spent a long time at Intel.
Yeah.
And, uh, only 34 years.
34 years.
Yeah.
Probably one of the greatest American companies, uh, ever. And then absolutely went off the rails and got absolutely demolished by NVIDIA, TSMC, uh, and I guess Apple to a certain extent. So you had this incredible Intel Inside moment we bought our computers based on, you know, hey, the Pentium and that sound.
Intel Inside, baby.
Intel Inside.
Dum dum dum.
Dum dum dum.
And so let's talk about how things went wrong, what went right, and then how did it—
and you were there for a long time, you took a break, and then you came back. But there seemed to have been some critical mistakes that we can learn from. So let's just embrace it and go right into it. Tremendous success as an American company coming back now, I think. Reasonably. But when we look back on it and we do our postmortem, what were the mistakes and what would we change in terms of the direction of that company?
I'm going all in.
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Having spent so much of my life there, you know, I view it, I joined when I was 18. I went through puberty at Intel, right?
Wow.
I joke, right? You know, just like, you know, I'm so early. Grove, Noyce, Barrett. Right. Uh, and, uh, uh, you know, they, they were the people I grew up at, right? You know, so on. They were my mentors. They were the people I adored, uh, for— and they were deeply technical.
Andy Grove.
Andy Grove, Gordon Moore, Bob Noyce, you know, co-inventor. You know, these were deeply technical leaders. I remember when I joined the executive staff for the first time, there, you know, there was, you know, probably 15 of the 20 people that were in the room were PhDs, right? You know, it was just that technical. And, you know, I view one of the things that went off the rail was when it started to be run by business people. Yeah, as opposed to technical, the bean counters, the finance people. Yeah. And, you know, when I became, uh, CEO, uh, in 2001, that was the first technical leader in essentially 15 years, right? You know, associated with it, you know. And if you have a business leader, who does he promote? Business leaders. And Oh, right. You know, so I think one of the fundamental things is, and you know, as you look at the great technology companies today, you know, they're deeply technical.
And founder-led typically.
And even if they're not, you know, Satya's not a founder, right? Sundar's not a founder as well, but they're deeply technical individuals. And when you're making these hardcore technical decisions that affect billions of dollars, you don't do that through a spreadsheet. That's a lousy investment, right? Unless the technology trends make it the right investment. And I think that's one of the fundamental things. And obviously, you know, in the 5 years, 5, 6 years before I came back, you know, Intel gave $100 billion to shareholders.
Oh, the dividends and stock buybacks.
Yeah, $100— what I wouldn't have done for another $100 billion on the, uh, well, I mean, what would you have done?
You probably would have made, well, chips for iPhone, which Intel passed on.
Yeah, yeah, you know, but, you know, it hadn't built a new factory in a decade when I got there. It's like, you know, how can you not be building? How could you not buy EUV machines? You know, there's just all of these things, you know, that you would only do as a technologist because the economics behind them by themselves were not good. So, you know, it was getting back to the core of technology to me that was, you know, the fundamental thing. You know, you make good decisions, you make bad decisions as leaders. Every business does that as they go along. But, you know, fundamentally, this is a technology business and you need technologists running technology that then hires technologists that are sitting at the staff that then hire the best technologists, you know, you know, and take big swings at categories that could matter in the future, like skating to where the puck's going.
If you look at Apple, they did the same thing for the past 15 years, buying back the stock, tremendous amount of dividends. They're the largest holder of capital of any company, I believe, to this date. And what companies do they buy? They buy little tiny acquisitions on the margins. I think the largest ones was Beats, because they wanted to get inroads into certain demographic segments in the Android space that they couldn't get into. But my God, what a colossal waste of time. Like you said, they could have done so many amazing things. Tell me about Steve Jobs in 2008, 2009 deciding, I think we're going to make our own silicon and that impact because was that a covert product project? Did you guys know he was doing that? Did he inform you? Well, that seemed to be another one of those forks in the road.
Yeah. Steve was an incredible leader.
Yeah.
You know, he was also a ruthless leader, right? You know, very difficult. You know, read Walter Isaacson's book on him as well. I had many, many conversations with Steve over the years, you know, for it. But, you know, when they moved to Intel and the Centrino chip, it was a big deal.
Yeah.
