelle Martin00:02:47

The polls were predicting a good night for Democrats. It turned into a great night. What's your takeaway on that?

Mara Eliasson00:02:53

Well, the polls were mostly right, and in some cases they underestimated the magnitude of the Democrats' win. But the bottom line is, this was not an embarrassing night for the polling industry. And what happened was that we saw an actual Democratic wave. It was broad and deep, and there was basically one overriding reason for the election results, and that is Donald J. Trump. He made the election all about him, his whims, his grievances, his choices. A lot of this was about public reaction to the unforced choices he made: the war in Iran, tariffs, the focus on beautifying D.C.

rather than talking about what voters care about, which was high prices. And also, let's not forget that he intervened in two specific Senate races, North Carolina and Texas, to either push aside or primary Republican incumbents who probably would have been pretty re-electable. But Tom Tillis, who he pushed aside in North Carolina, John Cornyn, who he defeated in a primary. If he hadn't done that, I don't think the Democrats' win in the Senate would have been as big.

Michelle Martin00:03:54

Having said that, though, historic results for the Democrats, but not just in Congress.

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Mara Eliasson00:03:58

No. Governors' races, the Democrats did very well in some very important places. There's now a Democratic governor of Georgia, the first Black woman governor. We have the first Latina governor elected in Texas. These are big, important presidential states. We also have a woman elected as the governor of Ohio. And this was an existential election for Democrats. They're going to be losing electoral votes in the blue wall states after the 2030 census and reapportionment. They have to learn how to win in red, rural places. Last night they showed that they can.

And governors are really important because they matter in presidential elections, because they can have very important political infrastructure.

Michelle Martin00:04:36

So this is very new, just happened, but what do you think the parties are going to take away from all this?

Mara Eliasson00:04:41

Well, they're going to have to do some pretty deep thinking. The big question for the Republican Party is how much they want to stay tied to Trump. He said, "Pretend I'm on the ballot," and Democrats took him at his word. He's now officially a lame duck. There are many things he can do by himself without Congress, like tariffs, conducting a war. But Republicans have to think about what they want to be, what their party needs to stand for in the post-Trump era. And for Democrats, they have to decide if they thought the election gave them an opportunity or a mandate.

In other words, was this a vote in favor of all the things they stand for, or was this just an opportunity for voters to be open-minded about the Democrats? Because the Democratic brand is still underwater.

Michelle Martin00:05:24

That is NPR's senior national political correspondent, Mara Eliasson. Mara, thank you.

Mara Eliasson00:05:28

You're welcome.

Steve Inskeep00:05:29

It was a tough night for President Trump, as you just heard, who lashed out early on as results came in showing Democrats ahead in many key races. He blamed Republican candidates, the media, including his favorite, Fox News, and pledged to be Mr. Veto.

Speaker 1100:05:43

He made that pledge, but as things wore on and results got worse and worse for his party, he congratulated Democrats.

Speaker 300:05:49

Democrats did a good job. I really do. I think they did a good job. They fought hard.

Speaker 1100:05:54

President speaking on Fox News there. He also said more than once that he would respect the outcome of the elections.

Michelle Martin00:06:00

NPR White House correspondent, Franco Ordóñez, is here to talk about what the midterms mean for President Trump. Good morning, Franco.

Franco Ordóñez00:06:05

Good morning, Michelle.

Michelle Martin00:06:06

So he repeatedly told supporters, as Mara just said, to pretend that he was on the ballot. How effective was that strategy?

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Franco Ordóñez00:06:13

I mean, Michelle, it did not work. I mean, President Trump made himself the central figure in this midterm election, barnstorming across the country. He banked on his personality and appeal with supporters to basically offset those low approval numbers and concerns about the economy and the high cost of gas. But that also made it a lot more difficult for vulnerable candidates to separate themselves from him. And Trump also made it hard for Republicans, with some of his handpicked candidates who really just could not run out of his shadow. I mean, just look at the states where Trump was most invested.

Mara spoke to this. I mean, Trump visited Texas three times after putting his thumb on the scale for Ken Paxton. But now James Talarico is the first Democratic senator of Texas in almost four decades. Even more surprising, in South Carolina, Trump encouraged Darlene Graham, the late senator, Lindsey Graham's sister, into the Senate race. He visited South Carolina twice in October, but now they have a new Democratic senator, Annie Andrews. Trump declined, though, to take any blame, telling Fox News this.