Right? And they were putting extraordinary demands on Intel. You know, make the chip smaller, drive lower power. They're demanding customer. And when he was no longer convinced that we could continue to do that, he started the project, right? You know, and if you remember, what was it, you know, you know, uh, P-Semi, you know, they acquired some small companies, started to build some competency, but, you know, they did a few little chips internally. It wasn't a big deal. And then the little chips got a little bit bigger, you know, and Steve was a master of this, you know, just starting, you know, these small efforts to build core competence inside the company. I remember when we had the first conversation with Steve about porting the operating system to the Intel chip from the Power chip that they were running on before they moved to Intel. And we were quite proud of the silicon software competencies that we had in compilers and operating systems. You know, so Steve, we'll help you port the operating system to the x86. And I remember that Steve said, I've been working on that for the last 4 releases. He had been preparing the core technologies inside of Apple for something that might happen in the future.
And he was already— to me, I just remember I was just shocked. I've ported the last 4 releases to the x86. I think we got this.
Yeah.
Right? It was that kind of thing. And that's how they got into the semiconductor doing their own semiconductor, hmm, I'm not sure I can rely on Intel to be that much ahead of the industry. And I can start optimizing the system design with the silicon design as opposed to relying on one that's been somewhat optimized for a Windows environment versus an iOS environment, you know, in their operating system. And, you know, it was just, you know, it was never that kind of thing that you sort of said, you know, You failed as a supplier. No, I can supply myself better.
Yeah.
And Jensen, uh, decides, hey, he's going to go all in making these video cards. And talk about just incredible, uh, serendipity that these happen to be also very applicable for cryptocurrency and running these AI jobs.
Yeah.
Was that luck or skill or combination of both there?
Well, you know, when you think about that progression, you know, Jensen, he was just building high-performance computers, you know, throughput machines. You know, when we were at the heights of our strength on CPUs at Intel, we sort of scoffed at his machines. Yeah, right. You know, so like, oh, it's a graphic machine, you know, you know, there's some gamers who want to use that kind of stuff, right? You know, it was always the big CPU and those little GPUs. But when they started to build a real software stack with it, right? You know, sort of, okay, this CUDA thing and SIMD as a technology, you know, multi-threading and so on. And it just sort of kept getting a little bit better and a little bit better. And it was a little bit Jobs-like in that way. You know, we're just making it better every release and it's becoming more robust. And all of a sudden, you know, the crazy, you know, Japanese HPC guys said, hey, we could take those graphics cards and maybe start using them in HPC. Mm-hmm. Right. You know, and that was sort of defining moment where it wasn't just about doing graphics anymore.
This was a more computationally dense platform to start attacking some of the world's most interesting workloads. And I think Jensen would agree that was a defining moment in them sort of saying, oh, these aren't just graphics cards anymore. You know, these are general purpose computing devices that can start applying to these other workloads. And AI had gone through what, its fifth nuclear winter by that point? Yeah. Where it was like, man, this is never gonna matter, right? We're never gonna get the breakthroughs. But the community around it was continuing to develop forward. And the CUDA software kept getting better generation by generation. And I had a project at Intel, Larrabee, right? Where we were trying to take the x86 and essentially do the same thing. Right? You know, for 10, you know, in my first departure from Intel, the project was killed a week after I left. And the world would have been so much different. Right?
I mean, it really, I think it's illustrative of what continuous innovation, taking some risks and doing that fundamental research and the compounding power of technology, because I think it was William Gibson who said, the street finds its own use for technology. Like NVIDIA did not predict that this Bitcoin project would take over and that this would be the best way to do those computations, nor did they anticipate, I think, you know, that AI would take off. But because it was the best solution, the hacker community could kind of figure that out. Well, as we wrap on the Intel portion of your career, okay, Apple Silicon, that's one. And then you have NVIDIA. And then you have this Taiwanese company, uh, that starts making, you know, really great at fabricating the, these chips. Um, and Intel missed that as well. Yeah. And maybe you talk a little bit about TSMC and their surging, and we can even get into a little bit of the, the politics of it now.
And then we'll get into some of these AI chips and venture investing.
The, you know, the thing with TSMC was they started with a vision of foundry. Right? You know, they were going to become the factory for the industry. And again, these factories are so expensive— $20 billion, $30 billion— and, uh, the engineering and the continuous investment required to do it. And, you know, it was a stunning, you know, vision, uh, at that point in time. Intel was IDM, as we called it, the Integrated Design and Manufacturing. You know, we never worked to make our process and our factories available for third parties, right? You know, it was always this thing, hey, it's, you know, we do enough CPUs ourselves, you know, we reuse it for chipsets and some of the other things that we're doing, but it was never standardized in a way that it could be made available for a broad ecosystem, you know, using PDKs and all the design tools. You know, we did a lot of our own EDA tools ourselves. You know, one of the projects that I started early in my career was the foundations of EDA, right? As well, the first place and route, you know, the first standard cells, the first high-level description language.
You know, it was so proprietary. And TSMC basically cut that in half and says, I don't care whose chip it is, I don't care what you're designing, I'll be your manufacturing partner. And at the time, that was such a trivial piece of the business. Intel didn't even care, right? You know, so on. And then over steady progress over a long period of time, and Apple as a customer driving them to be good, become really meaningful, you know, obviously the world changed. And when I came back to Intel in 2001, TSMC was producing 5x the wafers of Intel. Wow, right? Not 10% more. 5x.
Yeah.
And all of a sudden, that model of foundry became the model of the semiconductor industry, with two exceptions: Intel and memory. You know, memory, the design and manufacture, right, for, you know, that is uniquely different. And obviously, you know, we're seeing them, you know, $3 trillion memory companies, just extraordinary, you know, and, you know, trillion-dollar foundry company, uh, in TSMC. You know, the industry has said, I want a lot of wafers, I want a lot of innovation of different designs, I have a layer of standardization and EDA tools, and the world changed. And obviously, as I came back to Intel, that was one of the core thesis of the new strategy. Yeah, we must become a foundry as well. 5 to 1, and now it's more like 7 to 1 in terms of wafers, you know, to TSMC.
Are we going to be able to onshore that? Obviously we have the CHIPS Act and just give us broad strokes what you think is going to happen here in terms of— obviously Taiwan is in play. Some people in the administration believe, um, it's going to happen the year after Trump's out unless he takes his third term. Other people believe like it was going to happen as early as '27, uh, or maybe going into '28. So are we going to be able to replicate that here in America in a reasonable amount of time, or is this like truly could be a cataclysmic event if You know, God forbid China decides, hey, we're going to blockade, um, Taiwan, and then the Taiwanese decide, yeah, we're going to burn the fabs and we're going to fly out all of the engineers and ship them to America.
Well, there's a lot in that question. Yeah, you know, do we have an hour to talk about this question?
Well, I mean, we have 6 minutes, but— oh, okay.
Um, yeah, do the best you can.
Okay.
Uh, I want to talk also about the AI bubble.
So super, you know, 3 things about this super quick. You know, one is the CHIPS Act is having benefit. Yeah, right. You know, when we started the CHIPS Act in, you know, when 2001, when I came back, the US was building about 12% of leading edge. Today that number is more like 18%. Okay, you know, we're making progress. It's not 50%. We have a long way to go, right? You know, Intel is starting to be a real foundry. Okay, that's real progress. Uh, and TSMC's factories are up and operating at scale, right? We have Samsung and, you know, uh, as well, but, you know, I'd say the Intel and the TSMC progress Okay, that's meaningful. Now let's make it ugly for a second. The island of Taiwan has less than 3 weeks, a big article in the Wall Street Journal 2 weeks ago on this, less than 3 weeks of energy reserves. Wow. Okay. That should just put a chill in everybody's spine, right? Because the blockade, after 3 weeks, the island browns out. When you turn off a fab, it doesn't come back on for 90 days, right? The economic impact of a brownout of Taiwan is greater than the Great Depression, right, uh, in the world.
Never do you need to do anything, a shot to be fired. You just need to say, great, no energy for 3 weeks, no oil. Yes, right, no LNG, right? That's how the island runs. That is scary, you know, to me. We need more resilient supply chains. Associated with it. And I don't think this is an alternative for the world because if it really does become a risk, and I don't sit in the Situation Room and get all the data and so on, but let's remind each other that I think China has blockaded the Taiwan Straits 7 times over the last 4 years. This isn't a theory.
No, no, they're running exercises. They're being pernicious and Right, pretty provocative in terms of 2027.
Is that 2030? Is that 2035? Their intentions have been clear over a sustained period of time. We need more resilient supply chains, you know, for it. So something, you know, I put a lot of my time and energy into, and we're making progress, but we need to go faster, need to go more meaningful.
Yeah. And let's talk a little bit about the AI buildout. I mean, you watched the PC revolution, servers, The internet, these were all extraordinary buildouts. And then this is the buildout to end all buildouts. The amount of data centers, the amount of chips, the amount of inference needed. Do you think it's a bubble? I think I've heard you say like it's, it's obviously a bubble, but what, what's the risk factor here that we build too much, uh, or that the technology doesn't solve enough problems and we are swimming in tokens? What, what worries you about what you're seeing now? The valuations of companies has gotten quite extraordinary. And, you know, if they build too much and they spend too much money and they don't make enough money, well, based on your experience with running a company, a public one, that's a lot of tension on it. When you don't make as much money as you're spending, people tend to fall out of love with these stocks.
Yeah.
Well, I do think there, you know, there is a silver lining here. That guarantees we don't get too far ahead of ourself in terms of bubble, and that is energy capacity.
Right.