Speaker 300:07:15

But I don't view it as a hit on me.

Franco Ordóñez00:07:18

But, you know, as we're saying, this is clearly a referendum against Trump.

Michelle Martin00:07:22

This was a pretty thorough loss for President Trump and for the Republicans. Is there more reaction that we expect from the president? How do we expect him to respond to this going forward?

Franco Ordóñez00:07:33

Well, I mean, I think we can expect that Trump is going to be pretty confrontational going forward, especially with the relationship with Democrats. I mean, Democrats are expected to launch all sorts of investigations of Trump and his family. And Trump has signaled that he will continue to flex his executive powers, as he already has. But he did also say that he'll make some deals, and you saw a little hint of that attitude with his willingness to congratulate Democrats. You know, he did do the same thing back in 2018 during his first term, though things did eventually turn somewhat contentious.

So it is a bit of a wait-and-see moment.

Michelle Martin00:08:08

And at least based on some of what they talked about during the campaign, Democrats are already pledging to be confrontational themselves.

Franco Ordóñez00:08:14

Oh, yeah. Oh, yeah. I mean, just last night, the incoming chairman of the House Oversight Committee, Robert Garcia, he said, or he vowed to take on the Trump crime family, ICE abuses, and, in his words, the cover-up of the Epstein files. But again, back to the 2018 midterms, Republicans lost the House then, and Trump actually started to negotiate with then-Democratic Speaker Nancy Pelosi on spending, on trade, and on criminal justice reform.

Michelle Martin00:08:38

And before we let you go, Franco, what do these results say about the direction of the Republican Party? Is this the beginning of life post-Trump?

Franco Ordóñez00:08:46

I mean, look, the Republican Party is at a crossroads. Republicans are already grappling with the question of what this party is without Trump, and if and how they want to separate themselves from MAGA. I mean, it's so tied to Trump himself. On the one hand, they don't want to actually repeat the mistakes of the midterms, but on the other, they don't want to abandon Trump's supporters. That is why, you know, 2028 is going to be so interesting, because the presidential election will reveal a lot about whether this party can figure out a path forward without Trump.

Michelle Martin00:09:17

That is White House correspondent, Franco Ordóñez. Franco, thank you.

Franco Ordóñez00:09:19

Thank you.

Michelle Martin00:09:20

We turn now to what congressional Democrats will do with their massive victory.

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Steve Inskeep00:09:24

Yeah, Hakeem Jeffries has been the House Democratic leader for four years, and now he is the presumptive House speaker. He spoke late last night.

Hakeem Jeffries00:09:31

This is a change election, and we understand as House Democrats that we need to deliver dramatic change.

Steve Inskeep00:09:41

Okay, what will that change look like?

Michelle Martin00:09:43

Let's ask NPR congressional correspondent, Barbara Sfun, who is also here. Good morning, Barbara.

Barbara Sfun00:09:47

Hi, good morning, Michelle.

Michelle Martin00:09:48

Okay, we talked about the large margins in the Senate and the House. What does that mean practically for a Democratic majority?

Barbara Sfun00:09:54

Well, most significantly, it's a check on the White House. You know, the president has not been constrained by the Republican-led Congress thus far, even when he does something that some Republicans have not really appreciated, like rescinding congressionally appropriated funds. So Democrats want to flex those muscles of the legislative branch once again. And I think we'll see that happen in two big buckets. A Democratic Senate majority means massive roadblocks for confirming President Trump's future cabinet and judicial nominees, of course, if there's a Supreme Court vacancy. And on the House side, as Franco said, you know, we can expect a lot of investigations.

Here's Jeffries again.

Hakeem Jeffries00:10:29

We're going to bring accountability to those who have visited unprecedented corruption on this country. Because if you have people in high office who are so focused on enriching themselves, their family members, their friends, or their donors, then they're not focused on making life better for the American people.

Michelle Martin00:10:52

So presumptive speaker, Jeffries talks about accountability there. How specifically have Democrats said they're going to use that oversight power?