Right, energy capacity in the world is expanding 4, 5%. In the US, we had a decade at 1%, right? I mean, it was just hideous what we did to our energy grid over about a decade and a half. But now that's getting built out. But essentially nobody's going to build and buy GPUs and build data centers if they don't have energy. Essentially, you have an upper bound on how aggressive and how hyped and bubbled that we get. I take a lot of solace in that, right? Because what then is the incremental value of a token? And if it's a measure of intelligence, it's somewhat infinite, right? In the sense, if I have more intelligence, I will do better supply chain, I will do better finance, I will do more efficient logistics, I will, all of those things. So to me, the potential value that we unleash in a token economic world is somewhat infinite, right? And particularly with labor shortages and so on that we see, right, in developed countries. I am an optimist, you know, that we are in a couple of decade build out.
Wow.
Right. Not a couple of years, a couple of decades. One of the big objectives I've said is that I have to make AI 10,000x better, right? You know, it's way too expensive today. You know, we want to drop, you know, by 5 orders of magnitude the cost per token, you know, the energy, you know, per token, so that we really do have Jevons' Law, that we just explode the access to AI, right, in much more economic ways.
Which it does seem like Jevons' Paradox has been at play over the last year. Like, oh my Lord, these tokens are so cheap and the tools are getting so good. Yeah, I'm just gonna start using these tools all day long until the bill comes in and you're like, okay, yeah, maybe I need to get some ROI out of this. But you do have these incredible companies, Cerebras, Groq, etc., making inference.
D-Matrix, Silicon, and so on, you know. And, you know, if we accomplish, right, you know, these orders of magnitude improving in token economics, availability, reduction in energy costs associated with it, you know, we just have a fantastic couple of decades in front of us. There has not been a time in human history where it's been better to be a technologist than the one we're in right now. We will solve chemistry, we will solve language, we will, you know, invent new materials, re— you know, new forms of, you know, uh, interaction, you know, uh, killing cancer, right? Lifting people out of poverty. There is not a better time to be alive than the one that we're in right now. And as technologists, we get to sit in the driver's seat of it.
Pretty amazing. And you're investing, uh, and that's your passion now. What do you think of these valuations?
It's quite—
seems, you know, if you live through the dot-com bubble, we did see a disconnect there. These companies, slightly different. We just had ElevenLabs up, $600 million in revenue. Lovable, I think they're at $500 or $600 million. So that's quite different than the dot-com speculation.
Yeah.
Yeah. Well, fundamentally, we have real revenues, you know, real margins coming out of these businesses as well. You know, that said, anytime the multiples get too high, Okay, some corrections, you know, and to me, periodic corrections that keep the multiple, you know, earnings multiples and, you know, so on in reasonable things is good because this will not be a smooth curve. You know, I'm predicting two decades of goodness and there's going to be lots of disruptions along the way. It's not going to be a smooth curve. And every time we have one of those corrections, say thank you, right? We're not letting the bubble get ahead of itself, right? You know, hey, we have the SaaS apocalypse. There's going to be other apocalypses on that journey when, when industries get impacted by the capabilities that will be unleashed. And that's even before it gets exciting in what I call the trinity of computing: classical computing, AI computing, and quantum computing. And when those three come together, okay, that's when things get really exciting.
Quantum's been about 5 years away for 25 years. When is it actually going to do anything meaningful?
This decade.
This decade.
So by 2030.
Yep.
It'll be meaningful. What should we expect in terms of its impact in 2030?
Like, you know, you're going to be able to start doing things that cannot be computed today. Okay. Chemistry, you know, biology. There will be things that can't be computed today. You know, some of the easy things will be some of like the logistics where I will compute the best answer to get this thing to you.
Right.
Traveling salesman problem.
Right, you know, all of a sudden all of those problems, uh, obviously it's probably going to be, you know, 2020, 2032, 2033 when we solve, you know, things like encryption, right? You know, where, you know, you'll have the fundamental Q-Day, you know, kind of implications. But this decade we will see quantum supremacy results across multiple industries. You know, we know how to build qubits, we know how to error-correct qubits, we now have algorithmics right, against quantum. And, you know, now it's just about engineering scale.
Who's going to win?
Well, obviously I'm a PsiQuantum guy, right, since that's one of our portfolio companies. But the thing that you're seeing is that you now have like 4, 5, 6 modalities of quantum that are demonstrating pretty good results, right? You know, across trapped ions, across, you know, photonic approaches, spin approaches. So you now say modality is not an issue. Error correction's been proven, uh, across them. And, you know, I think the race will be on, and my prediction is meaningful results before 2030.
Wow, you realize that's about 40 months from now?
Yeah.
Okay, meaningful results. Thanks so much, Pat, for sharing all this incredible, uh, information and knowledge.
Great to see you.
Very good.
I'm going all in.
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I'm going all in. Osika is one of my favorite founders. He's the founder of Lovable. Why do I love this founder? Uh, well, he's built a product that people are addicted to, primarily Anton, the people who work for me. And I love talking to you because as a founder, you have a North Star. You're incredibly laser-focused on enabling anyone to build great software. Yeah, it's the mission of the company. I'm paraphrasing here, but yeah, essentially that's the mission of Lovable.
Mission— I talk about empowering humans.
Empowering humans.
And the first gap is to build a product. The second gap is to build a business around the product, right? And now we're at— everyone at Lovable, we're working on both of these two gaps, right? The first one, we've gotten very far. We're seeing a million new projects built every single week on the platform. Incredible. And on the second one, we're investing a lot in making it easier to run your business and to get people to care, people to discover what you build, and the entire business of what you're— whatever you're doing as a small business As if you're a large business, we're also getting a lot of traction. And we're actually seeing as a proof of that more than 700 million visits to the applications every month. So every month there is extreme growth in, in the surface area of the entire— more than 50 million apps built on the platform to date.
How many years has Lovable been in market or how many months now?
20 months since the launch.
20 months.
Yeah. And again, we're seeing people who are first-time founders. We're seeing enterprise leaders move much faster together with their teams on this platform that has a lot of opinionated pieces in how you should create software and how to operate that software and how the different applications in your company connect to each other over time. So that's why we're seeing so much growth also on the enterprise side. —where we're actually growing fastest right now.
This is really interesting because 10 years ago, people were doing WYSIWYG software. What was the name for it? Before Vibe coded—
No code. No code.
Low code. Yes. And when I saw that 10 years ago in my incubator, you know, every 20th company, somebody would come in who was an MBA or not a developer, and they had Vibe coded something. And not vibe-coded, they had no-coded, and they were using these different software platforms and the software didn't look good, it didn't work perfectly well, it was slow, but the promise was there. And I guess it took LLMs and this new intelligence to make actually good software. So maybe you could talk a little bit about who is the customer because developers, Do developers use Lovable, or is it the other 95% of society that are your customers? How do you think about who your ideal customer profile is?
Yeah, we're seeing people use Lovable both with a technical background— that's about 20% are technical or some type of engineer— and they, they love that we're quite opinionated. We put all the best practices into how the software is architected, and we make it seamless to with one prompt, get payment set up in a very secure way and do things like run security scans after every change, even now in the background monitoring the projects. So it's actually quite appreciated by the engineers in the technical community, also because it's a great bridge from the non-technical people, which is 4 out of 5 are non-technical and they're building often first to figure out what is the right thing to build. Which is where Lovable has always been exceptionally good. And now what we're seeing is that people are running businesses making more than $1 million of revenue on this platform. So it's this— we're building for everyone. It's this entire spectrum. And what's exciting to see is often that if someone who discovers Lovable from their colleagues at a large company, they go out and then run a side hustle. And some of those side hustles really work.
They make hundreds of thousands of dollars. And then they become a founder after that. So there's this cross-pollination from both.
Yeah, and this is like the really interesting thing about vibe coding. If we were sitting here last year, people would look at it and say it's a great way to make a mock-up, like you said, a great way to think about product and maybe create wireframes or a workable prototype. All of that's out the window now. The whole concept of building wireframes and building a mock-up Well, you can just go right to building the product in a day or 2 days. And what people, I think, don't appreciate about what you're doing at Lovable is after you've made a product that you're proud of and that has some product market fit, there are many more steps that are required. You mentioned payments, you mentioned security, uh, making sure that the data isn't lost or that it's not leaked. That's changed dramatically over the last 12 months. Yeah, very much so.
So I would say many engineers, they don't look at the code, they don't write code anymore. And that means that you don't need to be an engineer to create software, right? But the thing that Lovable does for anyone, also the non-technical people, is that it takes, creates a structure for the architecture of the software that you build. And it makes sure that you don't go off a cliff and that things like setting up payments, emails, things like getting discovered by other AI chat engines and by Google Search, those things are kind of taken care of. Yeah. You don't have to know how all these things work in the details. You trust, you can trust the platform to take care of data security, connecting to other tools that you might be using in a secure way. And that's really where us being opinionated from day one and being focused on making this for the 99%— it's a vast market, right? Right. From day one is what made us very successful.