Barbara Sfun00:10:59

Well, they'll have full investigatory powers. So the power to subpoena, the power to compel people to testify before Congress. How the administration responds, of course, is an open question. But Democrats have a long list of targets. A few are probing some of the businesses in the Trump family orbit, as Franco mentioned, stepping up scrutiny on the Jeffrey Epstein case, investigating pay-to-play accusations surrounding the pardons of Trump allies. And I expect robust congressional oversight into how tax dollars are being spent.

Michelle Martin00:11:27

Okay, Barbara, what about the I-word impeachment? Are Democrats thinking about that?

Barbara Sfun00:11:32

You know, I think Democrats are wary about jumping into an impeachment of the president. It would be their third time. It doesn't really help their argument that they have more to offer than just being the anti-Trump party.

Michelle Martin00:11:42

And what about Jeffries himself? He would be an historic speaker, the first Black lawmaker to hold that role. And what are you expecting from him?

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Barbara Sfun00:11:49

Well, part of his future success, I think, will be how he can unify the caucus. There is a small block of members who won endorsements from the Democratic Socialists of America. They want the party to lean harder into its left flank. Whether they vote for Jeffries will be, I think, an early litmus test of how they're approaching their role within the party. But Democrats won in such a big way that I don't think Jeffries is going to have trouble, even if there are some defections in his party. And this is the gift of large margins, because we saw again and again this cycle House Speaker Mike Johnson constantly getting thwarted by a small but very vocal group in his party.

That does not seem to be the dynamic that will be replicated for Jeffries.

Michelle Martin00:12:27

Really briefly, in the first Trump administration, Jeffries worked with Jared Kushner, the president's son-in-law, to pass bipartisan criminal justice reform. As Franco has said, Trump has said he's going to type the veto pen handy. He may work with Democrats. Is there any room between?

Barbara Sfun00:12:40

Well, I think this is the most interesting part, right? Because Jeffries has shown in the past willingness to work in a bipartisan way. The president has already said, even though he will veto, veto, veto, that there's room to negotiate. So, you know, brand-new era.

Michelle Martin00:12:54

That is NPR congressional correspondent, Barbara Sfun. Barbara, thank you.

Barbara Sfun00:12:57

Thank you, Michelle.

Michelle Martin00:13:02

And that's Up First for Wednesday, November 4. I'm Michelle Martin.

Steve Inskeep00:13:05

And I'm Steve Inskeep. Today's Up First was edited by Megan Pratz, Miguel Macías, Padma Rama, Rebecca Metzler, Mohamed El Bardissi, and Adam Beirn. It was produced by Ziad Butch and Nia Dumas. Our director is Christopher Thomas, and we get engineering support from Nisha Hynys and Patrick Murray. Our technical director is Carly Strange, and our supervising producer is Micah Lipkin. Join us tomorrow.

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Episode description

Democrats swept control of Congress with historic Senate victories in Texas, South Carolina and Kansas, giving the party new momentum even as its broader brand remains unpopular.President Trump’s hand-picked candidates suffered major losses, leaving Republicans to wrestle with how closely to stay tied to him as he prepares for two years of divided government.Democratic control of the House and Senate will give the party new power to block Trump nominees and launch investigations, with Hakeem Jeffries poised to become the first Black Speaker of the House.Want more analysis of the most important news of the day, plus a little fun? Subscribe to the Up First newsletter.Support public media with NPR+ and enjoy perks for over 25 podcasts like this one. This show’s perks include sponsor-free listening. Learn more at plus.npr.org.Today’s episode of Up First was edited by Megan Pratz, Miguel Macias, Padma Rama, Rebekah Metzler, Mohamad ElBardicy, and Adam Bearne.It was produced by Ziad Buchh and Nia Dumas. Our director is Christopher Thomas.We get engineering support from Neisha Heinis and Patrick Murray.Our technical director is Carleigh Strange.And our Supervising Producer is Michael Lipkin.(0:00) Introduction(01:55) Democrats' Midterm Blowout(05:20) Trump Blames Candidates For Losses(09:12) Democratic AgendaSee pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for sponsorship and to manage your podcast sponsorship preferences.NPR Privacy Policy