Yeah, and I can tell you internally, I gave my team all the different tools they could possibly want to use. And somebody had started with Lovable. I think I told you this story when you were on This Week in Startups a year ago. And they made some interesting websites and they were trying to make an intranet. They couldn't quite get it done. Then I had some people who started using, you know, Cursor or Claude Code. They started vibe coding stuff, but they couldn't finish the product. And then people tried to solve some problems with Cowork. I really like Perplexity Computer. And then my team came to me and for one of our projects, I was talking to you about Founder University, our, pre-accelerator, they wanted to make an intranet. Um, now this is something I would have never okayed because it would have cost $500,000 10 years ago to make it, and we don't have that kind of budget. You know, we would rather put that towards the founders in the program and getting more people into the program. And in 4 to 8 hours, they made the whole intranet, and they made a bunch of things I hadn't asked for.
And it was the person running the, um, this Founder University who made it, and she did it on her own without, uh, permission in Lovable. I said, whoa, how did you build this? She said, Lovable. I was like, oh, we still have Lovable? And they're like— she's like, I just put it on my corporate card. To your point, she made it. Now that software is driving the program and The reason people do the program in their country, we have it in Saudi and in Japan, is because it has economic impact. So I said, hey, I have an idea. Can you make for me an economic impact of the 50 companies that are in the program? She asked Lovable to do it. I gave her some prompting, human prompting, boss to. Now it has the economic impact in there. And it considered with our prompting, well, how many people work at each company? What are they paying taxes? How much do they rent their home for? What is their average salary? And it built something that I would have never been able to afford to build. And Lovable is $50 a month, I think. I don't know how much you charge, but it's far too little.
Like $50 a month, I think.
Yeah, that's if you're on a business plan. Yeah.
It starts at $25. Yeah. So, uh, the economic impact of what you're building is, I would equate for what you built to us, it would've cost me $500,000 2 years ago. It was built in 4 hours by an employee, which if you just put employees at $50, $60, whatever, $70, uh, plus the cost of your software, it got made for less than $2,000 in a year. It's extraordinary.
I'd love to hear more about the progress of the intranet. Anything that you ask for that you want to forward directly to me?
Well, right now, you know, my concern was security and making sure that data didn't leak. And they talked to your team and they went through it and it's secure. So we feel good about it.
Look, I'm now asking people who do penetration testing to say, I want you to compare all the tools and make sure that there's all the work that we're doing that's not visible on security and trust. There's a lot of, a lot of other things where we invest and spend money on that. Every— also free users get a lot of security scanning running in the background, that that actually translates to something that security experts can see.
A year ago, we were at mockups Now we're at functionality and secure and super viable for deployment. Where will you be in a year?
Yeah, so what we're seeing is that there's a gap in being able to build the product right. And you built an entire intranet on the platform. That's great. What we've done since then is to have a new product line, basically the hosting part, which is both the AI and, you know, all the normal hosting. And that's product line has been going faster than the building thing. I mentioned AWS competitor, it, it's a— it lets you run all your software, and then we're working with companies like AWS under the hood as well. But, but what you also want to have is, um, to use Lovable, we're, we're seeing by our customers as an AI co-founder, a partner that you talk to about everything in your business. And if you're running your apps your tools are on the platform, then just talking to Lovable has access to all the data that you might want to know about your company, how it's doing. So we're working with some of our customers in pre-release to give them access to a co-founder that works for you even when you're sleeping and comes back to you in the morning and says like, here are some strategic directions you could go.
Here's some optimizations you can go in terms of growing your business faster. Serving your customers better, faster. And that's that evolution towards operation and intelligence for driving towards outcome for your business.
So you come to build the software, but you stay to build the business.
Yes, to operate your business. Right. And what we're already doing, I've been doing for a very long time, is to compound from everything we're learning. Every time Lovable makes a mistake, It goes through a gigantic system with our engineers in it, improving it. That compounding intelligence is, of course, applicable to our customers, our users running their business on our platform as well.
Is software going to become 100% bespoke, even like the internal tools? I was looking at Slack and our bill for Slack, even on the highest version, is maybe $10,000 a year. It's not a lot of money. It's well worth it. But I was starting to think, well, maybe I should vibe code my own Slack so it's integrated into everything we do at a deeper level. So how do you think the future— what do you think the future will look like in terms of some of these foundational pieces of software that every startup, every enterprise uses? Salesforce, HubSpot. Slack, uh, the Google Suite, Microsoft Office. Will bespoke software start to replace those, do you believe?
I like this question. Let me ask— answer it, but I'll just give you a story about someone I recently heard who's been going on this journey. They're quite advanced. So Nanad, he works at a pretty large company in the US, Narsa. And he came to our platform because he wanted to build out the new product lines, Nurse Study, for educating more nurses. Right. And he built out all the admin tools for the program, the scheduling for the nurses getting their licenses and their certification management. And he was able to build that into a product and to take it to market because they have had all that access to nurses wanting their certification. What he also did was he took it into their back office internally, and they've now replaced more than 10 tools that they had. Oh wow. Just bespoke applications. And in terms of your question, you can do that for multiple reasons. In their case, they're saving more than $1 million per year. Right. So that's, that's huge, right? But it's also the case that in some cases you have specific requirements where the tools that you've been using to date they aren't suited for those requirements exactly.
And in those cases, I think, yes, you will have more bespoke solutions. Yeah. But I also expect us to see that Lovable continues to interoperate with all of those tools. And I'm not sure if you tried this. If you ask for connecting to anything in the Google Suite or now anything in the Microsoft Suite or Slack, Lovable guides you through all the steps to do that in a way where you can get a lot, a very good overview of exactly how the data flows, which is of course very important that you don't give access to the wrong person to the wrong data. And you can continue to use Salesforce, HubSpot, and all the tools that you kind of like to use under the hood, but with a bespoke interface on top of it.
How have these new frontier models— they're in some ways competitive, but in some ways you can use them to power Lovable. So how do you think about the competition with them, open source, and the future of Lovable? Because people have announced that Lovable's dead every 6 months since you started, and then every 6 months you go from 100 to 200 to 300. I think you're at $400 million in revenue, something crazy.
We, we, we reached 500 in May. Okay, growth is phenomenal.
So you're dying again by another $100 million in annual revenue. Exactly. So, but underneath the hood, you're using some of these—
yeah, let me explain. Yeah, yeah. So we've always had this strategy that we do whatever is best for our customers, and in terms of the intelligence, that means that we're using multiple models. And so if you ask Lovable now, it's actually routed to the model that's most suitable to whatever you want to do. And that's both the commercial frontier models from multiple vendors. And increasingly, it's OpenWeight models where our team, whenever it gets routed to our own model, that model becomes more intelligent for our agent harness. Yeah. Especially on the mistakes that it might be making in some cases on which tool to call, which integration to create. And how to guide you through success for your business. Right.
So you're all in on open source. You believe that's the future of Lovable AI. I'm reading into it.
So we have multiple partnerships and we're investing heavily to be close with those partners. And it's the big labs. And it's also to make sure that we get the fastest performance at the lowest cost for our customers when we know that we can do that with our own models. Right. And we have a really, really strong research team up in Stockholm who is working on what's called post-training. Sure. And we're applying all the best practices to do that and scaling up that team quite significantly since we also believe it's a part of the European ecosystem to have that capability in Europe specifically.
Are you doing or are you using any of the data labeling, data training companies to help you understand the most common businesses and build that proprietary data?
So what we're doing is that we're looking at the mistakes that any of the models do right now, and then we prioritize them by what drives most impact for our customers. And then we make the models, we create datasets, we do something called reinforcement learning specifically for the problems where the frontier models are making mistakes for us right now. And we have this enormous token distribution, right? From a million new projects being built every single week.
You're burning a lot of tokens. We are, yes.
And that's a lot of signals for making the system, both the agent harness and what we've been refining over the last 2 years, which is the skills that we have to have, this internal type of skills that the agent knows when to remember the facts from our software engineers that know how to build really, really good software. Someone told me we're modifying both of those on every, every single week.
It makes total sense. And somebody told me some companies are doing token dumping. They're, you know, selling $100 worth of tokens for $50. Um, you know, basically they become token resellers in some ways, and they're money-losing businesses. You have to You're profitable, I believe, now, or close to it.
We always monitor our margins, but again, we're doing what's best for our customers. And that means— that often means more intelligence. So we're not looking at, oh, let's use it. We've never had the decision to say, let's use a cheaper model here if it's measurably worse for our customers. And we can measure that.
What's best for our customers. But are they— is it unlimited for the 50 or you have caps? Caps now.
We have caps. Yeah, you have to have overages and caps.
Are people starting to hit them?
Yeah, our customers definitely hit caps, and then you can top up. You can have, uh, we have multiple subscription tiers. What number?
I'm just curious, like, what percentage of people need to top up? They're so addicted to it that they're blowing past the— so some of the—
from the lowest subscription tier? Yeah. Um, I, I think it's, um, uh, It's something like 60% of our customers are.
Yeah, I'm hearing that more and more often, that people are willing to pay the overages because they're getting so much value. And I think that's the future of the businesses. People are looking at it going like I am, well, if I'm paying $600 and if you token max to $6,000 a year, but this is a $500,000 piece of software, I don't care. I'm still paying somewhere between 0.1% and 1% of what I would have paid 3 years ago. Who cares? Go for it.
So yeah, what we're seeing is everything is about moving, moving fast. Yeah. And more AI usually lets you move much faster. So the spend is usually worth it.
Do your customers— a final question for you because I'm starting to see this now— where multiple people in the organization try to solve the same software problem? And they're competing with each other. So like this intranet I'm talking about, we built one for Japan. Yeah, but somebody built the US one, so now I have two pieces of software. So I said to the two different people, do we have— did you guys fork each other's code? Or they're like, no, we just built two different lovable projects. And I'm like, is that the right thing to do? Because you went faster And I had two swings at bat, two different intelligent, brilliant people making their version of the software. But you would never have done that in the previous way of building software. You would have one track of software and you would be building Franken-software where you would be trying to get all the needs into it from the two different groups.
Yeah, I'm actually a huge fan of very rapid experimentation. Yeah. And I have a story where for a while I worked at a place called CERN where they do particle physics. It's pretty— here in Central Europe, right? And that's where I was introduced to this concept of coopetition, where they have two actually quite isolated teams working on the same particle accelerator but different places on it, and then they don't share the results until they publish. And that way they can kind of over time learn what's working best in the different organizations, but you don't get stuck in a local minimum. And it's You know, free markets work extremely well because of competition, and they do that in academia as well. And now since the engineering is less of the bottleneck, it's more the question of what is the right thing to build. I think it's a great thing to have, if you have sufficiently many humans, right, to do, to try to attempt solving the same problem in different ways. And then if you do that on Lovable, what I like to do is I bring up a new project or one of the projects and I say, hey, Can you go and just check out this other one and take these 3 things that I really like and bring them over here and maybe even run a split test, run an experiment to see if it's improving the metrics for our customers we're trying to serve.
Did you see somebody used Fable to build Fortnite?
I've seen some of the 3D games.
Yeah. What is your take on this latest version from Anthropic, Fable? I assume they're a partner. I don't know that.
Yeah, we use Fable as well as one of the models. Yeah, he's lovable.
So what do you think of it in terms of compared to the last generation? Faster, better, both? Yeah. Is it a massive step function?
Yeah. What I've seen is that it can, in the first attempt, create very sophisticated things that look really good. Then as you're evolving, right, it's still the same thing where you as a human, you have to think, you often should be planning together with your agent. About what is the right thing to do. And that's more of— that's again, more of the bottleneck. Whereas more intelligence is on some tasks, it's great. Yeah, like it creates really beautiful things, 3D games, for example. But on figuring out what to build, figuring out what are the right strategic directions or experiments you should run to improve the outcomes for your business, that's not changing as fast. It's the humans knowing how to use the tool. To get and to plug in all the right data to be able to take the right decisions for taking your product forward and to take your business forward.
Uh, listen, I love the product, but even more than I love the product and you as a founder, I love the outcome. The outcome for business is extraordinary. So anybody who's listening, Lovable is absolutely worth your time. Don't wait, just put it on your corporate card and start building. That's my message. Just start building with Lovable. It's an incredible product. And congratulations on being reborn 6 times because every 6 months you add $100 million in revenue, it seems. And then everybody says Lovable is dead because the new foundation model is so good. But you keep studying your customer and you keep somehow surviving and thriving. So congratulations as an entrepreneur. Thank you so much, Jason.
I enjoyed the chat. I hope you enjoy the rest of your stay here in Paris.
It's pretty great. And the Palace of Versailles is so impressive, huh? Someday we'll be building this with lovable and optimist robots.
I'm looking forward to it. I'm going all in.
I'm doing all in!
(0:00) Former Intel CEO Pat Gelsinger joins Jason! (1:41) What Went Wrong at Intel (15:19) Why a Taiwan Blockade Would Cripple the US Economy (25:00) Lovable's Anton Osika: One Million New Apps a Week (33:38) How Lovable is Bringing Down Builder Costs Thanks to our partners for making this possible! Airwallex is a leading global payments and financial platform for modern businesses, offering trusted solutions to manage everything from business accounts, payments, treasury, and spend management to embedded finance. https://airwallex.com/allin Plaud - If your work depends on conversations — meetings, deal flow, interviews, customer calls — Plaud helps you capture and organize everything with highly accurate AI-generated notes that are not just simple summaries, but also highlight pain points, key decisions, next steps, and customizable summary templates. Check out Plaud at https://plaud.ai/allin and use code ALLIN for up to 20% off! Which is also available on Amazon: https://amzn.to/43URLff (Code: ALLIN20X) Follow Pat: https://x.com/PGelsinger Follow Anton: https://x.com/antonosika Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@allin Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg And a special thank you to Raise Summit for hosting us in Paris